Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2014

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See also: Minnesota elections, 2014
Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2014
← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
  110px Jeff Johnson, November 2013 East Metro Tea Party.png
Nominee Mark Dayton Jeff Johnson
Party DFL Republican
Running mate Tina Smith Bill Kuisle
Popular vote 989,113 879,257
Percentage 50.07% 44.51%
Minnesota Governor Election Results by County, 2014.svg
County results
Governor before election

Mark Dayton
DFL

 Elected Governor

Mark Dayton
DFL

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 Minnesota gubernatorial election took place on November 4, 2014, to elect the Governor of Minnesota concurrently with the election to Minnesota's Class II U.S. Senate seat, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Democratic–Farmer–Labor Governor Mark Dayton ran for re-election to a second term in office.[1] Incumbent Democratic Lieutenant Governor Yvonne Prettner Solon retired and Tina Smith was selected as his new running mate.[2]

Primary elections were held on August 12, 2014. Dayton and Smith won the Democratic primary and the Republicans nominated Hennepin County Commissioner Jeff Johnson and his running mate former State Representative Bill Kuisle. In the general election, Dayton and Smith defeated them and several other minor party candidates with just over 50% of the vote. Dayton's victory broke his own record, set in 2010, as the oldest Minnesota gubernatorial candidate to win an election; he was 67.[3]

Background

Incumbent Republican Governor Tim Pawlenty declined to run for a third term in 2010, instead running for the Republican presidential nomination in the 2012 election. State Representative Tom Emmer easily won the Republican nomination and former U.S. Senator Mark Dayton won the DFL nomination with a plurality over State House Speaker Margaret Anderson Kelliher. After a very close race, Dayton defeated Emmer by just 8,770 votes, 0.42% of all votes cast.

Dayton's victory was one of just four that Minnesota Democrats have achieved out of 28 gubernatorial elections during a Democratic presidency.[4] Despite this, and despite his narrow margin of victory in 2010, Dayton was not seen as a top Republican target. The Cook Political Report[5] and The Rothenberg Political Report[6] both rate the race as "safe Democratic" and Daily Kos Elections,[7] Governing[8] and Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] all rate the race as "likely Democratic".

Democratic–Farmer–Labor primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bill Dahn
    • Running mate: James Vigliotti
  • Leslie Davis, activist[10]
    • Running mate: Gregor Soderberg[11]
  • Mark Dayton, incumbent Governor[1]
    • Running mate: Tina Smith, Dayton's former chief of staff[12]

Results

Democratic primary election results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
DFL Mark Dayton/Tina Smith 177,849 92.99
DFL Leslie Davis/Gregor Soderberg 8,530 4.46
DFL Bill Dahn/James Vigliotti 4,880 2.55
Total votes 191,259 100

Republican primary

Until 2014, Minnesota Republicans had not had a competitive gubernatorial primary since 1924, when Theodore Christianson beat Ole Jacobson by 2.8%, taking 22.8% of the vote in a six-candidate race that saw five candidates finish in double digits. In every election since then, the nominee had won the primary by at least 17.8% and on average by 62.2%.[14]

At the Republican State Convention on May 30–31, 2014, Jeff Johnson received the party's endorsement. Dave A. Thompson withdrew from the race and endorsed Johnson. Scott Honour, Marty Seifert and Kurt Zellers all ran in the August primary, but Johnson prevailed with 30% of the vote.[15][16]

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rob
Farnsworth		 Scott
Honour		 Jeff
Johnson		 Julie
Rosen		 Ole
Savior		 Marty
Seifert		 Dave A.
Thompson		 Kurt
Zellers		 Other/
Undecided
SurveyUSA June 5–9, 2014 404 ± 5% — 9% 23% — — 14% — 23% 33%[48]
Suffolk April 24–28, 2014 73 ± ? 0.51% 1.52% 6.57% — 1.01% 9.60% 4.55% 8.08% 68.19%
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013 305 ± 5.7% — 6% 8% 10% — 9% 11% 12% 44%

Results

Republican primary election results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Jeff Johnson/Bill Kuisle 55,836 30.33
Republican Kurt Zellers/Dean Simpson 44,046 23.92
Republican Marty Seifert/Pam Myhra 38,851 21.1
Republican Scott Honour/Karin Housley 38,377 20.84
Republican Merrill Anderson/Mark D. Anderson 7,000 3.8
Total votes 184,110 100

