2020 United States presidential election in Texas

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2020 United States presidential election in Texas

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden
Party Republican Democratic
Home state Florida Delaware
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



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The 2020 United States presidential election in Texas is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] Texas voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of Texas has 38 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]


Texas last voted for a Democratic candidate in 1976. Polling points to a close result in Texas in 2020, and it is seen as a swing state.

Primary elections

Republican primary

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The Republican primary was held on March 3, 2020. Donald Trump and Bill Weld were declared Republican candidates. Former South Carolina Governor and U.S. Representative Mark Sanford and U.S. Representative Joe Walsh dropped out. Texas Governor Greg Abbott declined to run against Trump, as did 2016 Republican primary candidate and current senator Ted Cruz.[3][4]

Results

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Democratic primary

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The Democratic primary was held on March 3, 2020. Elizabeth Warren, Bernie Sanders, and Joe Biden were among the major declared candidates.[5][6][7]

Results

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General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[8] Lean R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[9] Tilt R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[10] Lean R July 14, 2020
Politico[11] Lean R September 8, 2020
RCP[12] Tossup August 3, 2020
Niskanen[13] Tossup July 26, 2020
CNN[14] Lean R August 3, 2020
The Economist[15] Lean R September 2, 2020
CBS News[16] Lean R August 16, 2020
270towin[17] Lean R August 2, 2020
ABC News[18] Lean R July 31, 2020
NPR[19] Lean R August 3, 2020
NBC News[20] Tossup August 6, 2020
538[21] Tilt R September 9, 2020

Polling

Graphical summary

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Aggregate polls

Donald Trump vs. Joe Biden
Source of poll aggregation Dates administered Dates updated Joe Biden Donald Trump Other/Undecided [lower-alpha 1] Margin
270 to Win August 21 – September 18, 2020 September 21, 2020 46.5% 48.0% 5.5% Trump +1.5
Real Clear Politics July 16 – September 18, 2020 September 21, 2020 45.0% 47.3% 7.7% Trump +2.3
FiveThirtyEight until September 18, 2020 September 21, 2020 46.6% 47.4% 6.0% Trump +0.8
Average 46.0% 47.6% 6.4% Trump +1.6

