Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016

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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. This page lists nationwide public opinion polls that have been conducted relating to the 2016 United States presidential election. The two major party candidates were chosen at the Democratic National Convention and Republican National Convention in July 2016.

Donald Trump won the general election of Tuesday, November 8, 2016 despite being behind in nearly all opinion polls.[1][2] Media analysts differ as to why the polling industry was unable to correctly forecast the result;[1][2] with the exception of two daily tracking polls, the UPI/CVoter poll and the University of Southern California/Los Angeles Times poll were the only polls that often predicted a Trump victory or showed a nearly tied election.[3]

Aggregate polls

Poll numbers verified as of November 8, 2016.

Race Poll model Hillary
Clinton
Democratic		 Donald
Trump
Republican		 Gary
Johnson
Libertarian		 Jill
Stein
Green		 Leading by
(points)
Two-way 270 to Win 47.2% 43.6% N/A 3.6
BBC 48.0% 44.0% 4.0
Election Projection 47.0% 43.8% 3.2
HuffPost Pollster 47.3% 42.0% 5.3
New York Times 45.9% 42.8% 3.1
Real Clear Politics 46.8% 43.6% 3.2
TPM Polltracker 48.8% 43.9% 4.9
Three-way FiveThirtyEight 45.7% 41.8% 4.8% N/A 3.9
HuffPost Pollster 45.7% 40.8% 5.0% 4.9
New York Times 45.4% 42.3% 5.0% 3.1
TPM Polltracker 46.0% 44.1% 4.9% 1.9
Four-way 270 to Win 45.6% 42.5% 4.8% 2.1% 3.1
Election Projection 45.3% 42.0% 4.8% 2.1% 3.3
Real Clear Politics 45.5% 42.2% 4.7% 1.9% 3.3
CNN Poll of Polls 46.0% 42.0% 5.0% 2.0% 4.0
TPM Polltracker 46.6% 43.8% 4.6% 2.7% 2.8
Election results 48.1% 46.0% 3.3% 1.1% 2.1

