Nevada Democratic caucuses and convention, 2016

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Nevada Democratic caucuses, 2016

← 2012 February 20, 2016 (2016-02-20) 2020 →
  Hillary Clinton by Gage Skidmore 2.jpg Bernie Sanders September 2015 cropped.jpg
Candidate Hillary Clinton Bernie Sanders
Home state New York Vermont
Delegate count 20 15
Percentage 52.6% 47.3%

Nevada Democratic Presidential Caucuses Election Results by County, 2016.svg
Election results by county.
  Hillary Clinton
  Bernie Sanders

The 2016 Nevada Democratic caucuses took place on February 20 in the U.S. state of Nevada, traditionally marking the Democratic Party's third nominating contest in their series of presidential primaries ahead of the 2016 presidential election.

The Republican Party held its South Carolina primary on the same day, while their own Nevada caucuses would only take place three days later on February 23.

With all other candidates having dropped out of the race ahead of the Nevada caucuses, the two remaining candidates were Bernie Sanders and Hillary Clinton.[1]

Process

Of the total number of 43 delegates the Nevada Democratic Party may send to the 2016 Democratic National Convention, 35 are pledged and 8 are unpledged.

The delegate selection process is a system with three levels:

  1. The first step in the delegate selection process were the precinct caucuses on February 20, which elected about 12,000 delegates to the county conventions.
  2. At the county conventions on April 2, the county delegates selected about 4,000 delegates to the state convention.
  3. At the state convention on May 14–15, the final 35 pledged delegates to the National Convention will be selected. 23 of them are allocated proportionally based on congressional district results, whereas the remaining 12 are allocated based on the state convention as a whole.

State convention

The state convention was held in May as the final stage of the delegate selection process. Supports of Senator Sanders were angered when Party officials declined to accept the credentials of close to 60 pro-Sanders delegates. Nevada Democratic Party Chairwoman, Roberta Lange received numerous death threats and threats to the lives of her family and grandchildren. At the convention, Sanders supporters protested until the staff cancelled the event.[2][3] The event was later criticized as being violent, although it is debated whether such violence actually occurred.[4]

Despite charges by Sanders supporters that the Convention was rigged against their candidate, according to Jon Ralston,[3] "the facts reveal that the Sanders folks disregarded rules, then when shown the truth, attacked organizers and party officials as tools of a conspiracy to defraud the senator of what was never rightfully his in the first place."[3][5] After Sanders campaign Chair Jeff Weaver repeated assertions of process-rigging by Democratic Party officials, Politifact examined the evidence and concluded that, while the Party's selection process was "arcane" and "incredibly confusing", the fact is that "Clinton’s supporters simply turned out (attended the Convention) in larger numbers and helped her solidify her delegate lead." Moreover, according to Politifact: "There’s no clear evidence the state party 'hijacked' the process or ignored 'regular procedure.'"[6]

The Nevada Democratic Party wrote to the Democratic National Committee accusing Sanders supporters of having a "penchant for extra-parliamentary behavior — indeed, actual violence — in place of democratic conduct in a convention setting."[7] Sanders responded to demands that he denounce the use of violence by his supporters with an assertion that they were not treated with "fairness and respect."[7]

In a widely-noted TV segment, comedian Samantha Bee reported on the fracas,[8][9] as did Last Week Tonight with John Oliver[10] and Late Night with Seth Meyers in "A Closer Look" segment.[11]

Debates and forums

October 2015 debate in Las Vegas

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On October 13, 2015, the Democratic Party's very first debate was held at the Wynn Hotel in Las Vegas. Hosted by Anderson Cooper, it aired on CNN and was broadcast on radio by Westwood One. Participants were the candidates Hillary Clinton, Bernie Sanders, Jim Webb, Martin O'Malley, and Lincoln Chafee. It was the first and only debate appearance of Chafee and Webb, who ended their campaigns on October 23 and October 20, respectively.

February 2016 forum in Las Vegas

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On February 18, MSNBC and Telemundo hosted a forum in Las Vegas.

Opinion polling

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Delegate count: 35 Pledged, 8 Unpledged

Winner
America Symbol.svg Hillary Clinton
Caucus date
February 20, 2016
Poll source Date 1st 2nd Other
Caucus results February 20, 2016 Hillary Clinton
52.6%
Bernie Sanders
47.3%
Other
0.1%
Gravis Marketing[12]

Margin of error: ± 4.0
Sample size: 516

February 14–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton
53%
Bernie Sanders
47%
CNN/ORC[13]

Margin of error: ± 6.0
Sample size: 282

February 10–15, 2016 Hillary Clinton
48%
Bernie Sanders
47%
Others / Undecided
6%
Washington Free Beacon/TPC Research[14]

Margin of error: ± 2.9
Sample size: 1,236

February 8–10, 2016 Hillary Clinton
45%
Bernie Sanders
45%
Undecided 9%

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Polls in 2015
Poll source Date 1st 2nd 3rd Other
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 326

December 23–27, 2015 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
27%
Martin O'Malley
1%
Unsure 16%
CNN/ORC[15]

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 253

October 3–10, 2015 Hillary Clinton
50%
Bernie Sanders
34%
Joe Biden
12%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 5%
Sample size: 416

July 12–13, 2015 Hillary Clinton
55%
Bernie Sanders
18%
Elizabeth Warren
8%
Joe Biden 5%, Lincoln Chafee 1%, Jim Webb 1%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Unsure 12%
Gravis Marketing[16]

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 324

March 27, 2015 Hillary Clinton
61%
Elizabeth Warren
15%
Bernie Sanders
7%
Joe Biden 3%, Al Gore 3%, Martin O'Malley 1%, Jim Webb 0%, Unsure 10%
Gravis Marketing

Margin of error: ± 6%
Sample size: 324

February 21–22, 2015 Hillary Clinton
58%
Elizabeth Warren
20%
Joe Biden
8%
Bernie Sanders 4%, Jim Webb 3%, Martin O'Malley 0%, Undecided 7%


Results

Primary date: February 20, 2016
County conventions: April 2, 2016
State convention: May 14–15, 2016 (presumably)
National delegates: 43

Nevada Democratic caucuses, February 20, 2016
Candidate County delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 6,440 52.64% 20 4 24
Bernie Sanders 5,785 47.29% 15 1 16
Uncommitted 8 0.07% 0 3 3
Total 12,233 100% 35 8 43
Source: The Green Papers
Nevada Democratic county conventions, April 2, 2016
Candidate State delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Bernie Sanders 2,124 55.23% 17 1 18
Hillary Clinton 1,722 44.77% 18 4 22
Uncommitted 0 0.00% 0 3 3
Total 100% 35 8 43
Source: The Moderate Voice[17]
Nevada Democratic state conventions, May 14, 2016
Candidate State delegates Estimated delegates
Count Percentage Pledged Unpledged Total
Hillary Clinton 1,695 50.49% 20 4 24
Bernie Sanders 1,662 49.51% 15 1 16
Uncommitted 0 0.00% 0 3 3
Total 100% 35 8 43
Source: Nevada Democrats[18]

References

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  10. Primaries and Caucuses on YouTube Last Week Tonight with John Oliver May 22, 2016
  11. Democrats Divided on Hillary and Bernie on YouTube Late Night with Seth Meyers May 19, 2016
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