Polls

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump

Republican
Joe
Biden

Democratic
Jo
Jorgensen

Libertarian
Howie
Hawkins

Green
Other Undecided
Siena College/NYT Upshot Sep 16–22, 2020 653 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 43% 1% 1% 0%[lower-alpha 3] 9%[lower-alpha 4]
YouGov/CBS Sep 15–18, 2020 1,129 (LV) ± 3.5% 48% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 5] 4%
Morning Consult Aug 29 – Sep 7, 2020 2,829 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 46%[lower-alpha 6] 46%
PPP/Giffords[upper-alpha 1] Sep 1–2, 2020 743 (V) 48% 47% 5%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas Morning News Aug 28 – Sep 2, 2020 901 (LV) ± 3.26% 49%[lower-alpha 7] 47% 1% 1% 1%
Morning Consult Aug 21–30, 2020 2,632 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 48% 47%
Tyson Group/Consumer Energy Alliance[upper-alpha 2] Aug 20–25, 2020 906 (LV) ± 3% 44% 48% 0% 0%[lower-alpha 8] 5%
Data for Progress/Texas Youth Power Alliance Aug 20–25, 2020 2,295 (LV) ± 2.0% 45% 48% 8%
PPP/Texas Democrats[1][upper-alpha 3] Aug 21–22, 2020 764 (RV) ± 3.6% 47% 48% 5%
Morning Consult Aug 7–16, 2020 2,559 (LV) ± (2%–4%) 47% 46%
Global Strategy Group/Chrysta for Texas[upper-alpha 4] Aug 11–13, 2020 700 (LV) ± 3.7% 45% 47%
YouGov/Texas Hispanic Policy Foundation/Rice University’s Baker Institute Aug 4–13, 2020 846 (RV) 48% 41% 1% 1% 10.2%
– (LV)[upper-alpha 5] 50% 44% 1% 0% 5%
Trafalgar Group (R) Aug 1–5, 2020 1,015 (LV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 2% 2%[lower-alpha 9] 3%
Morning Consult Jul 24 – Aug 2, 2020 2,576 (LV) ± 2.0% 46% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 10] 5%
Morning Consult Jul 17–26, 2020 2,685 (LV) ± 1.9% 45% 47%
Spry Strategies/American Principles Project[upper-alpha 6] Jul 16–20, 2020 750 (LV) ± 3.5% 49% 45% 6%
Quinnipiac University Jul 16–20, 2020 880 (RV) ± 3.3% 44% 45% 7%[lower-alpha 11] 4%
YouGov/CBS Jul 7–10, 2020 1,185 (LV) ± 3.6% 46% 45% 4%[lower-alpha 12] 6%
Gravis Marketing/OANN Jul 7, 2020 591 (LV) ± 4.3% 46% 44%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Jun 29 – Jul 7, 2020 1,677 (LV) ± 2.4% 43% 48% 4% 5%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Politics Project Jun 19–29, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.89% 48% 44% 8%
Public Policy Polling[2] Jun 24–25, 2020 729 (RV) ± 3.6% 46% 48% 5%
Fox News Jun 20–23, 2020 1,001 (RV) ± 3% 44% 45% 5%[lower-alpha 13] 5%
Public Policy Polling/Progress Texas[3][upper-alpha 7] Jun 18–19, 2020 907 (V) ± 3% 48% 46% 6%
Public Policy Polling/Texas Democrats[upper-alpha 8] Jun 2–3, 2020 683 (V) 48% 48% 4%
Quinnipiac May 28 – Jun 1, 2020 1,166 (RV) ± 2.9% 44% 43% 6%[lower-alpha 14] 7%
Morning Consult May 17–26, 2020 2,551 (LV) 50%[lower-alpha 15] 43%
Emerson College May 8–10, 2020 800 (RV) ± 3.4% 52%[lower-alpha 16] 48%
Public Policy Polling Apr 27–28, 2020 1,032 (V) 46% 47% 7%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Apr 18–27, 2020 1,183 (RV) ± 2.85% 43% 43% 5% 9%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Apr 10–19, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 44% 7%
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 47% 43% 11%
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 1% 5%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 48% 3%[lower-alpha 17] 2%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 46% 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 11%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 44% 10%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 910 (LV) ± 3.24% 46% 44% 10%[lower-alpha 18]
Data For Progress[upper-alpha 9] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) 54% 40% 3%[lower-alpha 19] 3%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 46% 3%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) 48% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 20] 3%
Beacon Research (R) Nov 9–21, 2019 1,601 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 44%
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 39% 16%
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% 9%[lower-alpha 21] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 40% 13% 9%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) 43% 47% 10%
Climate Nexus Aug 20–25, 2019 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 43% 43% 9%
University of Texas at Tyler Aug 1–4, 2019 1,261 (RV) ± 2.8% 37% 41% 14% 8%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51%
University of Texas at Tyler Jul 24–27, 2019 1,414 (RV) ± 2.6% 37% 37% 12% 14%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 44% 48% 1% 4%
WPA Intelligence Apr 27–30, 2019 200 (LV) ± 6.9% 49% 42% 7%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 50%[lower-alpha 22] 51%
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 1% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 10] Feb 13–14, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 46% 5%
Former candidates

Donald Trump vs. Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 43% 9%
NBC News/Marist College Feb 23–27, 2020 2,409 (RV) ± 2.5% 49% 45% 1% 5%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 23] 3%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 45% 45% 10%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 11%
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 45% 7%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 910 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 42% 12%[lower-alpha 24]
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 9] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) 55% 40% 3%[lower-alpha 25] 2%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 47% 3%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) 50% 43% 4%[lower-alpha 26] 3%
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 44% 40% 16%
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 40% 9%[lower-alpha 27] 5%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 38% 14% 8%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) 42% 48% 10%
Climate Nexus Aug 20–25, 2019 1,660 (RV) ± 2.4% 45% 41% 7%
University of Texas at Tyler Aug 1–4, 2019 1,261 (RV) ± 2.8% 38% 42% 13% 7%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 51%
University of Texas at Tyler Jul 24–27, 2019 1,414 (RV) ± 2.6% 37% 39% 11% 12%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 44% 1% 4%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 51%[lower-alpha 28] 49%
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 45% 2% 4%