Individual polls

Two-way race

Since convention nominations

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Leading by
(points)		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error
Template:Sad[4] November 1–7, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,728 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[5] November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Template:Sad[6] November 4–6, 2016 46% 43% 3 799 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[7] November 3–6, 2016 49% 46% 3 2,220 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[8] November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[9] November 3–6, 2016 43% 42% 1 1,026 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[10] November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[11] November 2–6, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,195 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[12] November 2–6, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[13] October 31 – November 6, 2016 51% 44% 7 70,194 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[14] October 4 – November 6, 2016 43% 39% 4 84,292 ±%
Template:Sad[15] November 3–5, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,282 ± 2.73%
Template:Sad[16] November 2–5, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[17] November 2–5, 2016 45% 44% 1 903 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[18] October 30 – November 5, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,572 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[19] October 30 – November 5, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,988 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[20] November 1–4, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[21] November 1–4, 2016 46% 43% 3 804 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[22] October 31 – November 4, 2016 44% 40% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[23] October 29 – November 4, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,497 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[24] October 29 – November 4, 2016 43% 48% 5 2,987 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[25] November 1–3, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,107 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[26] November 1–3, 2016 46% 44% 2 940 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[27] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 39% 5 2,021 ± 2.6%
Template:Sad[28] October 31 – November 3, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[29] October 30 – November 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 898 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[30] October 28 – November 3, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,395 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[31] October 30 – November 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[32] October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,858 ± 2.6%
Template:Sad[33] October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[34] October 27 – November 2, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,329 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[35] October 29 – November 1, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[36] October 28 – November 1, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,333 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[37] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 39% 6 1,772 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[38] October 30 – November 1, 2016 48% 45% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[39] October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[40] October 26 – November 1, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,383 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[41] October 26 – November 1, 2016 42% 48% 6 3,004 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[42] October 31, 2016 50% 50% Tied 5,360 ± 1.3%
Template:Sad[43] October 28–31, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,182 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[44] October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[45] October 29–30, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,772 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[46] October 27–30, 2016 52% 47% 5 2,075 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[47] October 27–30, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[48] October 26–30, 2016 44% 39% 5 1,264 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[49] October 25–30, 2016 45% 43% 2 993 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[50] October 24–30, 2016 49% 48% 1 1,299 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[51] October 24–30, 2016 51% 44% 7 40,816 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[52] October 26–29, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,165 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[53] October 24–29, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,039 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[54] October 23–29, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,317 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[55] October 27–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,794 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[56] October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[57] October 23–28, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,013 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[58] October 24–27, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,148 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[59] October 22–27, 2016 45% 42% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[60] October 21–27, 2016 42% 36% 6 1,627 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[61] October 21–27, 2016 44% 46% 2 3,248 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[62] October 23–26, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,150 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[63] October 22–26, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,376 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[64] October 21–26, 2016 44% 42% 2 945 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[65] October 20–26, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,363 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[66] October 22–25, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,221 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[67] October 22–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,135 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[68] October 20–25, 2016 50% 43% 7 2,120 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[69] October 20–25, 2016 43% 41% 2 921 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[70] October 19–25, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,349 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[71] October 19–25, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,145 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[72] October 21–24, 2016 47% 37% 10 804 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[73] October 21–24, 2016 51% 43% 8 1,119 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[74] October 21–24, 2016 53% 41% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Template:Sad[75] October 20–24, 2016 54% 41% 13 1,546 ± 2.75%
Template:Sad[76] October 20–24, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,000 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[77] October 20–24, 2016 43% 37% 6 1,170 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[78] October 19–24, 2016 43% 42% 1 873 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[79] October 20–23, 2016 50% 50% Tied 2,109 ± 2.1%
Template:Sad[80] October 20–23, 2016 53% 41% 12 1,155 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[81] October 20–23, 2016 51% 45% 6 779 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[82] October 18–23, 2016 42% 42% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[83] October 17–23, 2016 50% 44% 6 32,225 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[84] October 17–23, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,414 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[85] October 20–22, 2016 53% 41% 12 874 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[86] October 17–22, 2016 42% 43% 1 783 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[87] October 16–21, 2016 42% 42% Tied 791 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[88] October 19–20, 2016 46% 40% 6 1,395 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[89] October 17–20, 2016 49% 42% 7 1,006 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[90] October 15–20, 2016 43% 41% 2 789 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[91] October 14–20, 2016 44% 45% 1 3,001 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[92] October 14–20, 2016 44% 40% 4 1,640 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[93] October 14–19, 2016 43% 41% 2 779 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[94] October 17–18, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,007 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[95] October 15–18, 2016 47% 43% 4 1,300 ± 4.0%
Template:Sad[96] October 13–18, 2016 44% 41% 3 782 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[97] October 15–17, 2016 49% 42% 7 912 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[98] October 14–17, 2016 50% 41% 9 1,006 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[99] October 13–17, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,190 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[100] October 12–17, 2016 51% 36% 15 692 ±4.4%
Template:Sad[101] October 11–17, 2016 51% 46% 5 1,326 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[102] October 14–16, 2016 53% 41% 12 805 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[103] October 12–16, 2016 51% 40% 11 1,411 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[104] October 10–16, 2016 51% 43% 8 24,804 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[105] October 10–16, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,325 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[106] October 13–15, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,737 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[107] October 10–13, 2016 51% 41% 10 905 ±3.3%
Template:Sad[108] October 10–13, 2016 50% 46% 4 740 ±4.0%
Franklin Pierce University/Boston Herald[109] October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,001 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[110] October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8 1,000 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[111] October 7–13, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,482 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[112] October 10–12, 2016 49% 41% 8 917 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[113] October 10, 2016 46% 41% 5 1,757 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[114] October 8–10, 2016 50% 40% 10 900 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[115] October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,363 ± 2.3%
Template:Sad[116] October 4–10, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,367 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[117] September 27 – October 10, 2016 53% 44% 9 3,616 ± 2.9%
Template:Sad[118] October 8–9, 2016 52% 38% 14 422 ± 4.6%
Template:Sad[119] October 3–9, 2016 51% 44% 7 23,329 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[120] October 3–9, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,801 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[121] October 8, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,390 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[122] October 7–8, 2016 48% 43% 5 1,300 ± 4.2%
Template:Sad[123] October 5–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,775 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[124] October 5–6, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,064 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[125] October 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 4 896 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[126] September 30 – October 6, 2016 43% 38% 5 1,695 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[127] September 30 – October 6, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,774 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[128] September 28 – October 4, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,274 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[129] September 28 – October 4, 2016 43% 47% 4 2,369 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[130] October 1–3, 2016 48% 43% 5 911 ± 3.9%
