Montana gubernatorial election, 2012

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Montana gubernatorial election, 2012
← 2008 November 6, 2012 (2012-11-06) 2016 →
  147px RickHill2.jpg
Nominee Steve Bullock Rick Hill
Party Democratic Republican
Running mate John Walsh Jon Sonju
Popular vote 236,450 228,879
Percentage 48.9% 47.3%
300px
County results
Governor before election

Brian Schweitzer
Democratic

 Elected Governor

Steve Bullock
Democratic
Elections in Montana
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This box:

The 2012 Montana gubernatorial election took place on November 6, 2012, to elect the Governor of Montana. Incumbent Democratic Governor Brian Schweitzer was term-limited and could not run for re-election to a third term.

Montana Attorney General Steve Bullock won the Democratic primary with 87% of the vote and former U.S. Representative Rick Hill won the Republican primary with 34% of the vote. In the general election, Bullock was victorious by 7,571 votes, taking 48.9% of the vote to Hill's 47.3%.[1]

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Heather Margolis, Montana representative for community service organization ServeNext

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Steve
Bullock		 Larry
Jent		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 28–30, 2011 573 ± 4.1% 70% 6% — 24%

Results

Democratic primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Steve Bullock 76,738 86.6
Democratic Heather Margolis 11,823 13.4
Total votes 88,561 100

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

  • Bob Fanning, retired businessman[10]
  • Jim Lynch, former Montana Department of Transportation director[17]

Withdrew

Declined

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Jeff
Essmann		 Bob
Fanning		 Rick
Hill		 Neil
Livingstone		 Jim
Lynch		 Ken
Miller		 Jim
O'Hara		 Corey
Stapleton		 Other/
Undecided
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 403 ± 4.88% — 1% 33% 5% 4% 12% 4% 7% 35%
Public Policy Polling November 28–30, 2011 700 ± 3.7% 5% 1% 37% 3% 4% 10% 3% 2% 35%

Results

Republican primary results[9]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Rick Hill 46,802 34.4
Republican Corey Stapleton 24,661 18.1
Republican Ken Miller 24,496 18.0
Republican Jim O'Hara 16,653 12.2
Republican Neil Livingstone 12,038 8.8
Republican Jim Lynch 8,323 6.1
Republican Bob Fanning 3,087 2.3
Total votes 136,060 100

General election

Candidates

  • Running mate: John Walsh, Brigadier general and former adjutant general in the Montana National Guard
  • Ron Vandevender (Libertarian), businessman[28]
  • Running mate: Marc Mulcahy[11]

Debate

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Steve
Bullock (D)		 Rick
Hill (R)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling November 2–3, 2012 836 ± 3.4% 48% 48% 2% 2%
Mason-Dixon October 29–31, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 46% 49% 2% 3%
Public Policy Polling October 8–10, 2012 737 ± 3.6% 42% 43% 8% 7%
Montana State University September 27–30, 2012 477 ± 4.6% 38% 40% 2% 20%
Mason-Dixon September 17–19, 2012 625 ± 4.0% 44% 43% 2% 11%
Public Policy Polling September 10–11, 2012 656 ± 3.2% 44% 39% 8% 9%
Public Policy Polling April 26–29, 2012 934 ± 3.2% 39% 39% — 21%
Public Policy Polling November 28–30, 2011 1,625 ± 2.4% 38% 39% — 23%
Public Policy Polling June 16–19, 2011 819 ± 3.4% 37% 39% — 23%
Public Policy Polling November 10–13, 2010 1,176 ± 2.9% 31% 41% — 28%

Results

Montana gubernatorial election, 2012[29]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Democratic Steve Bullock 236,450 48.90% -16.57%
Republican Rick Hill 228,879 47.34% +14.82%
Libertarian Ron Vandevender 18,160 3.76% +1.75%
Majority 7,571 1.56% -31.39%
Turnout 483,489
Democratic hold Swing

References

  1. ↑ Michael Barone, et al. The Almanac of American Politics 2014 (2013) (Kindle Locations 48242-48245).
  2. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  7. ↑ Wanzenried ends run for governor : The Billings Gazette – Montana & Wyoming News
  8. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  25. ↑ Essmann drops out of GOP race for governor : The Billings Gazette – Montana & Wyoming News
  26. ↑ http://www.greatfallstribune.com/article/20120117/NEWS01/120117001/Turiano-drops-gubernatorial-bid
  27. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  28. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  29. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links

Official campaign websites
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