Donald Trump vs. Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 49% 40% 12%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 47% 2%[lower-alpha 29] 4%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 48% 41% 11%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 37% 16% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 44% 9%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 907 (LV) ± 3.24% 48% 41% 12%[lower-alpha 30]
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 9] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) 56% 38% 3%[lower-alpha 31] 3%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 50% 43% 7%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) 51% 44% 3%[lower-alpha 32] 2%
Beacon Research (R) Nov 9–21, 2019 1,601 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 41%
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 35% 20%
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 39% 10%[lower-alpha 33] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 37% 15% 9%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) 42% 44% 14%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 45% 1% 5%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 53% 47%
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 2% 6%

Donald Trump vs. Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
AtlasIntel Feb 24 – Mar 2, 2020 1,100 (RV) ± 3.0% 48% 36% 17%
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 3%[lower-alpha 34] 4%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 43% 44% 13%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 44% 10% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 46% 41% 13%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 906 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 44% 9%[lower-alpha 35]

Donald Trump vs. Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 2%[lower-alpha 36] 5%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 39% 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 38% 17% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 46% 41% 13%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 909 (LV) ± 3.24% 46% 38% 16%[lower-alpha 37]

Donald Trump vs. Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
CNN/SSRS Feb 22–26, 2020 1,003 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 2%[lower-alpha 38] 4%
Univision Feb 21–26, 2020 1,004 (RV) ± 3.1% 46% 40% 15%
Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler Feb 17–26, 2020 1,221 (RV) ± 2.8% 45% 41% 15% -
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 47% 42% 11%
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 905 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 37% 15%[lower-alpha 39]
Data for Progress[upper-alpha 9] Jan 16–21, 2020 1,486 (LV) 56% 36% 4%[lower-alpha 40] 4%
Texas Lyceum Jan 10–19, 2020 520 (LV) ± 4.3% 51% 43% 6%
CNN/SSRS Dec 4–9, 2019 1,003 (RV) 50% 43% 2%[lower-alpha 41] 6%
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 33% - 22%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 30% 21% 10%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 44% 1% 6%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 54% 46%

Donald Trump vs. Tom Steyer

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Tom
Steyer (D)
Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler/Dallas News Jan 21–30, 2020 909 (LV) ± 3.24% 47% 36% 17%[lower-alpha 42]

Donald Trump vs. Andrew Yang

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Andrew
Yang (D)
Other Undecided
YouGov/University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 45% 43% 12%

Donald Trump vs. Cory Booker

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Cory
Booker (D)
Other Undecided
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) 41% 43% 16%

with Donald Trump and Julian Castro

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Julian
Castro (D)
Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 45% 34% 21%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 46% 33% 14%[lower-alpha 43] 7%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) 41% 44% 16%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 53% 47%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 43% 1% 6%
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 46% 41% 2% 8%

with Donald Trump and Kamala Harris

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Kamala
Harris (D)
Other Undecided
University of Texas at Tyler Nov 5–14, 2019 1,093 (RV) ± 3.0% 46% 33% - 21%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 39% 32% 19% 10%
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) 44% 45% 11%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 54% 46%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 43% 1% 6%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 54% 46%
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 41% 2% 5%
Public Policy Polling (D)[upper-alpha 10] Feb 13–14, 2019 743 (RV) ± 3.6% 49% 40% 11%

with Donald Trump and Beto O'Rourke

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Beto
O'Rourke (D)
Other Undecided
University of Texas/ Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 47% 41% 7%[lower-alpha 44] 5%
University of Texas at Tyler Sep 13–15, 2019 1,199 (RV) ± 2.8% 40% 42% 11% 8%
Emerson Aug 1–3, 2019 1,033 (RV) ± 3.0% 52% 48%
Quinnipiac University May 29 – Jun 4, 2019 1,159 (RV) ± 3.4% 48% 45% 1% 3%
Emerson College Apr 25–28, 2019 799 (RV) ± 3.4% 50% 50%
Quinnipiac University Feb 20–25, 2019 1,222 (RV) ± 3.4% 47% 46% 1% 4%
Atlantic Media & Research (R)[upper-alpha 11] Jan 5–11, 2019 504 (LV) ± 4.4% 52% 39%
Hypothetical polling

with Donald Trump and Mark Cuban

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Mark
Cuban (D)
Undecided
Public Policy Polling Dec 2017 [lower-alpha 45] 44% 47%

