United States Senate election in Indiana, 2012

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United States Senate election in Indiana, 2012

← 2006 November 6, 2012 2018 →
Turnout 55.1% (voting eligible)[1]
  Joe Donnelly, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg StateTreasurerRichardMourdock.jpg
Nominee Joe Donnelly Richard Mourdock Andrew Horning
Party Democratic Republican Libertarian
Popular vote 1,281,181 1,133,621 145,282
Percentage 50.0% 44.3% 5.7%

250px
U.S. Senate election results map. Blue denotes counties won by Donnelly. Red denotes those won by Mourdock.

U.S. senator before election

Richard Lugar
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Joe Donnelly
Democratic

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2012 United States Senate election in Indiana took place on November 6, 2012, concurrently with the U.S. presidential election as well as other elections to the United States Senate, House of Representatives, and various state and local elections. Incumbent Republican U.S. Senator Richard Lugar ran for re-election to a seventh term, but was defeated in the primary by Tea Party-backed Richard Mourdock. Congressman Joe Donnelly, a moderate Democrat from Indiana's 2nd Congressional District, received his party's nomination after running unopposed in the primary contest, and then defeated both Mourdock and Libertarian Andrew Horning in the general election.

Background and overview

On November 7, 2006, incumbent Richard Lugar was unopposed by any major party candidate as no Democrat filed for the May 2006 primary. He was re-elected to his sixth six-year term with 87.3% of the vote.[2] After the 2012 election, Lugar would have had an even chance, according to Senate Republican Conference rules, to be elected as its president pro tempore.[3] However, the issue was rendered moot with Lugar's primary loss on May 9, 2012, as Indiana state law prohibits candidates from running for an election after losing a primary. Time featured the race in their Fury of the Senate article. The article mentioned how Donnelly was lucky in the fact that Murdock won out in the primary against Dick Lugar, a well-liked centrist member of the GOP. Another boost came when Murdock's remarks regarding rape helped propel Donnelly to victory.[4]

Republican primary

The Republican primary was held on May 8, 2012.

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Campaign

Due to Lugar's unpopularity among some Tea Party voters on his positions regarding illegal immigration, voting to confirm then-U.S. Supreme Court nominees Sonia Sotomayor and Elena Kagan, the DREAM Act, the START Treaty, some gun control bills, and congressional earmarks, he was challenged by a Tea Party-backed candidate.[10][11]

The Indiana Debate Commission’s GOP primary debate with Sen. Richard Lugar and State Treasurer Richard Mourdock was set to air at 7 p.m. EDT on Wednesday, April 11.[12] In a widely published poll taken March 26 to 28, Lugar was still in the lead, but by the time of a second published poll from April 30 to May 1, Mourdock was leading 48% to 38% for Lugar.

Mourdock defeated Senator Lugar in the Republican primary on May 8, 2012.[13][14]

According to Indiana law, Lugar cannot be a candidate in the election (i.e., under a third party or as independent) after he lost the primary.[15]

Endorsements

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Richard Lugar
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Richard Mourdock
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Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Mourdock
Richard
Lugar
Undecided
Howey Politics/DePauw University April 30-May 1, 2012 700 ± 3.7% 48% 38% 14%
Howey Politics/DePauw University March 26–28, 2012 503 ± 4.5% 35% 42% 28%
American Viewpoint (R) July 27–28, 2011 600 ± 4.0% 31% 45% 23%
Basswood Research (R) July 23–24, 2011 500 ± 4.4% 34% 32% 34%

Results

Republican primary results
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Richard Mourdock 400,321 60.5
Republican Richard Lugar (Incumbent) 261,285 39.5
Total votes 661,606 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Results

Joe Donnelly received the Democratic nomination unanimously in an uncontested primary on May 8, 2012.

Democratic primary results[48]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Joe Donnelly 207,715 100
Total votes 207,715 100

General election

Candidates

Debates

Confirmed debates with Donnelly, Horning and Mourdock are:[50]

Date: Monday, October 15
Broadcast Time: 7 p.m. EDT
City: Indianapolis
Venue: WFYI-TV (in studio/no live audience)

Date: Tuesday, October 23
Broadcast Time: 7 p.m. EDT
City: New Albany
Venue: Paul W. Ogle Cultural & Community Center, Indiana University Southeast (live audience – seating up to 500)

Fundraising

Candidate (party) Receipts Disbursements Cash on hand Debt
Joe Donnelly (D) $5,572,319 $5,496,760 $95,578 $0
Richard Mourdock (R) $8,982,053 $8,698,721 $283,332 $0
Andy Horning (L) $4,907 $2,905 $2,005 $0
Source: Federal Election Commission[51]

Top contributors

Joe Donnelly Contribution Richard Mourdock Contribution
Faegre Baker Daniels $30,942 Club for Growth $290,815
MacAndrews & Forbes $29,500 Senate Conservatives Fund $58,728
Renco Group $27,400 Koch Industries $30,000
Barnes & Thornburg $22,601 Murray Energy $15,000
University of Notre Dame $20,150 Lucas Oil Products $11,400
MWH Global WPP plc $17,000 ESOP Association $10,750
Eli Lilly and Company $16,912 Blue Cross Blue Shield Association $10,250
Power, Rogers & Smith $16,000 American Bankers Association $10,000
Mid Manhattan PAC $13,750 ExxonMobil $10,000
Patton Boggs LLP $13,083 Citizens United $10,000
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[52]

