United States Senate election in Kansas, 2014

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United States Senate election in Kansas, 2014

← 2008 November 4, 2014 2020 →
  Pat Roberts official photo 2.jpg Empty.png
Nominee Pat Roberts Greg Orman
Party Republican Independent
Popular vote 460,350 368,372
Percentage 53.15% 42.53%

220px
County results

U.S. senator before election

Pat Roberts
Republican

Elected U.S. Senator

Pat Roberts
Republican

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.

Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts was re-elected to a fourth term against Independent Greg Orman and Libertarian nominee Randall Batson. The Democratic nominee, Chad Taylor, withdrew from the race.

Republican primary

Roberts gained negative press attention after criticism that he did not own a home in Kansas, with some comparing the situation to that of former Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, who lost a 2012 Senate primary after a similar residency controversy.[1] Roberts owns a home in Alexandria, Virginia.[2] The primary was held August 5, 2014.[3]

Primary opponent Milton R. Wolf, a radiologist, was under investigation by a state medical ethics board for posting X-ray images of dead patients with macabre commentary to Facebook.[4]

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Roberts
D.J.
Smith
Milton
Wolf
Alvin
Zahnter
Other Undecided
Daily Kos/Google Consumer Surveys August 4, 2014 1,002 ± 3.1% 53.4% 39.1% 7.5%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 691 ± 3.8% 50% 6% 30% 3% 12%
GEB International July 9, 2014 500 ± 4.28% 42% 30% 28%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 508 ± 4.4% 56% 23% 8% 12%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 375 ± 5.1% 49% 23% 28%
The Tarrance Group^ January 13–15, 2014 501 ± 4.5% 69% 15% 16%
Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Roberts
Someone
More Conservative
Undecided
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 375 ± 5.1% 43% 39% 18%
Public Policy Polling February 21–24, 2013 760 ± 3.6% 42% 34% 24%
  • ^ Internal poll for the Pat Roberts campaign

Results

Republican primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Roberts 127,089 48.08
Republican Milton Wolf 107,799 40.78
Republican D.J. Smith 15,288 5.78
Republican Alvin E. Zahnter 13,935 5.27
Total votes 264,340 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Chad
Taylor
Patrick
Wiesner
Undecided
KSN News/SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 322 ± 5.6% 48% 17% 35%
KSN News/SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 252 ± 6.3% 41% 16% 43%

Results

Democratic primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chad Taylor 35,067 53.3
Democratic Patrick Wiesner 30,752 46.7
Total votes 65,819 100

Libertarian primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Randall Batson, nominee for the State House in 2012[39]

Independents

Candidates

Declared

  • Greg Orman, businessman and withdrawn candidate in Democratic primary for Senate in 2008.[40][41]

General election

Campaign

On September 3, Democratic nominee Chad Taylor withdrew from the race.[42] On September 4, Kris Kobach, the Republican Kansas Secretary of State, announced that Taylor would remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.[43] Taylor challenged the decision, and on September 18 the Kansas Supreme Court decided that his name would be taken off the ballot.[44]

On the same day, Kobach demanded the chairman of the Democratic Party name a replacement in eight days, saying he will consider litigation to force the party if they refuse.[45]

A registered Democrat with family ties to Republican Governor Sam Brownback's campaign also filed a petition with the Kansas Supreme Court on September 18 to force the Democratic Party to name a new candidate.[46] Kobach ordered ballots to be mailed to overseas voters on September 20 without a Democratic candidate, but included a disclaimer that another ballot will be sent if the Democratic Party names a replacement candidate.[47]

The state district court in Shawnee County threw out the petition, meaning no replacement for Taylor needed to be named. [48]

In the United States Senate election in Kansas, 2002, Roberts also had no Democratic opponent.

Roberts defeated Orman in the general election, winning reelection to a 4th term in office.