with Donald Trump and a Generic Democrat

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Democrat (D)
Undecided
Univision Aug 31 – Sep 6, 2019 1,004 (RV) 42% 47% 11%

with Donald Trump and a generic Opponent

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 2]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Generic
Opponent
Undecided
University of Texas/Texas Tribune[4] Apr 10–19, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.8% 49% 50%[lower-alpha 46] 7%
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Jan 31 – Feb 9, 2020 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 48% 52%[lower-alpha 47]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Oct 18–27, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 48% 52%[lower-alpha 48]
Quinnipiac Sep 4–9, 2019 1,410 (RV) ± 3.1% 35% 48%[lower-alpha 49] 17%[lower-alpha 50]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune May 31–Jun 9, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 50% 50%[lower-alpha 51]
University of Texas/Texas Tribune Feb 15–24, 2019 1,200 (RV) ± 2.83% 49% 51%[lower-alpha 52]

Results

2020 United States presidential election in Texas[22]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Green Howie Hawkins and Angela Walker
Total votes

See also

Notes

Partisan clients
  1. Giffords' founder, Gabby Giffords, endorsed Biden prior to this poll's sampling period
  2. The Consumer Energy Alliance is a pro-Keystone XL lobbying group
  3. The Texas Democratic Party exclusively supports Democratic candidates
  4. Poll sponsored by Chrysta Castañeda's campaign
  5. Size of "extremely likely to vote" sample not yet released
  6. This poll's sponsor is the American Principles Project, a 501(c)(4) organization that supports the Republican Party.
  7. Poll sponsored by Progress Texas, an organisation promoting progressive policies
  8. Poll sponsored by the Texas Democratic Party
  9. 9.0 9.1 9.2 9.3 By the time of this poll, Data for Progress, which has worked with both the Sanders and Warren campaigns, had endorsed Warren
  10. 10.0 10.1 Poll sponsored by Democracy Toolbox
  11. Poll sponsored by Courageous Conservatives PAC
Samples
  1. Calculated by taking the difference of 100% and all other candidates combined.
  2. 2.00 2.01 2.02 2.03 2.04 2.05 2.06 2.07 2.08 2.09 2.10 2.11 2.12 2.13 2.14 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  3. "Someone else" and would not vote with 0%
  4. Includes "Refused"
  5. "Someone else/third party" with 2%
  6. Overlapping sample with the previous Morning Consult poll, but more information available regarding sample size
  7. With voters who lean towards a given candidate
  8. "Refused" with 0%
  9. "Another party candidate" with 2%
  10. "Someone else" with 2%
  11. "Someone else" with 4%; would not vote with 3%
  12. "Someone else/third party" with 4%; would not vote with 0%
  13. "Other" with 4%; would not vote with 1%
  14. "Someone else" and would not vote with 3%
  15. Additional data sourced from FiveThirtyEight
  16. Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  17. Other with 1%; neither with 2%
  18. "Neither-other" with 10%
  19. Would not vote with 3%
  20. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  21. "Someone else" with 9%
  22. Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  23. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  24. "Neither-other" with 12%
  25. Would not vote with 3%
  26. Other with 1%; neither with 3%
  27. "Someone else" with 9%
  28. Including voters who lean towards a given candidate
  29. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  30. "Neither-other" with 12%
  31. Would not vote with 3%
  32. Other with 1%; neither with 2%
  33. "Someone else" with 10%
  34. Other with 0%; neither with 3%
  35. "Neither-other" with 9%
  36. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  37. "Neither-other" with 16%
  38. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  39. "Neither-other" with 15%
  40. Would not vote with 4%
  41. Other with 0%; neither with 2%
  42. "Neither-other" with 17%
  43. "Someone else" with 14%
  44. "Someone else" with 7%
  45. Not yet released
  46. Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
  47. Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
  48. Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
  49. "Would definitely not vote for Trump" with 48%
  50. "Would consider voting for Trump" with 14%; "Don't know/no answer" with 3%
  51. Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"
  52. Listed as the combination of these responses: "Definitely or probably would not vote to re-elect Donald Trump"

References

  1. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  2. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  3. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  4. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  5. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  6. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  7. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  8. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  9. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  10. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  11. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  12. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
  14. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  15. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  16. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  17. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  18. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  19. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  20. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  21. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  22. Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

Further reading

  • Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links