United States Senate election in Kansas, 2014
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 United States Senate election in Kansas was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Kansas, concurrently with other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Pat Roberts was re-elected to a fourth term against Independent Greg Orman and Libertarian nominee Randall Batson. The Democratic nominee, Chad Taylor, withdrew from the race.
Contents
Republican primary
Roberts gained negative press attention after criticism that he did not own a home in Kansas, with some comparing the situation to that of former Indiana Senator Richard Lugar, who lost a 2012 Senate primary after a similar residency controversy.[1] Roberts owns a home in Alexandria, Virginia.[2] The primary was held August 5, 2014.[3]
Primary opponent Milton R. Wolf, a radiologist, was under investigation by a state medical ethics board for posting X-ray images of dead patients with macabre commentary to Facebook.[4]
Candidates
Declared
- Pat Roberts, incumbent Senator[5]
- D.J. Smith, former Osawatomie City Councilwoman[6]
- Milton R. Wolf, radiologist and conservative commentator[7]
- Alvin Zahnter, truck driver and Vietnam War veteran[6]
Declined
- Tim Huelskamp, U.S. Representative (re-elected to House) [8]
- Kris Kobach, Secretary of State of Kansas (re-elected as Secretary of State)[8][9]
- Dennis Pyle, State Senator[10][11]
- Todd Tiahrt, former U.S. Representative (ran for KS-04)[12][13]
Endorsements
Pat Roberts |
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|
Milton Wolf |
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Individuals
Organizations
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Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts |
D.J. Smith |
Milton Wolf |
Alvin Zahnter |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daily Kos/Google Consumer Surveys | August 4, 2014 | 1,002 | ± 3.1% | 53.4% | — | 39.1% | — | — | 7.5% |
SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 691 | ± 3.8% | 50% | 6% | 30% | 3% | — | 12% |
GEB International | July 9, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.28% | 42% | — | 30% | — | — | 28% |
SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 508 | ± 4.4% | 56% | — | 23% | — | 8% | 12% |
Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | 49% | — | 23% | — | — | 28% |
The Tarrance Group^ | January 13–15, 2014 | 501 | ± 4.5% | 69% | — | 15% | — | — | 16% |
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts |
Someone More Conservative |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 375 | ± 5.1% | 43% | 39% | 18% |
Public Policy Polling | February 21–24, 2013 | 760 | ± 3.6% | 42% | 34% | 24% |
- ^ Internal poll for the Pat Roberts campaign
Hypothetical polling |
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Results
Republican primary results[34] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Pat Roberts | 127,089 | 48.08 | |
Republican | Milton Wolf | 107,799 | 40.78 | |
Republican | D.J. Smith | 15,288 | 5.78 | |
Republican | Alvin E. Zahnter | 13,935 | 5.27 | |
Total votes | 264,340 | 100 |
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chad Taylor, Shawnee County District Attorney[35][36]
- Patrick Wiesner, attorney and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[6]
Declined
- Kathleen Sebelius, former United States Secretary of Health and Human Services and former Governor of Kansas[37][38]
Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chad Taylor |
Patrick Wiesner |
Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
KSN News/SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 322 | ± 5.6% | 48% | 17% | 35% |
KSN News/SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 252 | ± 6.3% | 41% | 16% | 43% |
Results
Democratic primary results[34] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Chad Taylor | 35,067 | 53.3 | |
Democratic | Patrick Wiesner | 30,752 | 46.7 | |
Total votes | 65,819 | 100 |
Libertarian primary
Candidates
Declared
- Randall Batson, nominee for the State House in 2012[39]
Independents
Candidates
Declared
- Greg Orman, businessman and withdrawn candidate in Democratic primary for Senate in 2008.[40][41]
General election
Campaign
On September 3, Democratic nominee Chad Taylor withdrew from the race.[42] On September 4, Kris Kobach, the Republican Kansas Secretary of State, announced that Taylor would remain on the ballot because state law demands he declare himself "incapable of fulfilling the duties of office if elected" in order to be removed, which he did not do.[43] Taylor challenged the decision, and on September 18 the Kansas Supreme Court decided that his name would be taken off the ballot.[44]
On the same day, Kobach demanded the chairman of the Democratic Party name a replacement in eight days, saying he will consider litigation to force the party if they refuse.[45]
A registered Democrat with family ties to Republican Governor Sam Brownback's campaign also filed a petition with the Kansas Supreme Court on September 18 to force the Democratic Party to name a new candidate.[46] Kobach ordered ballots to be mailed to overseas voters on September 20 without a Democratic candidate, but included a disclaimer that another ballot will be sent if the Democratic Party names a replacement candidate.[47]
The state district court in Shawnee County threw out the petition, meaning no replacement for Taylor needed to be named. [48]
In the United States Senate election in Kansas, 2002, Roberts also had no Democratic opponent.