Template:Sad[131] September 29 – October 3, 2016 44% 37% 7 1,928 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[132] September 30 – October 2, 2016 46% 39% 7 1,778 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[133] September 28 – October 2, 2016 50% 40% 10 788 ± 4.4%
Template:Sad[134] September 28 – October 2, 2016 49% 43% 6 1,501 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[135] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,501 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[136] September 26 – October 2, 2016 50% 44% 6 26,925 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[137] September 26 – October 2, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,285 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[138] September 24–30, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,526 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[139] September 27–29, 2016 49% 44% 5 911 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[140] September 23–29, 2016 43% 38% 5 2,501 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[141] September 23–29, 2016 47% 49% 2 1,236 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[142] September 27–28, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[143] September 27–28, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,336 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[144] September 27, 2016 50% 50% Tied 3,386 ± 1.7%
Template:Sad[145] September 26–27, 2016 47% 42% 5 1,833 ±%
Template:Sad[146] September 26–27, 2016 45% 41% 4 1,253 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[147] September 21–27, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,239 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[148] September 22–26, 2016 44% 38% 6 1,041 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[149] September 22–25, 2016 47% 46% 1 1,115 ± 2.9%
Template:Sad[150] September 22–25, 2016 49% 46% 3 729 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[151] September 19–25, 2016 51% 44% 7 13,598 ± 1.1%
Template:Sad[152] September 19–25, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,726 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[153] September 19–25, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,052 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[154] September 22–24, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,712 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[155] September 21–24, 2016 46% 46% Tied 1,002 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[156] September 19–22, 2016 49% 47% 2 651 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[157] September 16–22, 2016 41% 37% 4 1,559 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[158] September 15–21, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,623 ± 2.3%
Template:Sad[159] September 17–20, 2016 47% 44% 3 990 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[160] September 15–20, 2016 48% 41% 7 758 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[161] September 14–20, 2016 42% 46% 4 2,629 ± 2.3%
Template:Sad[162] September 18–19, 2016 45% 44% 1 936 ± 4.0%
Template:Sad[163] September 16–19, 2016 48% 41% 7 922 ± 3.23%
Template:Sad[164] September 15–19, 2016 39% 39% Tied 1,111 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[165] September 15–19, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,251 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[166] September 13–19, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,524 ± 2.2%
Template:Sad[167] September 12–18, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,203 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[168] September 12–18, 2016 50% 45% 5 13,230 ± 1.2%
Template:Sad[169] September 10–16, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,246 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[170] September 9–15, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,229 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[171] September 9–15, 2016 42% 38% 4 1,579 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[172] September 9–15, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,497 ± 2.8%
Template:Sad[173] September 11–14, 2016 45% 46% 1 867 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[174] September 8–14, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,265 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[175] September 8–14, 2016 41% 47% 6 2,499 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[176] September 10–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,087 ± 4.0%
Template:Sad[177] September 9–13, 2016 46% 44% 2 1,433 ± 3%
Template:Sad[178] September 8–13, 2016 48% 43% 5 960 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[179] September 7–13, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,245 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[180] September 7–13, 2016 42% 47% 5 2,550 ± 2.7%
Template:Sad[181] September 8–12, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,127 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[182] September 6–12, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,232 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[183] August 16 – September 12, 2016 52% 44% 8 3,941 ± 2.6%
Template:Sad[184] September 5–11, 2016 48% 44% 4 16,220 ± 1.1%
Template:Sad[185] September 5–11, 2016 46% 49% 3 1,260 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[186] September 6–8, 2016 44% 43% 1 1,710 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[187] September 5–8, 2016 51% 43% 8 642 ± 4.5%
Template:Sad[188] September 2–8, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,653 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[189] September 2–8, 2016 46% 48% 2 1,256 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[190] September 1–7, 2016 47% 48% 1 1,226 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[191] September 4–6, 2016 44% 42% 2 1,077 ± 4.7%
Template:Sad[192] August 31 – September 6, 2016 47% 47% Tied 1,262 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[193] September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 2 1,084 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[194] August 30 – September 5, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,220 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[195] September 1–4, 2016 48% 49% 1 786 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[196] August 29 – September 4, 2016 48% 42% 6 32,226 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[197] August 29 – September 4, 2016 49% 47% 2 1,237 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[198] August 28 – September 3, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,242 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[199] September 1–2, 2016 42% 40% 2 2,001 ± 2%
Template:Sad[200] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 40% 1 1,804 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[201] August 26 – September 1, 2016 44% 43% 1 861 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[202] August 28–30, 2016 48% 42% 6 1,011 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[203] August 24–30, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,162 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[204] August 25–29, 2016 40% 39% 1 1,404 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[205] August 24–29, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,000 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[206] August 23–29, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,173 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[207] August 23–29, 2016 42% 45% 3 2,500 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[208] August 26–28, 2016 48% 43% 5 881 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[209] August 25–28, 2016 49% 42% 7 689 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[210] August 22–28, 2016 48% 42% 6 24,104 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[211] August 22–28, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,145 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[212] August 21–27, 2016 50% 47% 3 1,682 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[213] August 24–26, 2016 43% 40% 3 2,007 ± 2%
Template:Sad[214] August 22–25, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,154 ± 3%
Template:Sad[215] August 20–24, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,049 ± 2.9%
Template:Sad[216] August 18–24, 2016 48% 49% 1 1,720 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[217] August 18–24, 2016 51% 41% 10 1,496 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[218] August 18–24, 2016 44% 44% Tied 2,434 ± 2.3%
Template:Sad[219] August 19–23, 2016 47% 44% 3 1,080 ± 4.1%
Template:Sad[220] August 17–23, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,737 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[221] August 18–22, 2016 45% 33% 12 1,115 ± 3%
Template:Sad[222] August 16–22, 2016 48% 48% Tied 1,752 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[223] August 15–21, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,795 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[224] August 15–21, 2016 50% 42% 8 17,451 ± 1.1%
Template:Sad[225] August 17–20, 2016 47% 42% 5 994 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[226] August 16–20, 2016 44% 38% 6 2,001 ± 2%
Template:Sad[227] August 14–20, 2016 48% 47% 1 1,191 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[228] August 14–20, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,385 ± 2.8%
Template:Sad[229] August 13–17, 2016 41% 36% 5 1,049 ± 2.8%
Template:Sad[230] August 11–17, 2016 50% 46% 4 1,009 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[231] August 9–16, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,069 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[232] August 11–15, 2016 41% 35% 6 1,132 ± 3%
Template:Sad[233] August 9–15, 2016 50% 40% 10 1,000 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[234] August 9–15, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,035 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[235] August 11–14, 2016 44% 37% 7 2,001 ± 2%
Template:Sad[236] August 8–14, 2016 50% 41% 9 15,179 ± 1.2%
Template:Sad[237] August 7–14, 2016 50% 45% 5 975 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[238] August 7–13, 2016 49% 46% 3 1,403 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[239] August 3–10, 2016 49% 45% 4 1,077 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[240] August 6–10, 2016 42% 36% 6 974 ± 2.9%
Template:Sad[241] August 6–9, 2016 48% 41% 7 1,300 ± 4.2%
Template:Sad[242] August 3–9, 2016 48% 46% 2 1,002 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[243] August 5–8, 2016 50% 44% 6 749 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[244] August 4–8, 2016 42% 35% 7 1,152 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[245] August 2–8, 2016 49% 45% 4 993 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[246] August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 6 798 ± 3.9%
Template:Sad[247] August 1–7, 2016 49% 44% 5 1,407 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[248] August 1–7, 2016 51% 41% 10 11,480 ± 1.2%
Template:Sad[249] July 31 – August 6, 2016 50% 43% 7 1,036 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[250] July 31 – August 6, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,146 ± 2.8%
Template:Sad[251] August 4–5, 2016 46% 37% 9 2,001 ± 2%
Template:Sad[252] August 1–4, 2016 51% 44% 7 1,002 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[253] July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 39% 3 1,154 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[254] July 29 – August 4, 2016 50% 44% 6 1,060 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[255] July 29 – August 4, 2016 46% 39% 7 921 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[256] August 1–3, 2016 48% 33% 15 983 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[257] July 31 – August 3, 2016 47% 38% 9 800 ± 3.46%
Template:Sad[258] July 30 – August 3, 2016 43% 39% 4 1,072 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[259] July 28 – August 3, 2016 45% 44% 1 2,175 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[260] July 27 – August 2, 2016 49% 46% 3 989 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[261] July 31 – August 2, 2016 49% 39% 10 1,022 ± 3%
Template:Sad[262] July 27 – August 2, 2016 44% 45% 1 2,186 ± 2.2%
Template:Sad[263] July 31 – August 1, 2016 46% 43% 3 1,300 ± 4%
Template:Sad[264] July 28 – August 1, 2016 43% 35% 8 1,289 ± 3%
Template:Sad[265] July 26 – August 1, 2016 43% 45% 2 2,171 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[266] July 29–31, 2016 52% 43% 9 1,003 ± 3%
Template:Sad[267] July 29–31, 2016 47% 41% 6 1,131 ± 3%
Template:Sad[268] July 25–31, 2016 50% 42% 8 12,742 ± 1.2%
Template:Sad[269] July 29–30, 2016 43% 40% 3 1,931 ± 2%
Template:Sad[270] July 29–30, 2016 50% 45% 5 1,276 ± 2.7%

