2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2010 New Mexico gubernatorial election took place on November 2, 2010. Democratic Governor Bill Richardson was term limited and unable to seek re-election.
On June 1, 2010, the Republicans nominated Susana Martínez, the district attorney for Doña Ana County, New Mexico, and the Democrats nominated Lieutenant Governor Diane Denish.
While it was initially thought that Richardson would resign early to become Secretary of Commerce in the Obama administration, Richardson withdrew from the position due to allegations of corruption that were later cleared and he remained Governor until the conclusion of his term.[1]
Susana Martínez won the election on November 2, 2010 and became New Mexico's first elected female governor.
Contents
Democratic nomination
The Democratic primary election was held on June 1, 2010.[2]
Candidate
Results
| Democratic primary results[4] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Democratic | Diane Denish | 108,302 | 99.1 | |
| Democratic | Billy J. Driggs (write-in) | 1,106 | 0.9 | |
| Total votes | 109,318 | 100 | ||
Republican nomination
The Republican primary was held on June 1, 2010.[2] Susana Martinez won the Republican nomination by getting over 50 percent of the vote in the primary. A pre-primary convention was held on March 13 and Martinez received 47 percent of the pre-primary Republican vote.[5]
Nominee
Other Candidates
- Janice Arnold-Jones, State Representative[7]
- Pete Domenici, Jr., lawyer and son of former U.S. Senator Pete Domenici[8]
- Doug Turner, public relations firm owner and political consultant[6]
- Allen Weh, former chairman of the state Republican Party[6]
Declined
- Steve Pearce, former U.S. Representative from the 2nd district and 2008 Senate nominee; opted to run for his former congressional seat[9]
- Heather Wilson, former U.S. Representative from the 1st district and 2008 Senate candidate[10]
- Greg Zanetti, former Bernalillo County Republican Party Chair and New Mexico National Guard brigadier general[11]
Convention
A pre-primary nominating convention was held on March 13, 2010. Susana Martinez was victorious, winning the support of 46.65 percent of delegates, while Allen Weh received 26.32%, Janice Arnold-Jones received 13.16%, Doug Turner won 9.43%, and Pete Domenici, Jr. won 4.61%. Candidates who receive less than 20% of the convention vote are required to collect twice as many signatures as those who received 20% in order to appear on the primary ballot. Nonetheless, Arnold-Jones, Turner and Domenici all signaled their intention to remain in the race.[5]
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Janice Arnold-Jones | Pete Domenici, Jr. | Susana Martínez | Doug Turner | Allen Weh | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SurveyUSA | May 23–25, 2010 | — | — | 3% | 8% | 43% | 8% | 33% | 5% |
| New Mexico State University | February 9–13, 2010 | — | — | 2.5% | 29.3% | 11.5% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 42.6% |
Results
| Republican primary results[4] | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
| Republican | Susana Martínez | 62,006 | 50.7 | |
| Republican | Allen Weh | 33,727 | 27.6 | |
| Republican | Doug Turner | 14,166 | 11.6 | |
| Republican | Pete Domenici, Jr. | 8,630 | 7.0 | |
| Republican | Janice Arnold-Jones | 3,740 | 3.1 | |
| Total votes | 122,269 | 100 | ||
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| Cook Political Report | Toss up[12] | October 25, 2010 |
| Rothenberg | Leans R[13] | October 22, 2010 |
| Swing State Project | Leans R[citation needed] | |
| RealClearPolitics | Leans R[14] | October 25, 2010 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball | Leans R[15] | October 21, 2010 |
| CQ Politics | Likely D[16] | October 25, 2010 |
| Rasmussen Reports | Leans R[17] | October 24, 2010 |
| FiveThirtyEight | R[18] | October 25, 2010 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Diane Denish (D) |
Susana Martínez (R) |
Other | Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasmussen Reports | October 24, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 52% | — | — |
| SurveyUSA | October 15, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 54% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | October 10, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 52% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | September 29, 2010 | — | — | 41% | 51% | — | — |
| Albuquerque Journal | September 27–30, 2010 | — | — | 41% | 47% | — | — |
| Public Policy Polling | September 25–26, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 50% | — | — |
| Public Opinion Strategies | September 11–13, 2010 | — | — | 40% | 50% | — | — |
| Albuquerque Journal | August 23–27, 2010 | — | — | 39% | 45% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | August 24, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 48% | — | — |
| Magellan Strategies | June 21, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 44% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | June 3, 2010 | — | — | 42% | 44% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | May 25, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 42% | — | — |
| SurveyUSA | May 23–25, 2010 | — | — | 43% | 49% | — | — |
| Rasmussen Reports | March 24, 2010 | — | — | 51% | 32% | — | — |
| Public Policy Polling | February 18–20, 2010 | — | — | 46% | 32% | — | — |
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Hypothetical polling |
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Results
| Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican | Susana Martínez | 321,219 | 53.29% | +22.10% | ||
| Democratic | Diane Denish | 280,614 | 46.55% | -22.27% | ||
| Write-ins | 994 | 0.16% | ||||
| Majority | 40,605 | 6.74% | -30.90% | |||
| Turnout | 602,827 | |||||
| Republican gain from Democratic | ||||||
See also
References
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External links
- New Mexico Secretary of State – Elections
- New Mexico Governor Candidates at Project Vote Smart
- Campaign contributions for 2010 New Mexico Governor from Follow the Money
- New Mexico Governor 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- 2010 New Mexico Governor General Election: Susana Martinez (R) vs Diane Denish (D) graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: New Mexico Governor from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 New Mexico Governor - Martinez vs. Denish from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 New Mexico Governor's Race from CQ Politics
- Race Profile in The New York Times
- Official campaign websites
