Straw polls for the Republican Party presidential primaries, 2016

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The following is a list of notable straw polls for the 2016 Republican Party's presidential nomination.

Conservative Political Action Conference

CPAC 2013

[1]

Candidates Percentage
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul 25%
Florida Senator Marco Rubio 23%
Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum 8%
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie 7%
Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan 6%
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker 5%
Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson 4%
Texas Senator Ted Cruz 4%
Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal 3%
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin 3%
Other 14%
Undecided 1%

CPAC 2014

[2]

Candidates Percentage
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul 31%
Texas Senator Ted Cruz 11%
Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson 9%
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie 8%
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker 7%
Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum 7%
Florida Senator Marco Rubio 6%
Wisconsin Congressman Paul Ryan 3%
Texas Governor Rick Perry 3%
Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal 2%
Former Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice 2%
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 2%
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin 2%

CPAC 2015

Candidates Percentage
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul 25.7%
Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker 21.4%
Texas Senator Ted Cruz 11.5%
Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson 11.4%
Former Florida Governor Jeb Bush 8.3%
Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum 4.3%
Florida Senator Marco Rubio 3.7%
Businessman Donald Trump 3.5%
Businesswoman Carly Fiorina 3.0%
New Jersey Governor Chris Christie 2.8%
Former Texas Governor Rick Perry 1.1%
Undecided 1.0%
Louisiana Governor Bobby Jindal 0.9%
Former Alaska Governor Sarah Palin 0.8%
Other 0.7%
Former Ambassador John Bolton 0.3%
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 0.3%
South Carolina Senator Lindsey Graham 0.1%
Former New York Governor George Pataki 0.1%

CPAC 2016

[3]

Candidates Percentage
Texas Senator Ted Cruz 40%
Florida Senator Marco Rubio 30%
Businessman Donald Trump 15%
Ohio Governor John Kasich 8%
Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson 2%
Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders 1%
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg 1%
Former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton .3%
Other 4%
Undecided 1%

Values Voter Summit

VVS 2013

[4]

Candidates Percentage
Texas Senator Ted Cruz 42%
Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson 13%
Former Pennsylvania Senator Rick Santorum 13%
Kentucky Senator Rand Paul 6%
Florida Senator Marco Rubio 5%

VVS 2014

[5]

Candidates Percentage
Texas Senator Ted Cruz 25%
Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson 20%
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 12%

VVS 2015

[6]

Candidates Percentage
Texas Senator Ted Cruz 42%
Neurosurgeon Dr. Ben Carson 18%
Former Arkansas Governor Mike Huckabee 14%
Florida Senator Marco Rubio 13%
CEO Donald Trump 5%

Southern Republican Leadership Conference

SRLC 2014

Finish Candidate Percentage
1 Ted Cruz 30.33%
2 Ben Carson 29.38%
3 Rand Paul 10.43%
4 Mike Huckabee 5.06%
5 Rick Perry 4.9%

SRLC 2015

The poll was held at the conference May 23, 2015, in Oklahoma City.[7]

Ben Carson – 25.4%
Scott Walker – 20.5%
Ted Cruz – 16.6%
Chris Christie 5.3%
Rick Perry – 5.0%
Jeb Bush – 4.9%
Rand Paul – 4.1%
Marco Rubio – 4.1%
Bobby Jindal – 4.1%
Carly Fiorina – 2.7%
Mike Huckabee – 2.7%
Rick Santorum – 1.9%
Donald Trump – 1.2%
Mark Everson – 0.8%
Lindsey Graham – 0.5%
John Kasich – 0.2%
Jim Gilmore - 0%

Western Conservative Summit

WCS 2014

[8]

Ben Carson – 22%
Ted Cruz – 13%
Sarah Palin - 12%

WCS 2015

[9]

Ben Carson – 224 / 26%
Carly Fiorina – 201 / 23%
Scott Walker – 192 / 22%
Ted Cruz - 100 / 11%
Rand Paul – 34 / 3.9%
Marco Rubio – 24 / 2.8%
Rick Perry – 20 / 2.3%
Rick Santorum – 16 / 1.8%
Donald Trump – 15 / 1.7%
Mike Huckabee – 13 / 1.5%
Bobby Jindal – 9 / 1%
Bill Armstrong – 6 / 0.7%
Jeb Bush – 4 / 0.5%
John Kasich – 4 / 0.5%
Chris Christie - 3 / 0.3%
Lindsey Graham – 3 / 0.3%
Mitt Romney - 3 / 0.3%
George Pataki - 0 / 0%

February 25, 2015 - Washington State Republican Party Straw Poll

[10]