Polls conducted in 2016

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Polls in 2016

Template:Nationwide opinion polling for the United States presidential election, 2016 (older polls)

Polls conducted in 2015

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Polls in 2015

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Polls conducted in 2014

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Polls in 2014

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Polls conducted in 2013

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Polls in 2013

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Three-way race

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Gary Johnson
Libertarian		 Leading by
(points)		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error
Template:Sad[271] November 1–7, 2016 38% 36% 5% 2 26,574 ± 0.65%
Template:Sad[272] November 1–4, 2016 48% 44% 6% 4 1,151 ± 2.9%
Template:Sad[273] October 20 – November 1, 2016 44% 35% 8% 9 2,269 ± 1.9%
Template:Sad[274] October 20–24, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 21,240 ±0.73%
Template:Sad[275] October 20–21, 2016 46% 40% 5% 6 990 ±%
Template:Sad[276] October 15–19, 2016 39% 34% 6% 5 22,826 ±0.70%
Template:Sad[277] October 10–14, 2016 38% 33% 7% 5 19,900 ±0.75%
Template:Sad[278] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 41% 3% 6 609 ±3.6%
Template:Sad[279] September 27 – October 3, 2016 39% 34% 7% 5 22,006 ±0.71%
Template:Sad[144] September 27, 2016 47% 43% 6% 4 3,386 ±1.7%
Template:Sad[280] September 14–20, 2016 36% 35% 8% 1 20,864 ±0.73%

<templatestyles src="Template:Hidden begin/styles.css"/>

Polls up to August 2, when three-way polls paused
Poll source Date Democratic candidate  % Republican candidate  % Libertarian candidate  % Lead margin
Template:Sad[261]

Sample size: 1,022
Margin of error: ±3%

 July 31 – August 2, 2016 Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 12% 9
Template:Sad[281]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

 July 29 – August 1, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 15% 5
Template:Sad[267]

Sample size: 1,131
Margin of error: ±3%

 July 29–31, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Template:Sad[269]

Sample size: 1,931
Margin of error: ±2%

 July 29–30, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 5
Template:Sad[282]

Sample size: 2,502
Margin of error: ±2%

 July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 10% 4
Template:Sad[283]

Sample size: 1,118 adults
Margin of error ±4%

 July 22–24, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 12% 1
Template:Sad[284]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

 July 13–18, 2016 Hillary Clinton 43% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Template:Sad[285]

Sample size: 2,002
Margin of error: ±2%

 July 14–16, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Template:Sad[286]

Sample size: 1,358
Margin of error: ±3%

 July 8–12, 2016 Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% Tied
Template:Sad[287]

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

 July 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 12% 2
Template:Sad[288]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error: ±3%

 July 5, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 40% Gary Johnson 9% 2
Template:Sad[289]

Sample size: 2,001
Margin of error: ±2%

 June 30 – July 4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 11% 1
Template:Sad[290]

