United States Senate election in Alabama, 2016
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in Alabama will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Alabama, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Richard Shelby is running for re-election to a sixth term in office. The primaries were held on March 1.[1]
Contents
Background
Shelby was first elected to the Senate in 1986 as a Democrat and was easily re-elected in 1992 as such. He switched his party affiliation to Republican on November 9, 1994, one day after the Republicans won control of both houses in the midterm elections. He won his first full term as a Republican in 1998 by a large margin and faced no significant opposition in 2004 or 2010.
Republican primary
Following the divisive Republican primary in Mississippi ahead of the 2014 election in which Senator Thad Cochran was almost defeated, it has been speculated that Shelby could also face a Tea Party primary challenger, due to his lengthy tenure and support for federal largesse. However, that didn't happen, in part due to his large campaign war chest, which stood at $19.4 million as of September, 2015.[1] If Shelby had decided to retire, numerous high-profile Alabama Republicans were speculated to run, including U.S. Representatives Robert Aderholt, Mo Brooks, Bradley Byrne, Gary Palmer, Martha Roby, and Mike Rogers, State Treasurer Young Boozer, State Speaker Mike Hubbard, Lieutenant Governor Kay Ivey, State Senate President Pro Tempore Del Marsh, Secretary of State John Merrill, U.S. Appeals Court Judge William H. Pryor, Jr., former Governor Bob Riley, and Attorney General Luther Strange.[2][3][4] Shelby announced in January 2015 that he would run for re-election.[5]
Candidates
Filed
- Richard Shelby, incumbent Senator[5]
- Marcus Bowman, Uber driver[6]
- John Martin, pilot and candidate for AL-02 in 2008[6]
- Jonathan McConnell, businessman[6][7][8]
- Shadrack McGill, former State Senator and candidate for Jackson County Revenue Commissioner in 2014[6][9]
Endorsements
Jonathan McConnell |
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|
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Richard Shelby |
Someone Else |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thomas Partners Strategies^ | January 29-30, 2016 | 1,299 | ±2.7% | 55% | 29% | 16% |
Thomas Partners Strategies^ | December 2015 | ? | ±?% | 64% | 15% | 21% |
Thomas Partners Strategies^ | October 2015 | ? | ±?% | 53% | 22% | 26% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Marcus Bowman |
John Martin |
Shadrack McGill |
Jonathan McConnell |
Richard Shelby |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Thomas Partners Strategies^ | January 29-30, 2016 | 1,299 | ±2.7% | 1% | 1% | 2% | 25% | 55% | 16% |
McLaughlin & Associates* | January 25-26, 2016 | 600 | ±4.0% | 1% | 1% | 1% | 9% | 75% | 13% |
Thomas Partners Strategies^ | December 2015 | ? | ±?% | 1% | 2% | 3% | 15% | 64% | 21% |
McLaughlin & Associates* | November 2015 | ? | ±?% | 1% | 2% | 1% | 5% | 71% | 20% |
- * Internal poll for the Richard Shelby campaign
- ^ Internal poll for the Jonathan McConnell campaign
Primary results
Republican primary results[12] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Richard Shelby | 505,586 | 64.91 | |
Republican | Jonathan McConnell | 214,770 | 27.58 | |
Republican | John Martin | 23,558 | 3.02 | |
Republican | Marcus Bowman | 19,707 | 2.53 | |
Republican | Shadrack McGill | 15,230 | 1.96 | |
Total votes | 778,851 | 100 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Filed
- Ron Crumpton, marijuana legalization activist and nominee for the State Senate in 2014[13][8]
- Charles Nana, process engineer[14][8]
Failed to Qualify
- Reginald Hill, candidate for Huntsville School Board in 2012 and write-in candidate for AL-05 in 2014[15]
Declined
- Stephen Black, non-profit executive[2]
- Bobby Bright, former U.S. Representative[2]
- Parker Griffith, former U.S. Representative, and nominee for Governor of Alabama in 2014[2]
- Sue Bell Cobb, former Chief Justice of the Supreme Court of Alabama[2]
- Marsha Folsom, businesswoman, former First Lady of Alabama, and nominee for Alabama's 4th congressional district in 2000[16]
- Walter Maddox, Mayor of Tuscaloosa[2]
- Terri Sewell, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[2]
Primary results
Democratic primary results[12] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Ron Crumpton | 145,681 | 55.97 | |
Democratic | Charles Nana | 114,617 | 44.03 | |
Total votes | 260,298 | 100 |
General election
Candidates
- Richard Shelby (R), incumbent Senator
- Ron Crumpton (D), marijuana legalization activist and nominee for the State Senate in 2014
- Charles Nana (Write-in), process engineer[17] (previously sought the Democratic nomination)
Endorsements
Richard Shelby |
---|
|
Predictions
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
The Cook Political Report[20] | Safe R | March 25, 2016 |
Daily Kos[21] | Safe R | April 4, 2016 |
Roll Call[22] | Safe R | April 4, 2016 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball[23] | Safe R | March 21, 2016 |
References
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External Links
- Official campaign websites