Finish Potential candidate Percentage Votes
1 Ben Carson 37% 823
2 Scott Walker 15% 333
3 Mitt Romney 9% 200
4 Ted Cruz 7% 153
5 Rand Paul 7% 149
N/A Others/Write-In 3% 65
6 Jeb Bush 3% 60
7 Mike Huckabee 3% 59
8 Marco Rubio 2% 45
9 Rick Perry 2% 40
10 Trey Gowdy 2% 36
11 Bobby Jindal 1% 32
12 Allen West 1% 28
13 Ron Paul 1% 25
14 Sarah Palin 1% 24
15 John Kasich 1% 21
16 Condoleezza Rice 1% 21
17 Undecided 1% 21
18 Chris Christie 1% 20
19 Paul Ryan 1% 19
20 Susana Martinez 1% 13
21 Newt Gingrich 1% 12
22 Rick Santorum <1% 11

February 25, 2015 - National Republican Trust Political Action Committee Straw Poll

[11]

Finish Potential candidate Percentage Votes
1 Ben Carson 67% 10,620
2 Scott Walker 12% 1,935
3 Ted Cruz 10% 1,557
4 Mitt Romney 4% 615
5 Marco Rubio 3% 555
6 Rand Paul 2% 325
7 Rick Perry 1% 160
8 Mike Huckabee <1% 75
9 Paul Ryan <1% 50
10 Rick Santorum <1% 40
11 Jeb Bush <1% 10
12 Bobby Jindal <1% 10
13 George Pataki 0% 0
14 Chris Christie 0% 0

March 14, 2015 - Georgia Association of Republican County Chairmen Straw Poll

The GA-ARCC straw poll was held in over 30 counties as part of Republican county conventions in Georgia:[12]

Finish Potential candidate Percentage Votes
1 Scott Walker 39% 536
2 Rand Paul 14% 189
3 Ben Carson 9% 127
4 Jeb Bush 7% 98
5 Ted Cruz 6% 76
6 Mike Huckabee 5% 71
7 Marco Rubio 4% 48
8 Mitt Romney 2% 30
9 Rick Perry 2% 29
10 Bobby Jindal 2% 21
11 Chris Christie 1% 13
12 John Kasich 1% 11
Other/Undecided 8% 117

June 27, 2015 - Citizens United Straw Poll

[13]

Ben Carson – 18.0%
Scott Walker – 17.9%
Ted Cruz – 15.9%
Donald Trump - 13.1%
Marco Rubio - 5.5%
Rand Paul – 5.0%
Jeb Bush - 4.5%
Rick Perry - 4.0%
Mike Huckabee - 3.7%
Carly Fiorina – 2.6%
John Kasich - 2.0%
Rick Santorum – 1.0%
Bobby Jindal - .8%
Chris Christie – 0.7%
Lindsey Graham – 0.1%
George Pataki – 0%
Other - 1.0%
Undecided - 4.0%

July 20, 2015 - Washington, D.C. Republican Party Straw Poll

[14]

Finish Candidate Percentage
1 Ben Carson 44%
2 Jeb Bush 17%
3 Marco Rubio 11%
4 Scott Walker 7%

September 20, 2015 - Michigan Republican Party Straw Poll

[15]

Finish Candidate Percentage
1 Rand Paul 22%
2 Carly Fiorina 15%
3 John Kasich 13%
4 Ted Cruz 7%
5 Jeb Bush 9%
6 Marco Rubio 8%
7 Donald Trump 6%
8 Ben Carson 5%
9 Scott Walker 2%

October 8-18, 2015 - Georgia National Fair "Peanut Poll" Straw Poll

[16]

Finish Candidate Votes Percentage
1 Ben Carson 8,576 36.86%
2 Donald Trump 8,099 34.81%
3 Carly Fiorina 1,203 5.17%
4 Marco Rubio 1,064 4.57%
5 Ted Cruz 778 3.34%
6 Jeb Bush 629 2.70%
7 Mike Huckabee 597 2.57%
8 Rand Paul 234 1.01%
9 John Kasich 132 0.57%
10 Chris Christie 129 0.55%
11 Rick Santorum 98 0.42%
12 Lindsey Graham 80 0.34%
13 Bobby Jindal 78 0.34%
14 George Pataki 65 0.28%
15 Jim Gilmore 42 0.18%
16 Undecided 1,464 6.29%

October 19, 2015 - North Carolina Tea Party Caucus

[17]

Finish Candidate Percentage
1 Ted Cruz 51%
2 Ben Carson 42.05%
3 Carly Fiorina 0.77%

References

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  3. http://conservative.org/wp-content/uploads/2016/03/CPAC-Straw-Poll-3-5-16-Presentation-FOR-RELEASE.pdf
  4. Cruz wins Values Voter Summit's 2016 straw poll
  5. Cruz wins Values Voter Summit's straw poll
  6. [1]
  7. Southern Republican Leadership Conference straw poll results
  8. Bunch, Joey. The Denver Post, July 20, 2014, "Ben Carson, Ted Cruz, Sarah Palin top Western Conservative Summit straw poll for '16"
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