Sample size: 1,017
Margin of error: ±3%

 June 26–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 10% 5
Template:Sad[291]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error: ±3.27%

 June 23–28, 2016 Hillary Clinton 48% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 11
Template:Sad[292]

Sample size: 1,300
Margin of error: ±3.9%

 June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 40% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 8% 5
Template:Sad[293]

Sample size: 4001
Margin of error: ±2%

 June 24–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 3
Template:Sad[294]

Sample size: 1,655
Margin of error: ±2.7%

 June 15–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 45% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 11% 9
Template:Sad[295]

Sample size: 3891
Margin of error: ±2%

 June 15–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 38% Gary Johnson 10% Tied
Template:Sad[296]

Sample size: 1048
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

 June 9–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 32% Gary Johnson 11% 7
Template:Sad[297]

Sample size: 750
Margin of error: ± 3.6%

 June 10–13, 2016 Hillary Clinton 49% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 9% 12
Template:Sad[298]

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

 June 8–9, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 33% Gary Johnson 10% 6
Template:Sad[299]

Sample size: 1004
Margin of error: ± 3%

 June 5–8, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 36% Gary Johnson 12% 3
Template:Sad[300]

Sample size: 1000
Margin of error: ± 3%

 June 6–7, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson 8% 1
rowspan="2" Template:Sad[301]

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

 June 1–4, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson (identified as Independent) 10% 2
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Gary Johnson (identified as Libertarian) 10% 1
Template:Sad[302]

Sample size: 2001
Margin of error: ± 2%

 May 19–23, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Donald Trump 35% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Template:Sad[303]

Sample size: 1,021
Margin of error: ± 3.0%

 May 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 39% Donald Trump 42% Gary Johnson 10% 3
Template:Sad[304]

Sample size: 848
Margin of error ±3.4%

 March 17–20, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 34% Gary Johnson 11% 8
Poll source Date Democratic candidate  % Republican candidate  % Third candidate  % Lead margin
Template:Sad[305]

Sample size: 823
Margin of error: ± 3.5%

 May 16–19, 2016 Hillary Clinton 37% Donald Trump 35% Mitt Romney 22% 2
rowspan="4" Template:Sad[306]

Sample size: 1,083
Margin of error ±3.0%

 March 24–26, 2016 Hillary Clinton 42% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 10% 5
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 37% Deez Nuts 8% 6
Hillary Clinton 44% Donald Trump 35% Rick Perry 12% 9
Bernie Sanders 43% Donald Trump 34% Rick Perry 12% 9
rowspan="2" Template:Sad[307]

Sample size: 1,342
Margin of error ±2.7%

 February 10–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 38% Donald Trump 38% Michael Bloomberg 12% Tied
Bernie Sanders 39% Ted Cruz 33% Michael Bloomberg 14% 6
Template:Sad[308]

Sample size: 1,000
Margin of error ± 3%

 February 11–15, 2016 Bernie Sanders 30% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 16% 7
rowspan="2" Template:Sad[309]

Sample size: 1,125
Margin of error ±2.9%

 February 2–4, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
Bernie Sanders 37% Ted Cruz 36% Michael Bloomberg 15% 1
rowspan="2" Template:Sad[310]

Sample size: 1,236
Margin of error

 February 2–3, 2016 Hillary Clinton 41% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Bernie Sanders 36% Donald Trump 39% Michael Bloomberg 13% 3
rowspan="3" Template:Sad[311]

Sample size: 900
Margin of error ±3.3%

 January 26–27, 2016 Hillary Clinton 33% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 29% 4
Hillary Clinton 37% Ted Cruz 35% Michael Bloomberg 28% 2
Hillary Clinton 35% Marco Rubio 38% Michael Bloomberg 28% 3
rowspan="3" Template:Sad[312]

Sample size: 1,439
Margin of error ±3%

 January 21–24, 2016 Bernie Sanders 35% Donald Trump 34% Michael Bloomberg 12% 1
Bernie Sanders 36% Ted Cruz 28% Michael Bloomberg 11% 8
Bernie Sanders 36% Marco Rubio 29% Michael Bloomberg 10% 7
rowspan="3" Template:Sad[313]

Sample size: 4,060
Margin of error ±2%

 January 14–17, 2016 Hillary Clinton 38% Ted Cruz 34% Michael Bloomberg 11% 4
Hillary Clinton 38% Marco Rubio 33% Michael Bloomberg 10% 5
Hillary Clinton 36% Donald Trump 37% Michael Bloomberg 13% 1
rowspan="5" Template:Sad[314] November 29 – December 3, 2015 Hillary Clinton 45.4% Ted Cruz 19.9% Donald Trump 26.1% 19.3
Hillary Clinton 44.8% Carly Fiorina 14.9% Donald Trump 29.6% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 44.0% Ben Carson 20.1% Donald Trump 25.7% 18.3
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Marco Rubio 21.8% Donald Trump 25.9% 17.4
Hillary Clinton 43.3% Jeb Bush 19.6% Donald Trump 29.5% 13.8
rowspan="5" Template:Sad[315]

Margin of error ±6.0%
Sample size: 1005

 October 17–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42.7% Jeb Bush 22.8% Donald Trump 24.2% 18.5
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Carly Fiorina 22.6% Donald Trump 23.8% 19.9
Hillary Clinton 43.1% Ben Carson 27.9% Donald Trump 20.2% 15.2
Hillary Clinton 43.7% Marco Rubio 24.6% Donald Trump 22.9% 19.1
Hillary Clinton 44.9% Ted Cruz 18.6% Donald Trump 24.1% 20.8
Template:Sad[316]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 1254		 August 28–30, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 23% Donald Trump 27% 15
rowspan="3" Template:Sad[317]

Sample size: 1008

 August 11–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton 42% Carly Fiorina 24% Donald Trump 25% 17
Hillary Clinton 42% Marco Rubio 30% Donald Trump 22% 12
Hillary Clinton 42% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 23% 13
Template:Sad[318]
Margin of error: ±2.8%
Sample size: 964		 July 22–28, 2015 Hillary Clinton 44% Jeb Bush 29% Donald Trump 20% 15
Template:Sad[319]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 1,087		 July 20–21, 2015 Hillary Clinton 43% Jeb Bush 25% Donald Trump 23% 18
Template:Sad[320]
Margin of error: ±4.0%
Sample size: 815		 July 16–19, 2015 Hillary Clinton 47% Jeb Bush 30% Donald Trump 20% 17

