Next Conservative Party (UK) leadership election

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Conservative Party (UK) leadership election

← 2005

Incumbent Leader

David Cameron



During the 2015 general election campaign, David Cameron, the current Leader of the Conservative Party, announced that he would not seek a third term; he is therefore expected to stand down before the next general election,[1] which would trigger the next Conservative Party leadership election. Although the date of the leadership election is not known, the winner could also succeed Cameron as Prime Minister of the United Kingdom, as the Conservative Party is currently the majority party in the House of Commons.[2]

Candidates

Publicly expressed interest

As of March 2024, the following potential candidates have publicly expressed interest in running for party leader.

Potential

As of March 2024, the following individuals have been the subjects of speculation as potential leadership candidates.

Cabinet ministers
Junior ministers
Backbench MPs

Declined

The following individuals were the focus of media speculation as being possible leadership candidates, but have ruled out a bid.

Opinion polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin
of error
Philip
Hammond
Jeremy
Hunt
Sajid
Javid
Boris
Johnson
Theresa
May
Nicky
Morgan
George
Osborne
Other/
Undecided
YouGov[18] 23–26 February 2016 1,005 Conservative Party members ± 4% 7% 43% 19% 1% 22% 7%
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard[19][20] 14–17 November 2015 307 Conservative voters[lower-alpha 1] 32% 26% 23% 19%
1,021 British residents[lower-alpha 2] ± 4% 25% 19% 11% 45%
Ipsos MORI[21] 19–23 September 2015 395 Conservative voters[lower-alpha 1] 29% 18% 32% 20%
1,255 British residents[lower-alpha 2] 27% 17% 15% 41%
Survation/Huffington Post UK[22][23] 21–22 September 2015 303 Conservative voters[lower-alpha 1] 2.0% 2.9% 30.4% 16.3% 0.9% 26.2% 21.3%
1,008 British residents[lower-alpha 2] 1.9% 2% 25% 11.2% 2.1% 14.6% 43.3%
  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 People who are likely to vote Conservative in next general election.
  2. 2.0 2.1 2.2 Residents over 18 in Great Britain.

References

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See also