Top industries

Joe Donnelly Contribution Richard Mourdock Contribution
Lawyers/Law Firms $463,098 Republican/Conservative PAC's $474,661
Leadership PACs $298,000 Leadership PACs $305,607
Retired $192,716 Retired $244,206
Lobbyists $109,987 Oil & Gas $132,530
Building Trade Unions $77,000 Financial Institutions $90,200
Financial Institutions $100,235 Commercial Banks $88,430
Education $91,563 Health Professionals $86,567
Building Trade Unions $63,500 Misc Finance $64,815
Public Sector Unions $87,000 Manufacturing industry $60,200
Political Action Committees $63,798 Real Estate $58,290
Source: Center for Responsive Politics[53]

Campaign

Pregnancy from rape controversy

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Mourdock became embroiled in a controversy after stating that pregnancy from rape is "something that God intended". His remarks were made during a debate on October 23, 2012, while explaining his opposition to abortion even in the case of rape. At the debate Mourdock, when asked what his position on abortion was, responded:

"I know there are some who disagree and I respect their point of view but I believe that life begins at conception. The only exception I have to have an abortion is in that case of the life of the mother. I just struggled with it myself for a long time but I came to realize: "Life is that gift from God that I think even if life begins in that horrible situation of rape, that it is something that God intended to happen"."[54]

Media speculated that this could affect the outcome of the Senate race and Presidential race[55] and multiple sources noted the similarities with the Todd Akin rape and pregnancy comment controversy.[56][57]

Responding to the criticism, Mourdock issued a statement saying: "God creates life, and that was my point. God does not want rape, and by no means was I suggesting that he does. Rape is a horrible thing, and for anyone to twist my words otherwise is absurd and sick."[58] He was later quoted at a press conference also saying: "I believe God controls the universe. I don't believe biology works in an uncontrolled fashion."[59] He however refused to issue an apology, even while prominent Republicans, including Sen. John McCain called for him to do so.[60]

Response

A day before the controversy started, a television ad began airing that showed Governor Mitt Romney, the Republican nominee for United States President, supporting Mourdock.[61] The Romney campaign subsequently issued a statement saying "Gov. Romney disagrees with Richard Mourdock's comments, and they do not reflect his views," but did not pull the ad. Senator John Cornyn, chairman of the National Republican Senatorial Committee, said "Richard and I, along with millions of Americans—including even Joe Donnelly—believe that life is a gift from God. To try and construe his words as anything other than a restatement of that belief is irresponsible and ridiculous".[62][63]

Many public Republicans called for Mourdock to apologize for the statement. Sen. John McCain called for him to issue an apology and his support "depends on what he does."[60] Senator Scott Brown refused to state that he supported Mourdock in the election.[64] Rep. Mike Pence, a Republican ran governor of Indiana concurrent to Mourdock's senatorial campaign, urged Mourdock to apologize. "I strongly disagree with the statement made by Richard Mourdock during last night’s Senate debate," he said in a statement. "I urge him to apologize."[65]

President Obama stated that "Rape is rape. It is a crime," on the Tonight Show. He continued that, "These various distinctions about rape don't make too much sense to me."[66] Dan Parker, chairman of the Indiana Democratic Party, immediately criticized Mourdock, saying: "I'm stunned and ashamed that Richard Mourdock believes God intended rape", and claiming that he is an "extremist" who is out of touch with Indiana.[54]

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Richard
Mourdock (R)
Joe
Donnelly (D)
Andy
Horning (L)
Other Undecided
Rasmussen Reports November 1, 2012 600 ± 4% 42% 45% 6% 6%
Howey Politics/DePauw University October 28–30, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 36% 47% 6% 11%
Pharos Research October 19–21, 2012 754 ± 3.6% 46% 46% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 10–11, 2012 600 ± 4% 47% 42% 2% 8%
Howey Politics/DePauw University September 19–23, 2012 800 ± 3.5% 38% 40% 7% 8%
Market Research Insight August 6–9, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 41% 39% 3% 17%
Rasmussen Reports July 31–August 1, 2012 400 ± 5.0% 42% 40% 3% 15%
Rasmussen Reports May 23–24, 2012 600 ± 4.0% 42% 42% 2% 14%
Howey Politics/DePauw University March 26–28, 2012 503 ± 4.4% 35% 35% 7% 23%

Results

On election night Donnelly won by about six percent. Donnelly performed well in Marion County, home of Indianapolis. Donnelly also won areas with major college campuses, such as Indiana University in Bloomington, Purdue University in Lafayette. Mourdock performed well, as expected in the Indianapolis suburbs, such as Hamilton County. Mourdock conceded defeat to Donnelly at around 11:30 P.M. EST.

United States Senate election in Indiana, 2012[67]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Joe Donnelly 1,281,181 50.04% +50.04%
Republican Richard Mourdock 1,133,621 44.28% -43.08%
Libertarian Andy Horning 145,282 5.67% -6.92%
No party Write-Ins 18 0 % n/a
Majority 147,560 5.76% -69.49%
Turnout 2,560,102 57.46% +26.24%
Democratic gain from Republican Swing

See also

References

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  17. 17.0 17.1 17.2 17.3 17.4 17.5 17.6 17.7 Endorsements | Dick Lugar for U.S. Senate
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  34. [6] Archived May 8, 2012 at the Wayback Machine
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  43. [7] Archived April 8, 2012 at the Wayback Machine
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  62. Richard Mourdock's response to abortion question provokes controversy in Indiana Senate debate In Indianapolis Star October 24, 2012
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External links

Official campaign websites