Roberts defeated Orman in the general election, winning reelection to a 4th term in office.
If Orman had been elected, the U.S. Senate would have had three independent Senators for the first time in the chamber’s history. This—and the question of whom Orman would choose to caucus with if elected—were very large questions in the electoral contest, and because the Kansas race was showing tight in the polls, a subject of considerable national political discourse as well.[49]
Fundraising
Candidate | Raised | Spent | Cash on Hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Greg Orman (I) | $2,461,766 | $3,298,186 | $183,599 | $1,124,982 |
Pat Roberts (R) | $5,383,491 | $5,534,415 | $927,449 | 0 |
Endorsements
Greg Orman |
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|
Pat Roberts |
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Polling
Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Pat Roberts (R) |
Chad Taylor (D) |
Greg Orman (I) |
Randall Batson (L) |
Other | Undecided |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Public Policy Polling | November 1–3, 2014 | 963 | ± 3.2% | 46% | — | 47% | 3% | — | 4% |
47% | — | 49% | — | — | 3% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | October 30–31, 2014 | 752 | ± ? | 47% | — | 46% | 3% | — | 4% |
YouGov | October 25–31, 2014 | 1,137 | ± 4.8% | 38% | — | 37% | 2% | 2% | 22% |
Fox News | October 28–30, 2014 | 907 | ± 3% | 43% | — | 44% | 3% | 1% | 8% |
Survey USA | October 22–26, 2014 | 623 | ± 4% | 42% | — | 44% | 4% | — | 10% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | October 16–23, 2014 | 1,973 | ± 4% | 42% | — | 38% | 1% | 0% | 18% |
NBC News/Marist | October 18–22, 2014 | 757 LV | ± 3.6% | 44% | — | 45% | 4% | <1% | 7% |
1,055 RV | ± 3% | 42% | — | 45% | 4% | 1% | 9% | ||
Gravis Marketing | October 20–21, 2014 | 1,124 | ± 3% | 45% | — | 47% | — | — | 8% |
Rasmussen Reports | October 20–21, 2014 | 960 | ± 3% | 44% | — | 49% | — | 3% | 5% |
Monmouth University | October 16–19, 2014 | 429 | ± 4.7% | 46% | — | 46% | — | 3% | 5% |
Remington Research | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,091 | ± 2.97% | 48% | — | 46% | 2% | — | 4% |
Public Policy Polling | October 9–12, 2014 | 1,081 | ± 3% | 41% | — | 44% | 5% | — | 10% |
43% | — | 46% | — | — | 11% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | October 7–8, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | — | 52% | — | 4% | 4% |
Fox News | October 4–7, 2014 | 702 | ± 3.5% | 44% | — | 39% | 3% | 4% | 12% |
CNN/ORC | October 2–6, 2014 | 687 | ± 3.5% | 49% | — | 48% | — | — | 3% |
SurveyUSA | October 2–5, 2014 | 549 | ± 4.3% | 42% | — | 47% | 4% | — | 7% |
Gravis Marketing | September 30–October 1, 2014 | 850 | ± 3% | 40% | — | 47% | — | — | 13% |
NBC News/Marist | September 27–October 1, 2014 | 511 LV | ± 4.3% | 38% | — | 48% | 5% | 1% | 9% |
848 RV | ± 3.4% | 36% | — | 46% | 5% | 1% | 12% | ||
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | September 20–October 1, 2014 | 2,013 | ± 3% | 40% | — | 40% | 2% | 0% | 17% |