Four-way race

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Gary Johnson
Libertarian		 Jill Stein
Green		 Leading by
(points)		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error
Template:Sad[5] November 4–7, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 3,677 ± 1.7%
Template:Sad[321] November 4–7, 2016 49% 45% 4% 1% 4 940 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[6] November 4–6, 2016 44% 41% 4% 2% 3 799 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[322] November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 3% 2% 4 16,639 ± 0.8%
Template:Sad[7] November 3–6, 2016 47% 43% 4% 1% 4 2,220 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[8] November 3–6, 2016 48% 44% 3% 2% 4 1,295 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[9] November 3–6, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,026 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[10] November 3–6, 2016 50% 44% 4% 1% 6 802 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[11] November 2–6, 2016 42% 39% 6% 3% 3 2,195 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[12] November 2–6, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 1,426 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[323] November 2–6, 2016 45% 43% 4% 2% 2 1,500 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[13] October 31– November 6, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 70,194 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[324] November 4–5, 2016 45% 42% 8% 2% 3 1,482 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[15] November 3–5, 2016 44% 40% 6% 2% 4 1,282 ± 2.73%
Template:Sad[16] November 2–5, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,937 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[17] November 2–5, 2016 43% 44% 5% 2% 1 903 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[325] November 1–5, 2016 48% 44% 4% 2% 4 1,009 ± 3.1%
Template:Sad[20] November 1–4, 2016 48% 43% 4% 2% 5 1,685 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[21] November 1–4, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 804 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[22] October 31 – November 4, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 2,244 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[326] November 1–3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 1% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[25] November 1–3, 2016 45% 43% 5% 2% 2 1,107 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[26] November 1–3, 2016 44% 43% 6% 2% 1 940 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[29] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 898 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[28] October 31 – November 3, 2016 47% 43% 4% 2% 4 1,419 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[27] October 30 – November 3, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,021 ± 2.6%
Template:Sad[327] November 1–2, 2016 47% 45% 3% 1% 2 2,435 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[328] October 31 – November 2, 2016 42% 45% 4% 1% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[31] October 30 – November 2, 2016 47% 44% 3% 2% 3 1,151 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[33] October 29 – November 2, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 867 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[32] October 29 – November 2, 2016 45% 37% 5% 2% 8 1,858 ± 2.6%
Template:Sad[329] October 30 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[38] October 30 – November 1, 2016 46% 43% 4% 2% 3 1,233 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[35] October 29 – November 1, 2016 47% 45% 3% 2% 2 1,167 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[36] October 28 – November 1, 2016 45% 42% 5% 4% 3 862 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[37] October 28 – November 1, 2016 55% 47% 5% 2% 8 1,772 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[39] October 27 – November 1, 2016 44% 44% 4% 2% Tied 862 ± 3.4%
Template:Sad[42] October 31, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 5,360 ± 1.3%
Template:Sad[43] October 28–31, 2016 46% 46% 3% 2% Tied 1,167 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[330] October 27–31, 2016 45% 45% 5% 2% Tied 1,500 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[44] October 26–31, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 1,018 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[45] October 29–30, 2016 42% 39% 7% 5% 3 1,772 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[47] October 27–30, 2016 45% 46% 3% 2% 1 1,167 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[48] October 26–30, 2016 43% 37% 6% 1% 6 1,264 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[331] October 26–30, 2016 45% 42% 5% 2% 3 1,500 ± 2.5%
Template:Sad[49] October 25–30, 2016 45% 44% 4% 2% 1 993 ± 3.2%
Template:Sad[51] October 24–30, 2016 47% 41% 6% 3% 6 40,816 ±1.0%
Template:Sad[52] October 26–29, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,165 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[53] October 24–29, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 1,039 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[332] October 27–28, 2016 37% 37% 6% 2% Tied 943 ± 3.7%
Template:Sad[55] October 27–28, 2016 42% 39% 8% 4% 3 1,794 ± 2.0%
Template:Sad[56] October 25–28, 2016 46% 45% 4% 2% 1 1,160 ± 3.0%
Template:Sad[57] October 23–28, 2016 45% 41% 7% 2% 4 1,013 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[333] October 25–27, 2016 45% 45% 3% 2% Tied 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[58] October 24–27, 2016 47% 45% 4% 2% 2 1,148 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[59] October 22–27, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 973 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[334] October 25–26, 2016 46% 45% 3% 1% 1 1,824 ±2.3%
Template:Sad[335] October 24–26, 2016 45% 44% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[62] October 23–26, 2016 48% 44% 4% 1% 4 1,150 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[63] October 22–26, 2016 46% 41% 4% 2% 5 1,376 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[336] October 22–26, 2016 45% 34% 6% 2% 11 1,050 ±%
Template:Sad[64] October 21–26, 2016 43% 41% 8% 2% 2 945 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[337] October 23–25, 2016 44% 43% 4% 1% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[66] October 22–25, 2016 44% 41% 7% 3% 3 1,221 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[67] October 22–25, 2016 48% 42% 5% 1% 6 1,135 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[68] October 20–25, 2016 46% 40% 6% 3% 6 2,120 ± 2.4%
Template:Sad[69] October 20–25, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 921 ± 3.3%
Template:Sad[72] October 21–24, 2016 43% 34% 7% 2% 9 804 ± 3.5%
Template:Sad[73] October 21–24, 2016 49% 40% 5% 2% 9 1,119 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[74] October 21–24, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 900 ± 3.27%
Template:Sad[75] October 20–24, 2016 51% 37% 6% 2% 14 1,546 ± 2.75%
Template:Sad[76] October 20–24, 2016 47% 38% 4% 2% 9 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[77] October 20–24, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,170 ±3.3%
Template:Sad[338] October 20–24, 2016 43% 42% 5% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[78] October 19–24, 2016 42% 41% 8% 3% 1 873 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[80] October 20–23, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,155 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[81] October 20–23, 2016 49% 44% 3% 2% 5 779 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[339] October 19–23, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[82] October 18–23, 2016 41% 41% 7% 3% Tied 815 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[340] October 18–23, 2016 45% 40% 6% 1% 5 569 ±4.1%
Template:Sad[83] October 17–23, 2016 46% 41% 7% 3% 5 32,225 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[85] October 20–22, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 1,391 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[86] October 17–22, 2016 41% 43% 7% 3% 2 783 ± 3.6%
Template:Sad[87] October 16–21, 2016 40% 42% 7% 4% 2 791 ±3.6%
Template:Sad[88] October 19–20, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 1,395 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[341] October 18–20, 2016 41% 43% 5% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[92] October 14–20, 2016 43% 39% 6% 2% 4 1,640 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[342] October 17–19, 2016 40% 43% 6% 3% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[93] October 14–19, 2016 40% 41% 7% 5% 1 779 ±3.6%
Template:Sad[94] October 17–18, 2016 47% 40% 7% 1% 7 1,007 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[95] October 15–18, 2016 42% 38% 6% 1% 4 1,300 ±3.9%
Template:Sad[96] October 13–18, 2016 40% 41% 8% 6% 1 782 ±3.6%
Template:Sad[97] October 15–17, 2016 45% 39% 5% 3% 6 912 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[98] October 14–17, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,006 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[343] October 13–17, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[99] October 13–17, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,190 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[102] October 14–16, 2016 50% 38% 5% 2% 12 805 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[103] October 12–16, 2016 47% 38% 8% 3% 9 1,411 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[344] October 12–16, 2016 43% 41% 5% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[104] October 10–16, 2016 46% 40% 8% 4% 6 24,804 ± 1.0%
Template:Sad[106] October 13–15, 2016 42% 36% 10% 3% 6 1,737 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[345] October 11–14, 2016 46% 36% 5% 2% 10 845 ±3.4%
Template:Sad[346] October 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[107] October 10–13, 2016 48% 37% 7% 2% 11 1,000 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[108] October 10–13, 2016 47% 43% 5% 2% 4 740 ±4.0%
Template:Sad[109] October 9–13, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,011 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[110] October 8–13, 2016 47% 39% 8% 2% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[112] October 10–12, 2016 45% 38% 7% 3% 7 917 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[347] October 10–12, 2016 41% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[348] October 10–11, 2016 47% 41% 7% 3% 6 953 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[349] October 9–11, 2016 43% 39% 7% 2% 4 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[113] October 10, 2016 42% 37% 10% 3% 5 1,757 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[114] October 8–10, 2016 45% 36% 8% 2% 9 806 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[350] October 6–10, 2016 44% 39% 7% 2% 5 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[115] October 6–10, 2016 44% 37% 6% 2% 7 2,363 ±2.3%
Template:Sad[117] September 27 – October 10, 2016 46% 39% 10% 4% 7 3,616 ± 2.9%
Template:Sad[118] October 8–9, 2016 46% 35% 9% 2% 11 422 ±4.6%
Template:Sad[351] October 5–9, 2016 45% 38% 7% 2% 7 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[352] October 5–9, 2016 49% 38% 2% 0% 11 886 ±3.9%
Template:Sad[119] October 3–9, 2016 46% 41% 8% 3% 5 23,329 ±1.0%
Template:Sad[121] October 8, 2016 42% 38% 8% 3% 4 1,390 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[122] October 7–8, 2016 44% 38% 5% 1% 6 1,300 ±4.3%
Template:Sad[123] October 5–6, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,775 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[124] October 5–6, 2016 45% 40% 6% 2% 5 1,064 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[353] October 4–6, 2016 43% 42% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[125] October 3–6, 2016 44% 42% 6% 2% 2 896 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[126] September 30 – October 6, 2016 42% 37% 8% 2% 5 1,695 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[354] October 3–5, 2016 41% 43% 8% 3% 2 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[355] October 3, 2016 44% 44% 5% 1% Tied 1,690 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[130] October 1–3, 2016 43% 40% 5% 3% 3 911 ±3.9%
