File:Projections of global mean sea level rise by Parris et al. (2012).png

Summary

This graph shows projections of global mean <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/current_sea_level_rise" class="extiw" title="en:current sea level rise">sea level rise</a> (SLR) by Parris et al. (2012)^{<a href="#cite_note-1">[1]</a>} In 2100, global mean <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/sea_level" class="extiw" title="en:sea level">sea level</a> is projected to rise by 0.2-2.0 m (0.7-6.6 ft), relative to mean sea level in 1992:

Scenario / SLR by 2100 (m) / SLR by 2100 (ft)
Highest / 2.0 / 6.6
Intermediate-high / 1.2 / 3.9
Intermediate-low / 0.5 / 1.6
Lowest / 0.2 / 0.7

Note: projections are relative to mean sea level in 1992.

SLR increases smoothly over the 21st century, with a slight acceleration over time. In 2050, SLR projections approximately range between 0.1-0.62 m (0.3-2.0 ft).

Parris et al. (2012)^{<a href="#cite_note-2">[2]</a>} do not assign probabilities to these <a href="https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/scenario_analysis" class="extiw" title="en:scenario analysis">scenarios</a>. Therefore, none of these scenarios should be interpreted as a best-estimate of future SLR.

Notes

References

• Parris, A., et al. (6 December 2012) Global Sea Level Rise Scenarios for the US National Climate Assessment. NOAA Tech Memo OAR CPO-1^{<a rel="nofollow" class="external autonumber" href="http://cpo.noaa.gov/sites/cpo/Reports/2012/NOAA_SLR_r3.pdf">[1]</a>}, NOAA Climate Program Office

Licensing

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