Suffolk University | September 27–30, 2014 | 500 | ± 4.4% | 41.2% | — | 46.4% | 0.8% | — | 11.6% |
Remington Research | September 23, 2014 | 625 | ± 3.91% | 42% | — | 50% | 3% | — | 5% |
Rasmussen Reports | September 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 40% | 3%[lower-alpha 1] | 45% | — | 2% | 10% |
39% | 9%[lower-alpha 2] | 38% | — | 2% | 12% | ||||
Fox News | September 14–16, 2014 | 604 | ± 4% | 40% | 11%[lower-alpha 3] | 38% | 4% | — | 8% |
42% | — | 48% | — | — | 8% | ||||
Public Policy Polling | September 11–14, 2014 | 1,328 | ± 2.7% | 34% | 6%[lower-alpha 4] | 41% | 4% | — | 15% |
36% | — | 46% | — | — | 17% | ||||
KSN News/SurveyUSA | September 4–7, 2014 | 555 | ± 4.2% | 36% | 10% | 37% | 6% | — | 11% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | August 18–September 2, 2014 | 839 | ± 5% | 47% | 35% | — | — | 2% | 15% |
KSN News/SurveyUSA | August 20–23, 2014 | 560 | ± 4.2% | 37% | 32% | 20% | 4% | — | 6% |
Public Policy Polling | August 14–17, 2014 | 903 | ± 3.3% | 32% | 25% | 23% | 3% | — | 17% |
43% | 39% | — | — | — | 17% | ||||
33% | — | 43% | — | — | 24% | ||||
Rasmussen Reports | August 6–7, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 44% | 40% | — | — | 7% | 8% |
CBS News/NYT/YouGov | July 5–24, 2014 | 1,281 | ± 6.1% | 53% | 37% | — | — | 7% | 4% |
SurveyUSA | July 17–22, 2014 | 1,208 | ± 2.9% | 38% | 33% | 14% | 4% | — | 10% |
SurveyUSA | June 19–23, 2014 | 1068 | ± 3.1% | 43% | 33% | 7% | 5% | — | 12% |
Rasmussen Reports | April 16–17, 2014 | 750 | ± 4% | 50% | 32% | — | — | 5% | 13% |
Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2014 | 693 | ± 3.7% | 48% | 32% | — | — | — | 20% |
Hypothetical polling |
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Results
Kansas's US Senate election, 2014[63] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Pat Roberts | 460,350 | 53.15 | |
Independent | Greg Orman | 368,372 | 42.53 | |
Libertarian | Randall Batson | 37,469 | 4.33 | |
Total votes | 866,191 | 100 |
See also
Notes
- ↑ Rasmussen does not specify whether respondents were given the option of voting for a withdrawn Taylor, or they specifically named him
- ↑ With Taylor still listed on the ballot
- ↑ Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn
- ↑ Poll did not tell respondents that Taylor has withdrawn until after they answered[62]
References
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- ↑ [1] Archived September 18, 2013 at the Wayback Machine
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- ↑ http://www.marketwired.com/press-release/greg-orman-for-us-senate-launches-campaign-website-810726.htm
- ↑ http://www.kansas.com/2014/06/05/3493799/olathe-businessman-greg-orman.html
- ↑ Taylor withdraws from the race CJONLINE.COM
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- ↑ Carpenter, Tim. "Republican group endorses Orman for Senate" Topeka Capital-Journal September 3, 2014
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External links
- Official campaign websites