Template:Sad[131] September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 36% 8% 2% 6 1,239 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[356] September 29 – October 3, 2016 42% 41% 9% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[132] September 30 – October 2, 2016 42% 36% 9% 3% 6 1,778 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[133] September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 36% 11% 3% 9 385 ±5.0%
Template:Sad[134] September 28 – October 2, 2016 45% 41% 8% 3% 4 1,217 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[135] September 28 – October 2, 2016 47% 42% 7% 2% 5 N/A ±N/A%
Template:Sad[357] September 28 – October 2, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[136] September 26 – October 2, 2016 46% 40% 9% 3% 6 26,925 ±1.0%
Template:Sad[139] September 27–29, 2016 43% 40% 8% 4% 3 911 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[140] September 23–29, 2016 42% 38% 7% 3% 4 2,501 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[358] September 26–28, 2016 42% 41% 7% 2% 1 1,500 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[146] September 26–27, 2016 41% 38% 8% 4% 3 1,253 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[359] September 1–27, 2016 49% 41% 4% 1% 8 2,010 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[148] September 22–26, 2016 42% 38% 7% 2% 4 1,041 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[149] September 22–25, 2016 44% 43% 8% 2% 1 1,115 ±2.9%
Template:Sad[150] September 22–25, 2016 46% 42% 8% 2% 4 729 ±3.6%
Template:Sad[151] September 19–25, 2016 45% 40% 10% 3% 5 13,598 ±1.1%
Template:Sad[154] September 22–24, 2016 38% 39% 9% 4% 1 1,712 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[360] September 22–24, 2016 44% 41% 5% 2% 3 948 ±3.8%
Template:Sad[155] September 21–24, 2016 41% 43% 8% 4% 2 1,002 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[156] September 19–22, 2016 46% 44% 5% 1% 2 651 ±4.5%
Template:Sad[361] September 18–22, 2016 45% 43% 6% 2% 2 1,017 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[157] September 16–22, 2016 39% 37% 7% 2% 2 1,559 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[362] September 20–21, 2016 39% 44% 8% 2% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[363] September 20, 2016 44% 40% 5% 2% 4 1,560 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[160] September 15–20, 2016 45% 39% 10% 4% 6 758 ±3.6%
Template:Sad[162] September 18–19, 2016 40% 38% 7% 2% 2 936 ±4.0%
Template:Sad[163] September 16–19, 2016 43% 37% 9% 3% 6 922 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[364] September 15–19, 2016 42% 37% 5% 3% 5 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[164] September 15–19, 2016 37% 39% 7% 2% 2 1,111 ±3.4%
Template:Sad[165] September 15–19, 2016 45% 39% 9% 2% 6 1,251 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[168] September 12–18, 2016 45% 40% 10% 4% 5 13,230 ±1.2%
Template:Sad[365] September 15–16, 2016 42% 40% 8% 3% 2 1,639 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[366] September 12–16, 2016 46% 41% 9% 4% 5 1,005 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[173] September 11–14, 2016 41% 40% 8% 3% 1 867 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[367] September 12–13, 2016 40% 42% 7% 2% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[368] September 11–13, 2016 41% 43% 9% 2% 2 800 ±3.4%
Template:Sad[176] September 10–13, 2016 42% 40% 5% 3% 2 1,087 ±4.0%
Template:Sad[177] September 9–13, 2016 42% 42% 8% 4% Tied 1,433 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[178] September 8–13, 2016 41% 39% 13% 4% 2 960 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[181] September 8–12, 2016 39% 39% 8% 2% Tied 1,127 ±3.3%
Template:Sad[183] August 16 – September 12, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 2 3,941 ±2.6%
Template:Sad[184] September 5–11, 2016 42% 40% 11% 4% 2 16,220 ±1.1%
Template:Sad[369] September 7–8, 2016 43% 40% 7% 1% 3 2,348 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[186] September 6–8, 2016 43% 41% 10% 3% 2 1,710 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[187] September 5–8, 2016 46% 41% 9% 2% 5 642 ±4.5%
Template:Sad[370] September 6–7, 2016 43% 39% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[191] September 4–6, 2016 40% 38% 7% 5% 2 1,077 ±4.7%
Template:Sad[193] September 1–5, 2016 40% 38% 8% 3% 2 1,084 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[195] September 1–4, 2016 43% 45% 7% 2% 2 786 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[371] August 31 – September 4, 2016 44% 41% 8% 3% 3 1,025 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[196] August 29 – September 4, 2016 41% 37% 12% 4% 4 32,226 ±1.0%
Template:Sad[199] September 1–2, 2016 38% 36% 9% 4% 2 2,001 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[372] August 28 – September 1, 2016 42% 40% 11% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[200] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 7% 2% Tied 1,804 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[201] August 26 – September 1, 2016 39% 39% 12% 3% Tied 861 ±3.4%
Template:Sad[373] August 29–30, 2016 39% 40% 7% 3% 1 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[202] August 28–30, 2016 41% 39% 9% 4% 2 1,011 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[374] August 27–29, 2016 42% 37% 7% 3% 5 1,119 ±4.0%
Template:Sad[204] August 25–29, 2016 40% 38% 6% 2% 2 1,404 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[205] August 25–29, 2016 42% 35% 9% 4% 7 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[209] August 25–28, 2016 43% 36% 8% 2% 7 689 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[210] August 22–28, 2016 41% 37% 11% 5% 4 24,104 ±1.0%
Template:Sad[213] August 24–26, 2016 39% 37% 8% 3% 2 2,007 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[214] August 22–25, 2016 39% 36% 7% 3% 3 1,154 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[375] August 23–24, 2016 42% 38% 9% 2% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[215] August 20–24, 2016 39% 36% 7% 2% 3 1,049 ±2.9%
Template:Sad[217] August 18–24, 2016 45% 38% 10% 4% 7 1,498 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[376] August 22–23, 2016 42% 41% 4% 1% 1 1,493 ±2.5%
Template:Sad[219] August 19–23, 2016 42% 38% 6% 4% 4 1,080 ±4.1%
Template:Sad[221] August 18–22, 2016 41% 33% 7% 2% 8 1,115 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[224] August 15–21, 2016 43% 38% 11% 5% 5 17,451 ±1.1%
Template:Sad[226] August 16–20, 2016 39% 36% 8% 4% 3 2,001 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[229] August 13–17, 2016 39% 35% 7% 2% 4 1,049 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[377] August 15–16, 2016 41% 39% 9% 3% 2 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[378] August 11–16, 2016 41% 35% 7% 3% 6 1,076 ±4.1%
Template:Sad[379] August 9–16, 2016 41% 37% 10% 4% 4 1,567 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[233] August 9–15, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,000 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[236] August 8–14, 2016 43% 37% 11% 4% 6 15,179 ±1.2%
Template:Sad[380] August 12–13, 2016 38% 36% 8% 5% 2 1,277 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[235] August 11–14, 2016 39% 33% 9% 4% 6 2,001 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[240] August 6–10, 2016 40% 35% 7% 3% 5 974 ±2.9%
Template:Sad[381] August 9–10, 2016 43% 40% 8% 2% 3 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[382] August 9, 2016 42% 37% 9% 3% 5 2,832 ±1.8%
Template:Sad[241] August 6–9, 2016 42% 36% 9% 2% 6 1,300 ±4.2%
Template:Sad[243] August 5–8, 2016 44% 40% 9% 4% 4 749 ±3.6%
Template:Sad[246] August 4–7, 2016 45% 39% 2% 1% 6 1,000 ±3.9%
Template:Sad[383] August 4–7, 2016 46% 34% 7% 2% 12 803 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[248] August 1–7, 2016 44% 38% 10% 4% 6 11,480 ±1.2%
Template:Sad[251] August 4–5, 2016 41% 33% 9% 5% 8 2,001 ±2.0%
Template:Sad[252] August 1–4, 2016 45% 37% 8% 4% 8 1,002 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[253] July 31 – August 4, 2016 42% 40% 6% 3% 2 1,154 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[255] July 29 – August 4, 2016 39% 35% 12% 5% 4 851 ±3.4%
Template:Sad[256] August 1–3, 2016 45% 31% 10% 6% 14 983 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[257] July 31 – August 3, 2016 43% 34% 10% 5% 9 800 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[258] July 30 – August 3, 2016 42% 38% 6% 2% 4 1,072 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[384] August 1–2, 2016 44% 40% 6% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[263] July 31 – August 1, 2016 41% 36% 8% 4% 5 1,300 ±4.0%
Template:Sad[266] July 29–31, 2016 45% 37% 9% 5% 8 894 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[268] July 25–31, 2016 43% 38% 9% 4% 5 12,742 ±1.2%
Template:Sad[270] July 29–30, 2016 46% 41% 6% 2% 5 1,276 ±2.7%
Template:Sad[385] July 29, 2016 46% 31% 7% 2% 15 956 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[386] July 25–29, 2016 37% 37% 5% 1% Tied 1,788 ±2.4%
Template:Sad[387] July 23–24, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,300 ±4.5%
Template:Sad[388] July 22–24, 2016 39% 44% 9% 3% 5 882 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[389] July 21–24, 2016 46% 42% 1% 1% 4 818 ±4.0%
Template:Sad[390] July 18–24, 2016 39% 41% 10% 5% 2 12,931 ±1.2%
Template:Sad[391] July 22, 2016 39% 34% 8% 3% 5 909 ±3.3%
Template:Sad[392] July 21–22, 2016 40% 39% 3% 2% 1 912 ±N/A%
Template:Sad[393] July 16–20, 2016 39% 35% 7% 3% 4 1,522 ±2.9%
Template:Sad[394] July 15–17, 2016 40% 37% 5% 4% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
Template:Sad[395] July 11–17, 2016 39% 40% 10% 5% 1 9,436 ±1.4%
Template:Sad[396] July 14–16, 2016 45% 43% 5% 1% 2 688 ±3.7%
Template:Sad[397] July 13–16, 2016 44% 41% 7% 2% 3 1,007 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[398] July 13–16, 2016 42% 37% 13% 5% 5 872 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[399] July 11–14, 2016 39% 35% 9% 3% 4 1,000 ±N/A%
Template:Sad[400] July 11–14, 2016 42% 38% 8% 5% 4 1,003 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[401] July 9–13, 2016 41% 35% 11% 6% 6 1,000 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[402] July 9–11, 2016 40% 37% 5% 2% 3 1,300 ±4.2%
Template:Sad[403] July 7–11, 2016 40% 36% 6% 2% 4 837 ±3.3%
Template:Sad[404] July 4–10, 2016 40% 38% 11% 6% 2 7,869 ±1.4%
Template:Sad[405] July 7–9, 2016 41% 29% 9% 2% 12 781 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[406] July 5–9, 2016 40% 35% 10% 5% 5 1,249 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[407] July 2–6, 2016 42% 33% 6% 4% 9 1,345 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[408] July 2–4, 2016 42% 37% 4% 3% 5 1,300 ±3.9%
Template:Sad[409] June 27 – July 3, 2016 41% 38% 9% 5% 3 10,072 ±1.3%
Template:Sad[410] June 26–29, 2016 39% 35% 8% 3% 4 1,000 ±3.0%
Template:Sad[411] June 25–29, 2016 42% 31% 5% 4% 11 1,247 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[412] June 24–29, 2016 37% 36% 9% 5% 1 837 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[413] June 27–28, 2016 45% 41% 5% 2% 4 947 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[414] June 21–27, 2016 39% 37% 8% 4% 2 1,610 ±2.4%
Template:Sad[415] June 20–26, 2016 42% 36% 9% 5% 6 5,818 ±1.8%
Template:Sad[416] June 20–23, 2016 47% 37% 7% 3% 10 836 ±4.0%
Template:Sad[417] June 19–23, 2016 39% 38% 10% 6% 1 1,000 ±3.1%
Template:Sad[418] June 18–22, 2016 43% 34% 6% 5% 9 1,339 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[419] June 16–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 7% 4 891 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[420] June 15–19, 2016 42% 36% 9% 4% 6 803 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[421] June 13–19, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 16,135 ±1.1%
Template:Sad[422] June 11–15, 2016 39% 29% 6% 4% 10 1,323 ±2.8%
Template:Sad[423] June 6–12, 2016 42% 38% 9% 5% 4 10,604 ±1.3%
Template:Sad[424] June 8, 2016 39% 36% 6% 4% 3 1,408 ±2.7%
Template:Sad[425] May 30 – June 5, 2016 40% 34% 6% 2% 6 837 ±3.5%
Template:Sad[426] May 30 – June 5, 2016 39% 40% 9% 4% 1 9,240 ±1.4%
Template:Sad[427] May 24–30, 2016 40% 38% 5% 3% 2 1,561 ±2.5%