Independence primary

The Independence Party of Minnesota state convention was held on May 17, 2014, at Minnesota State University, Mankato.[49]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Hannah Nicollet, software developer[50]
    • Running mate: Tim Gieseke, businessman and candidate for the State House in 2013[51]

Declined

Results

Independence primary election results[13]
Party Candidate Votes %
Independence Hannah Nicollet/Tim Gieseke 56,900 100
Total votes 56,900 100

Libertarian Party

The Libertarian Party of Minnesota state convention was held on April 26, 2014, in Maple Grove.[54]

Candidates

Nominee

  • Chris Holbrook[55]
    • Running mate: Chris Dock[56]

Grassroots — Legalize Cannabis Party

Candidates

Declared

  • Chris Wright, computer repair shop owner and nominee for governor in 1998 and 2010[57]
    • Running mate: David Daniels, playwright and performance artist

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking
The Cook Political Report[5] Safe Democratic
The Rothenberg Political Report[6] Safe Democratic
Daily Kos Elections[7] Likely Democratic
Governing[8] Lean Democratic
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Likely Democratic

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Mark
Dayton (DFL)		 Jeff
Johnson (R)		 Hannah
Nicollet (IP)		 Other Undecided
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV October 27–30, 2014 596 ± 4.1% 47% 42% 2% 4%[58] 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 2,430 ± 3% 50% 41% — 1% 9%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune October 20–22, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 45% 38% 5% 2% 10%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV October 14–16, 2014 597 ± 4.1% 50% 40% 3% 3%[59] 4%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV September 30 – October 2, 2014 577 ± 4.2% 51% 39% 4% 2%[60] 4%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20 – October 1, 2014 2,562 ± 2% 49% 42% 0% 1% 8%
Rasmussen Reports September 29–30, 2014 750 ± 4% 50% 40% — — 10%
Mason-Dixon/Star Tribune September 8–10, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 45% 33% 1% 1% 20%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18 – September 2, 2014 3,607 ± 2% 48% 41% — 2% 10%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV August 19–21, 2014 600 ± 4.1% 49% 40% 3% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 13–14, 2014 750 ± 4% 49% 41% — — 10%
Gravis Marketing July 2–3, 2014 879 ± 3% 52% 37% 11% — —
Public Policy Polling June 12–15, 2014 633 ± 3.9% 47% 36% — — 16%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV June 5–9, 2014 1,017 ± 3.1% 46% 40% 5% 2% 6%
Suffolk University April 24–28, 2014 800 ± ? 44% 29.63% — — 26.38%
SurveyUSA/KSTP-TV February 25–27, 2014 545 ± 4.3% 52% 34% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling October 27–29, 2013 895 ± 3.3% 48% 37% — — 15%
Public Policy Polling May 17–19, 2013 712 ± 3.7% 52% 34% — — 14%
Public Policy Polling January 18–20, 2013 1,065 ± 3% 53% 29% — — 18%

Results

Minnesota gubernatorial election, 2014[63]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
DFL Mark Dayton/Tina Smith (Incumbent) 989,113 50.07% +6.44%
Republican Jeff Johnson/Bill Kuisle 879,257 44.51% +1.30%
Independence Hannah Nicollet/Tim Gieseke 56,900 2.88% -9.06%
Grassroots Chris Wright/David Daniels 31,259 1.58% +1.22%
Libertarian Chris Holbrook/Chris Dock 18,082 0.92% n/a
Write-ins Others 795 0.04% n/a
Majority 109,856 5.56% +5.14%
Total votes 1,975,406 100
DFL hold Swing

See also

References

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 13.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. ↑ 15.0 15.1 15.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  42. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
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  47. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  48. ↑ Other 11%, Undecided 22%
  49. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  51. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  52. ↑ http://kstp.com/article/stories/s3556490.shtml Tom Horner Endorses Jeff Johnson For Governor
  53. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  56. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  58. ↑ Chris Holbrook (L) 2%, Chris Wright (G) 1%, Other 1%
  59. ↑ Chris Holbrook (L) 1%, Chris Wright (G) 1%, Other 1%
  60. ↑ Chris Holbrook (L) 0%, Chris Wright (G) 1%, Other 1%
  61. ↑ 61.0 61.1 Hannah Nicollet (IP) 7%, Other 3%
  62. ↑ Hannah Nicollet (IP) 6%, Other 3%
  63. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links

Official campaign websites
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