Iowa gubernatorial election, 2010

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Iowa gubernatorial election, 2010

← 2006 November 2, 2010 2014 →
  Terry Branstad by Gage Skidmore.jpg Chet Culver speaking.jpg
Nominee Terry Branstad Chet Culver
Party Republican Democratic
Running mate Kim Reynolds Patty Judge
Popular vote 589,565[1] 481,297[1]
Percentage 52.9% 43.2%

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County results

Governor before election

Chet Culver
Democratic

Elected Governor

Terry Branstad
Republican

The Iowa gubernatorial election of 2010 was held on Tuesday, November 2, 2010 to elect the Governor and Lieutenant Governor, who will serve a four-year term to begin on January 14, 2011. In Iowa the Governor and Lieutenant Governor are elected on the same ballot.

The two major party candidates were first-term incumbent governor Chet Culver, a Democrat, who ran for re-election with first-term incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge, and former four-term governor Terry Branstad, who won a three-way primary for the Republican nomination and ran with State Senator Kim Reynolds.

The Branstad/Reynolds ticket defeated the Culver/Judge ticket in the general election.

Democratic primary

Candidates

  • Chet Culver, incumbent Governor

Results

Democratic primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Chet Culver (Incumbent) 56,293 95.7
Democratic Write-ins 2,534 4.3
Total votes 58,827 100

Republican primary

Candidates

On ballot

As listed by the Iowa Secretary of State's office:[3]

Withdrew

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Terry Branstad Bob Vander Plaats Rod Roberts
Selzer & Co. Inc of Des Moines June 1–3, 2010 57% 29% 8%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 46% 31% 13%

Results

Republican primary results[2]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Terry Branstad 114,450 50.3
Republican Bob Vander Plaats 93,058 40.9
Republican Rod Roberts 19,896 8.8
Total votes 227,404 100

General election

Candidates

  • Chet Culver (D), incumbent governor; running with incumbent lieutenant governor Patty Judge
  • Gregory James Hughes (I), running with Robin Prior-Calef[10]
  • Terry Branstad (R), former four-term governor; running with State Senator Kim Reynolds
  • Eric Cooper (L), professor at Iowa State University; running with judicial administrator Nick Weltha[11]
  • Jonathan Narcisse (Iowa Party), former member of the Des Moines school board; running with truck driver Rick Marlar. Narcisse is a Democrat and Marlar is a Republican.[12] Narcisse's campaign and that of Senate District 45 candidate Douglas William Phillips were not affiliated, though both appeared on the ballot under the "Iowa Party" name.[13]
  • David Rosenfeld (SWP), running with Helen Meyers[10]

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
Cook Political Report Lean R[14] October 21, 2010
Rothenberg Safe R[15] October 15, 2010
Swing State Project Safe R[citation needed]
RealClearPolitics Likely R[16] October 21, 2010
Sabato's Crystal Ball Safe R[17] October 21, 2010
CQ Politics Lean R[18] October 21, 2010

Polling

Poll source Dates administered Chet Culver Terry Branstad
Rasmussen Reports September 23, 2010 37% 55%
Rasmussen Reports August 5, 2010 36% 52%
Rasmussen Reports June 14, 2010 31% 57%
Public Policy Polling May 25–27, 2010 37% 52%
KCCI-TV May 3–5, 2010 41% 48%
Rasmussen Reports April 29, 2010 38% 53%
Rasmussen Reports March 17, 2010 36% 52%
Rasmussen Reports February 18, 2010 37% 53%
KCCI-TV February 15–17, 2010 38% 54%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines January 31-Feb. 3, 2010 33% 53%
Selzer & Co. of Des Moines November 8–11, 2009 33% 57%
Daily Kos/Research 2000 October 12–14, 2009 43% 48%
Rasmussen Reports September 22, 2009 34% 54%
Iowa First Foundation July 23-July 26, 2009 34% 53%
Concordia Group LLC July 2009 37% 53%

Results

2010 gubernatorial election, Iowa
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Terry Branstad 592494 52.86% +8.2
Democratic Chet Culver (Incumbent) 484798 43.16% -10.8
Iowa Party Jonathan Narcisse 20,859 1.28 n/a
Libertarian Eric Cooper 14,598 1.28 +0.7
Independent James Hughes 3,884 0.34 n/a
Socialist Workers David Rosenfeld 2,757 0.24 +.04
Write-in n/a 2,823 0.24 n/a
Majority 108,238
Turnout 1,047,714
Republican gain from Democratic Swing

References

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  3. http://www.sos.state.ia.us/pdfs/elections/2010/candlistprim.pdf
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  10. 10.0 10.1 http://www.sos.state.ia.us/pdfs/elections/2010/candlistgen.pdf
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External links

Debates
Official campaign websites