42nd Ontario general election

42nd Ontario general election

On or before June 14, 2018 (2018-06-14)
122 seats of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario 62 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
150x150px Leader Kathleen Wynne Patrick Brown Andrea Horwath Party Liberal Progressive Conservative New Democratic Leader since January 26, 2013 May 9, 2015 March 7, 2009 Leader's seat Don Valley West Simcoe North Hamilton Centre Last election 58 seats, 38.65% 28 seats, 31.25% 21 seats, 23.75% Current seats 58 28 20
Incumbent Premier Kathleen Wynne Liberal

The 42nd Ontario general election is tentatively scheduled to be held on June 14, 2018. Under amendments passed by the Legislative Assembly of Ontario in 2004, Ontario elections are now held on the first Thursday of October in the fourth calendar year, unless the Assembly is dissolved earlier by the Lieutenant Governor of Ontario due to a motion of no confidence or on the advice of the Premier of Ontario. A motion of no confidence is unlikely as the current government has a majority, though Premier Kathleen Wynne stated in June 2015 that she will likely advise to dissolve the Legislature in the spring of 2018 rather than in October of that year in order to avoid any conflict with municipal elections and take advantage of better weather and longer days.

Ridings

On June 4, 2015, the government introduced Bill 115, Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015, to the Legislature, and it received Royal Assent on December 3, 2015. Bill 115 increases the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, following along the boundaries set out by the federal 2013 Representation Order for Ontario, while preserving the special boundaries of the 11 seats in Northern Ontario set out in the previous redistribution.

Standings

Summary of the standings of the Legislative Assembly of Ontario

Party		Party leader	Seats
			2014	Current
	Liberal	Kathleen Wynne	58	58
	Progressive Conservative	Patrick Brown	28	28
	New Democratic	Andrea Horwath	21	20
	Vacant			1
Total			107	107

Timeline

2014

• June 12: The Liberal Party under Kathleen Wynne wins a majority government in the 41st Ontario general election. Progressive Conservative leader Tim Hudak announces his intention to step down following the selection of his successor.
• July 2: Tim Hudak resigns as leader of the Progressive Conservatives. Simcoe—Grey MPP Jim Wilson is named interim leader.
• July 24: The Liberals pass their May 1 budget in its final reading.
• November 20: Joe Cimino, the New Democratic Party MPP for Sudbury, resigns his seat, citing family reasons.

2015

• February 5: Liberal candidate Glenn Thibeault is elected in a Sudbury by-election, gaining a seat that had been held by the NDP.
• May 9: Patrick Brown, the Conservative federal MP for Barrie, is elected leader of the Progressive Conservative Party.
• August 1: PC Simcoe North MPP Garfield Dunlop, resigns his seat to allow PC leader Patrick Brown to have a chance to run for a seat. Premier Kathleen Wynne orders a by-election for September 3, 2015.
• August 28: PC Whitby—Oshawa MPP Christine Elliott resigns her seat.
• September 3: PC Leader Patrick Brown is elected in the Simcoe North by-election.
• September 24: OPP lay charges in relation to the Sudbury byelection scandal.
• December 3: Bill 115, the Electoral Boundaries Act, 2015, which increases the number of electoral districts from 107 to 122, receives Royal Assent.

2016

• February 11: Lorne Coe is elected in the Whitby—Oshawa by-election, maintaining the seat for the PC's.
• March 22: Liberal Scarborough—Rouge River MPP Bas Balkissoon resigns his seat.

Incumbent MPPs not running for re-election

Liberals

• Glen Murray, Toronto Centre

Opinion polls

Polling firm	Last date of polling	Link	Liberal	PC	NDP	Green	Other	Type of poll	Sample size	Margin of Error
Forum Research	April 25, 2016	PDF	34	39	21	5	2	IVR	1,157	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	March 23, 2016	PDF	30	40	24	5	2	IVR	1,225	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	February 29, 2016	PDF	27	44	22	6	2	IVR	1,148	±3%	19 20px 20
Mainstreet Research	February 16, 2016	HTML	33	36	26	5	-	IVR	2,623	±1.91%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	December 20, 2015	PDF	31	34	26	7	2	IVR	1,003	±3%	19 20px 20
Ipsos Reid	November 9, 2015	HTML	44	31	20	4	-	Online	1,002	±3.5%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	November 5, 2015	PDF	30	36	26	6	1	IVR	1,158	±3%	19 20px 20
Mainstreet Research	November 1, 2015	HTML	28	40	25	7	-	IVR	2,506	±1.96%	19 20px 20
Mainstreet Research	September 21, 2015	HTML	30	40	24	7	-	IVR	4,610	±1.5%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	August 13, 2015	PDF	26	35	33	4	2	IVR	1,001	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	July 5, 2015	PDF	26	32	35	5	2	IVR	678	±4%	19 20px 20
Ipsos Reid	May 20, 2015	HTML	34	32	25	8	-	Online	1,002	±3.5%	19 20px 20
Innovative Research	May 19, 2015	PDF	34	35	24	6	-	Telephone	606	±4.0%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	May 11, 2015	PDF	24	33	36	5	2	IVR	1,001	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	April 30, 2015	PDF	29	36	24	9	2	IVR	912	±3%	19 20px 20
Innovative Research	April 26, 2015	PDF	40	33	18	8	1	Online	1,017
Forum Research	March 26, 2015	PDF	29	34	27	8	2	IVR	881	±3%	19 20px 20
Environics	March 25, 2015	HTML	32	33	27	7	-	Telephone	989	±3.1%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	February 27, 2015	PDF	32	39	21	6	2	IVR	996	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	January 30, 2015	PDF	37	36	19	6	2	IVR	1,028	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	December 20, 2014	PDF	35	36	20	7	2	IVR	1,058	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	November 29, 2014	PDF	37	37	17	7	2	IVR	1,054	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	November 1, 2014	PDF	40	35	19	4	2	IVR	1,104	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	October 1, 2014	PDF	36	34	23	6	1	IVR	1,079	±3%	19 20px 20
Forum Research	August 21, 2014	PDF	39	32	19	8	2	IVR	1,229	±3%	19 20px 20
2014 election	June 12, 2014	HTML	38.65	31.25	23.75	4.84	1.51

External links

• Elections Ontario