Five-way race

Poll source Date Hillary Clinton
Democratic		 Donald Trump
Republican		 Gary Johnson
Libertarian		 Jill Stein
Green		 Evan McMullin
Independent		 Leading by
(points)		 Sample
size		 Margin
of error
Template:Sad[336] October 22–26, 2016 42% 31% 6% 1% 5% 11 1,050 ±%
Template:Sad[142] September 27–28, 2016 44% 40% 6% 1% 2% 4 933 ±3.2%
Template:Sad[145] September 26–27, 2016 44% 39% 6% 2% 1% 5 1,833 –
Template:Sad[208] August 26–28, 2016 42% 37% 6% 4% 1% 5 881 ±3.3%

Post election analysis

BBC News questioned whether polling should be abandoned due to its abject failure.[1] Forbes magazine contributor astrophysicist Ethan Siegel performed a scientific analysis and raised whether the statistical population sampled for the polling was inaccurate, and cited the cautionary adage "Garbage in, garbage out".[2] He concluded there may have been sampling bias on the part of the pollsters.[2] Siegel compared the 2016 election to the failure of prognosticator Arthur Henning in the "Dewey Defeats Truman" incident from the 1948 presidential election.[2]

A particular case was the USC/Los Angeles Times Daybreak tracking poll, which was different from other polls as it had Donald Trump in the lead more often than not.[428] The poll’s findings caused skepticism, especially from Democrats, who have denounced it and often criticized the LA Times for running it. Before the election, Nate Silver deemed as positive the poll allowed people to assign themselves a probability of voting for either candidate instead of saying they’re 100 percent sure and stated that if people are "going to browbeat a pollster, [let's] do it to a pollster who is doing things cheaply—some of the robopolls qualify—and not one that’s trying to move the ball forward, like the LA Times poll."[429] The LA Times concluded after the preliminary results of the election were published: "That doesn't necessarily mean that a poll conducted online, the way the Daybreak poll is, necessarily will be more accurate than polls conducted by phone. But it is yet another indication that polling needs more, diverse ways to look at public opinion, not fewer."[430]

See also

General election polling

Democratic primary polling

Republican primary polling

References

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. ↑ 2.0 2.1 2.2 2.3 2.4 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. ↑ http://www.nbcconnecticut.com/news/politics/Quick-Dirty-Guide-Polls-2016-Elections-396973901.html
  4. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. ↑ 5.0 5.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. ↑ 6.0 6.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  230. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  236. ↑ 236.0 236.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  238. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  239. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  240. ↑ 240.0 240.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  241. ↑ 241.0 241.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  242. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  243. ↑ 243.0 243.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  244. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  245. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  247. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  249. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  281. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  282. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named morningjuly25
  283. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named cbsjuly25
  284. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named gqrjuly19
  285. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named morningjuly18
  286. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named cbsjuly14
  287. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named morningjuly11
  288. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  289. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named mcjuly5-2016
  290. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named foxjune29
  291. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  292. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  293. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named mcjune27-2016
  294. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named pewjune7
  295. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  296. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  297. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  298. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  299. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  300. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Rasmussen-20160609
  301. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  302. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named morningconsult-may24
  303. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named fox-may-2016
  304. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named monmouth20160324
  305. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named abcwaspost
  306. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ppp20160331
  307. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  308. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  309. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named bl
  310. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  311. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  312. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  313. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  314. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  315. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named saintleo
  316. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  317. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Fox_8-13-15_with_3_way
  318. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named MM_7-25-15_with_3_way
  319. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named PPP_with_3_way
  320. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named abcwapostthreeway
  321. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  322. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  323. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  324. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  325. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  326. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  327. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  328. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  329. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  330. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  331. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  332. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  333. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  334. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  335. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  336. ↑ 336.0 336.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  337. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  338. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  339. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  340. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  341. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  342. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  343. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  344. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  345. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  346. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  347. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  348. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  349. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  350. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  351. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  352. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  354. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  357. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  358. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  359. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  360. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  361. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  362. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  363. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  364. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  365. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  366. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  367. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  368. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  369. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  370. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  371. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  372. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  373. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  374. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  375. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  376. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  377. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  378. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  379. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  380. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  381. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  382. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  383. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  384. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  385. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  386. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ipsosjuly29
  387. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named yge2016072324
  388. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named cnnorcjuly25
  389. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  390. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named nbcsmjuly26
  391. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  392. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  393. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ipsosjuly20
  394. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  395. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named nbcsmjuly19
  396. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  397. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  398. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named cnnorcjuly17
  399. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named icitizenjuly19
  400. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named abcwpjuly17
  401. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named nbcwsjjuly
  402. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named egovjuly13-2016
  403. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  404. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named nbcsmjuly12
  405. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  406. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named mmjuly12
  407. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ipsosjuly7
  408. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named egovjuly6-2016
  409. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named nbcsmjuly5
  410. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named suffolkjuly4
  411. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ipsosjune30
  412. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named ibdtippjune
  413. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named pppjune30
  414. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named quinnjune29
  415. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named nbcsmjune28
  416. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named abcwpjune
  417. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named nbcwsjjune
  418. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named IpsosReuters1
  419. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named CNNORC1
  420. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named Monmouth216
  421. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named NBCNews1
  422. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  423. ↑ Cite error: Invalid <ref> tag; no text was provided for refs named NBC-June14-2016
  424. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  425. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  426. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  427. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  428. ↑ http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-poll-faq-20161006-snap-story.html
  429. ↑ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/election-update-dont-ignore-the-polls-clinton-leads-but-its-a-close-race/
  430. ↑ http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-usc-latimes-poll-20161108-story.html
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