Estonian parliamentary election, 2019

Estonian parliamentary election, 2019

2019
101 seats in the Riigikogu 51 seats are needed for a majority
First party Second party Third party   Leader Taavi Rõivas Edgar Savisaar Jevgeni Ossinovski Party Reform Centre Social Democratic Last election 30 seats, 27.7% 27 seats, 24.8% 15 seats, 15.2%   Fourth party Fifth party Sixth party   150x170px 150x170px Leader Margus Tsahkna Andres Herkel Mart Helme Party Pro Patria and Res Publica Free Conservative People's Last election 14 seats, 13.7% 8 seats, 8.7% 7 seats, 8.1%
Prime Minister before election Taavi Rõivas Reform Elected Prime Minister TBD

Parliamentary elections will be held in Estonia in 2019.

Electoral system

The 101 members of the Riigikogu is elected by proportional representation in twelve multi-member constituencies. The seats are allocated using a modified D'Hondt method. Parties have to pass a nationwide threshold of 5%, but if the number of votes cast for an individual candidate exceeds or equals the simple quota (obtained by dividing the number of valid votes cast in the electoral district by the number of mandates in the district), they are elected.

Opinion polls

5 poll average trend line of Estonian polls towards the election in 2019, each line corresponds to a political party.

Poll results are listed in the table below in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first. The highest percentage figure in each poll is displayed in bold, and the background shaded in the leading party's color. In the instance that there is a tie, then no figure is shaded.

Date	Polling Firm	Ref	Kesk	SDE	IRL	EVA	EKRE	Green	Others	Lead	Govt-Opposition
Apr 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	23	12	4	11	14	–	15	2	37 – 48
Apr 2016	TNS Emor	23	22	16	7	15	13	2	2	1	46 – 50
Apr 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	21	25	13	7	12	14	–	8	4	41 – 51
Mar 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	25	13	6	12	13	–	8	2	42 – 50
Mar 2016	TNS Emor	23	25	14	6	15	14	2	1	2	43 – 54
Feb 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	23	29	12	6	12	11	–	7	6	41 – 52
Feb 2016	TNS Emor	22	22	16	6	16	13	3	2	0	44 – 51
Jan 2016	Turu-uuringute AS	17	26	13	7	13	12	–	12	9	37 – 51
Dec 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	20	25	14	7	13	10	–	11	5	41 – 48
Dec 2015	TNS Emor	21	25	16	8	15	11	3	1	3	45 – 51
Nov 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	17	33	13	8	11	9	–	9	16	38 – 53
Nov 2015	TNS Emor	20	23	16	7	16	12	3	1	3	43 – 51
Oct 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	19	27	14	8	14	10	–	8	8	41 – 51
Sep 2015	TNS Emor	24	24	18	7	17	7	3	1	0	49 – 48
Sep 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	21	29	15	9	11	6	–	9	8	45 – 46
Aug 2015	TNS Emor	20	25	16	9	17	9	3	2	5	45 – 51
Jun 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	16	28	18	9	15	6	–	8	10	43 – 49
Jun 2015	TNS Emor	18	26	16	8	19	9	3	1	7	42 – 54
May 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	18	31	13	9	14	7	–	8	13	40 – 52
May 2015	TNS Emor	19	26	17	8	18	8	3	1	7	44 – 52
Apr 2015	Turu-uuringute AS	22	26	17	10	12	7	–	6	4	49 – 45
Mar 2015	TNS Emor	28	24	16	10	12	9	1	0	4	54 – 45
1 Mar 2015	Election Results	27.7	24.8	15.2	13.7	8.7	8.1	0.9	0.9	2.9	56,6 – 41,6

External links

• Estonian National Electoral Committee