If Orman had been elected, the U.S. Senate would have had three independent Senators for the first time in the chamber’s history. This—and the question of whom Orman would choose to caucus with if elected—were very large questions in the electoral contest, and because the Kansas race was showing tight in the polls, a subject of considerable national political discourse as well.[49]

Fundraising

Candidate Raised Spent Cash on Hand Debt
Greg Orman (I) $2,461,766 $3,298,186 $183,599 $1,124,982
Pat Roberts (R) $5,383,491 $5,534,415 $927,449 0

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Pat
Roberts (R)
Chad
Taylor (D)
Greg
Orman (I)
Randall
Batson (L)
Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 1–3, 2014 963 ± 3.2% 46% 47% 3% 4%
47% 49% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 30–31, 2014 752 ± ? 47% 46% 3% 4%
YouGov October 25–31, 2014 1,137 ± 4.8% 38% 37% 2% 2% 22%
Fox News October 28–30, 2014 907 ± 3% 43% 44% 3% 1% 8%
Survey USA October 22–26, 2014 623 ± 4% 42% 44% 4% 10%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 1,973 ± 4% 42% 38% 1% 0% 18%
NBC News/Marist October 18–22, 2014 757 LV ± 3.6% 44% 45% 4% <1% 7%
1,055 RV ± 3% 42% 45% 4% 1% 9%
Gravis Marketing October 20–21, 2014 1,124 ± 3% 45% 47% 8%
Rasmussen Reports October 20–21, 2014 960 ± 3% 44% 49% 3% 5%
Monmouth University October 16–19, 2014 429 ± 4.7% 46% 46% 3% 5%
Remington Research October 9–12, 2014 1,091 ± 2.97% 48% 46% 2% 4%
Public Policy Polling October 9–12, 2014 1,081 ± 3% 41% 44% 5% 10%
43% 46% 11%
Rasmussen Reports October 7–8, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 52% 4% 4%
Fox News October 4–7, 2014 702 ± 3.5% 44% 39% 3% 4% 12%
CNN/ORC October 2–6, 2014 687 ± 3.5% 49% 48% 3%
SurveyUSA October 2–5, 2014 549 ± 4.3% 42% 47% 4% 7%
Gravis Marketing September 30–October 1, 2014 850 ± 3% 40% 47% 13%
NBC News/Marist September 27–October 1, 2014 511 LV ± 4.3% 38% 48% 5% 1% 9%
848 RV ± 3.4% 36% 46% 5% 1% 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 2,013 ± 3% 40% 40% 2% 0% 17%
Suffolk University September 27–30, 2014 500 ± 4.4% 41.2% 46.4% 0.8% 11.6%
Remington Research September 23, 2014 625 ± 3.91% 42% 50% 3% 5%
Rasmussen Reports September 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 40% 3%[lower-alpha 1] 45% 2% 10%
39% 9%[lower-alpha 2] 38% 2% 12%
Fox News September 14–16, 2014 604 ± 4% 40% 11%[lower-alpha 3] 38% 4% 8%
42% 48% 8%
Public Policy Polling September 11–14, 2014 1,328 ± 2.7% 34% 6%[lower-alpha 4] 41% 4% 15%
36% 46% 17%
KSN News/SurveyUSA September 4–7, 2014 555 ± 4.2% 36% 10% 37% 6% 11%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 839 ± 5% 47% 35% 2% 15%
KSN News/SurveyUSA August 20–23, 2014 560 ± 4.2% 37% 32% 20% 4% 6%
Public Policy Polling August 14–17, 2014 903 ± 3.3% 32% 25% 23% 3% 17%
43% 39% 17%
33% 43% 24%
Rasmussen Reports August 6–7, 2014 750 ± 4% 44% 40% 7% 8%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 1,281 ± 6.1% 53% 37% 7% 4%
SurveyUSA July 17–22, 2014 1,208 ± 2.9% 38% 33% 14% 4% 10%
SurveyUSA June 19–23, 2014 1068 ± 3.1% 43% 33% 7% 5% 12%
Rasmussen Reports April 16–17, 2014 750 ± 4% 50% 32% 5% 13%
Public Policy Polling February 18–20, 2014 693 ± 3.7% 48% 32% 20%

Results

Kansas's US Senate election, 2014[63]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Pat Roberts 460,350 53.15
Independent Greg Orman 368,372 42.53
Libertarian Randall Batson 37,469 4.33
Total votes 866,191 100

See also

Notes

  1. Rasmussen does not specify whether respondents were given the option of voting for a withdrawn Taylor, or they specifically named him
  2. With Taylor still listed on the ballot
  3. Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn
  4. Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn until after they answered[62]

References

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  16. [1] Archived September 18, 2013 at the Wayback Machine
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  40. http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/greg-orman-for-us-senate-launches-campaign-website-810726.htm
  41. http://www.kansas.com/2014/06/05/3493799/olathe-businessman-greg-orman.html
  42. Taylor withdraws from the race CJONLINE.COM
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  50. Carpenter, Tim. "Republican group endorses Orman for Senate" Topeka Capital-Journal September 3, 2014
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External links

Official campaign websites