Idaho gubernatorial election, 2010
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County results
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2010 Idaho gubernatorial election was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor of Idaho. Incumbent Republican Governor Butch Otter won re-election, defeating his Democratic opponent Keith G. Allred.
A former Lieutenant Governor and U.S. Representative, Otter won an open seat race in 2006 against Democratic Party nominee Jerry Brady with 52.67% of the vote.
Contents
Republican primary
Candidates
- Butch Otter, Governor of Idaho[1]
- Walt Bayes[citation needed]
- Pete Peterson (endorsed independent candidate Jana Kemp,[2] but still filed for the primary)
- Rex Rammell, veterinarian, conservative activist, and 2008 independent candidate for U.S. Senate[3]
- Sharon Ullman, Ada County Commissioner[4]
- Tamara Wells[citation needed]
Campaign
Both Rammell and Ullman sought support from followers of the Tea Party movement by criticizing Otter's 2009 attempt to raise Idaho's gas tax.[5]
In August 2009, Rammell drew criticism for joking about buying a license to hunt President Barack Obama.[6]
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Walt Bayes |
Butch Otter |
Ron"Pete" Peterson |
Rex Rammell |
Sharon Ullman |
Tamara Wells |
Un- decided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mason-Dixon (report) | May 17–19, 2010 | 625 | ± 4.0% | 1% | 60% | 3% | 6% | 4% | 1% | 25% |
Results
| Republican primary results[7] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Butch Otter (incumbent) | 89,117 | 54.6 | |
| Republican | Rex Rammell | 42,436 | 26.0 | |
| Republican | Sharon Ullman | 13,749 | 8.4 | |
| Republican | Pete Peterson | 8,402 | 5.2 | |
| Republican | Walt Bayes | 4,825 | 3.0 | |
| Republican | Tamara Wells | 4,544 | 2.8 | |
| Republican | Fred Nichols | 38 | 0.0 | |
| Total votes | 163,111 | 100 | ||
Democratic primary
Candidates
- Keith G. Allred, activist and mediator[8]
- Lee Chaney, laborer[9]
Declined to run
- Jerry Brady, the Democratic nominee in 2002 and 2006, will be 74 in 2010 and declined to run again in 2010.[10]
Results
| Democratic primary results[7] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Keith Allred | 22,386 | 81.7 | |
| Democratic | Lee Chaney | 5,026 | 18.3 | |
| Total votes | 27,412 | 100 | ||
Minor party candidates
Libertarian Party
- Ted Dunlap
Independents
- Jana Kemp, former Republican state Representative[2]
- Pro-Life, formerly known as Marvin Richardson, organic strawberry farmer, 2006 Constitution Party gubernatorial candidate, and 2008 U.S. Senate candidate.[11]
General election
Campaign
Between January 1 and May 9, 2010, Allred led Otter in fundraising, having raised $241,000 to Otter's $193,000. Allred said, "We are picking up momentum and are right where we want to be." However, Otter limited his fundraising activity while the Idaho Legislature was in session.[12]
Allred has criticized Otter for backing cuts to public education spending, which led the Idaho Association of Commerce and Industry to launch a website attacking Allred.[5]
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Solid R[13] | September 30, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Safe R[14] | October 15, 2010 |
| Swing State Project | Likely R[citation needed] | |
| RealClearPolitics | Safe R[15] | October 16, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Likely R[16] | October 14, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Likely R[17] | October 16, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Dates administered | Butch Otter (R) | Keith Allred (D) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | August 31, 2010 | 52% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | July 15, 2010 | 53% | 36% |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 11, 2010 | 54% | 32% |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 23, 2010 | 60% | 28% |
Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Butch Otter | 267,483 | 59.11% | +6.44% | |
| Democratic | Keith G. Allred | 148,680 | 32.85% | -11.25% | |
| Independent | Jana M. Kemp | 26,655 | 5.89% | ||
| Libertarian | Ted Dunlap | 5,867 | 1.30% | -0.31% | |
| Independent | Pro-Life | 3,850 | 0.85% | -0.77% | |
| Majority | 118,803 | 26.25% | +17.69% | ||
| Turnout | 452,535 | ||||
| Republican hold | Swing | ||||
References
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.[dead link]
- ↑ Brady done, but other Idaho Dems consider running again Accessed 16 August 2007[dead link]
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- ↑ http://www.sos.idaho.gov/elect/RESULTS/2010/General/tot_stwd.htm
External links
- Idaho Office of Elections
- Idaho Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 Idaho Governor from Follow the Money
- Idaho Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 Idaho Gubernatorial General Election graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Idaho Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Idaho Governor Race: Otter vs. Allred from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Idaho Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign websites
