United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia, 2014

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United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia, 2014

← 2012 November 4, 2014 (2014-11-04) 2016 →

All 3 West Virginia seats to the United States House of Representatives
  Majority party Minority party
 
Party Republican Democratic
Last election 2 1
Seats won 3 0
Seat change Increase1 Decrease1
Popular vote 242,823 182,484
Percentage 55.26% 41.53%
Swing Decrease4.65% Increase1.44%

The 2014 United States House of Representatives election in West Virginia was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the three U.S. Representatives from West Virginia, one from each of the state's three congressional districts.

Representatives are elected for two-year terms. Those elected will serve in the 114th Congress from January 2015 until January 2017.

Overview

United States House of Representatives elections in West Virginia, 2014[1]
Party Votes Percentage Seats +/–
Republican 242,823 55.26% 3 +1
Democratic 182,484 41.53% 0 -1
Libertarian 7,682 1.75% 0
Independents 6,399 1.46% 0
Totals 439,388 100.00% 3

District 1

Republican David McKinley, who has represented West Virginia's 1st congressional district since 2011, was re-elected in 2012. While McKinley had expressed some interest in running for Senate, he later declared he would not run.[2] He filed for re-election to his House seat on January 15, 2014.[3]

Glen Gainer III, the West Virginia State Auditor, sought the Democratic nomination unopposed.[4]

Primary results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David McKinley 27,589 100
Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Glen Gainer III 34,764 100

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
David
McKinley (R)
Glen
Gainer (D)
Undecided
YouGov October 16–23, 2014 276 ± 10% 53% 25% 22%

Results

West Virginia's 1st Congressional District, 2014[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican David McKinley (Incumbent) 92,491 63.90
Democratic Glen Gainer, III 52,109 36.00
write-ins 137 0.09
Total votes 144,737 100
Republican hold

District 2

Republican Shelley Moore Capito, who has represented West Virginia's 2nd congressional district since 2001, won her seventh term in Congress with almost 70 percent of the vote in 2012. She has announced that she will not run for re-election, so that she can run for the United States Senate seat currently held by retiring Democrat Jay Rockefeller.[7]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Results

Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alex Mooney 12,678 36.02
Republican Ken Reed 7,848 22.30
Republican Charlotte Lane 6,358 18.06
Republican Steve Harrison 3,885 11.04
Republican Ron Walters, Jr. 2,125 6.04
Republican Jim Moss 1,684 4.78
Republican Robert Fluharty 621 1.76
Total votes 35,199 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared
Declined

Results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nick Casey 21,646 60.62
Democratic Meshea Poore 14,061 39.38
Total votes 35,707 100

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Alex
Mooney (R)
Nick
Casey (D)
Davy
Jones (L)
Ed
Rabel (I)
Undecided
YouGov October 16–23, 2014 348 ± 7% 45% 44% 11%
Public Opinion Strategies* August 10–12, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 40% 28% 5% 8% 19%
Tarrance Group* May 20–22, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 43% 31% 4% 11% 11%
  • * Internal poll for Alex Mooney campaign

Results

West Virginia's 2nd Congressional District, 2014[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Alex X. Mooney 72,619 47.08
Democratic Nick Casey 67,687 43.88
Libertarian Davy Jones 7,682 4.98
Independent Ed Rabel 6,250 4.05
write-ins 12 0.01
Total votes 154,250 100
Republican hold

District 3

In 2014, Democrat Nick Rahall, who had represented West Virginia in Congress since 1977, ran for re-election to the 3rd District seat, after having considered running for the Senate but instead deciding to run for re-election.[26] Veteran Richard Ojeda ran against Rahall for the Democratic nomination, but lost.[27] Rahall is considered one of the most "endangered" House Democrats by the House Democratic campaign committee.[28][29] Rahall was endorsed by the National Rifle Association's Political Victory Fund.[30]

For the Republicans, State Senator Evan Jenkins, who switched parties in July 2013, ran for the seat against Rahall.[31] Jenkins ran unopposed in the Republican primary.[32] State Senator Bill Cole, who had considered a run for the seat himself, was Jenkins' campaign chairman.[33] Snuffer considered running again, but did not file.[31][34]

In July 2013, Jenkins switched to the Republican Party in preparation for his run at the seat. On switching parties, Jenkins stated that: “West Virginia is under attack from Barack Obama and a Democratic Party that our parents and grandparents would not recognize."[31] In 2012, West Virginia's 3rd district went for Mitt Romney 66-32 percent.[35]

The National Right to Life Committee, West Virginia Chamber of Commerce, and West Virginians for Life, all of which had previously supported Rahall, supported Jenkins in 2014, and the West Virginia Coal Association endorsed Jenkins in September 2014.[36][37] Jenkins supports the repeal of Obamacare, and states that he would replace the law.[38] He also opposes federal cap and trade restrictions on coal emissions.[39]

As of September 18, 2014, the race was rated a "toss up" by both University of Virginia political professor Larry Sabato, of Sabato's Crystal Ball, and Stu Rothenberg of the Rothenberg Political Report.[40] As of October 2, managing editor Kyle Kondik of Sabato's Crystal Ball said the race was still a toss-up, calling it "Super close, super expensive and super nasty."[41][42]

Fox News opined in October that Jenkins "offers Republicans the most credible nominee the party has had since the mid-’90s. In a race that will see as much advertising by third-party organizations as any House race in the country, the winner will be the candidate who voters believe will do the most to take on President Obama’s War on Coal and the EPA."[43]

Through October 6, 2014, 16,340 ads had appeared on broadcast television, the second-highest number of ads of any district in the U.S.[44] By mid-October 2014, it was anticipated that $12.8 million could be spent on ads in the race by Election Day.[45] Rahall outspent Jenkins in the election by a two-to-one ratio.[46]

Time magazine listed a Rahall ad in its article: "Here Are 5 of The Most Dishonest Political Ads of 2014," and the Washington Post ran an article regarding the same Rahall ad entitled: "A sleazy attack puts words in the other candidate’s mouth".[47][48]

Jenkins won the election, defeating incumbent Rahall in November 2014 with 55.3% of the vote to Rahall's 44.7%.[49][50]

Primary results

Democratic primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Nick Rahall 37,176 66.45
Democratic Richard Ojeda 18,767 33.55
Total votes 55,943 100
Republican primary results[5]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Evan Jenkins 14,374 100

General election

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size
Margin of
error
Nick
Rahall (D)
Evan
Jenkins (R)
Undecided
YouGov October 16–23, 2014 253 ± 10% 45% 50% 5%
Harper Polling October 7–8, 2014 657 ± 3.82% 44% 50% 6%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research May 26–28, 2014 403 ± 5% 52% 39% 9%
Anzalone Liszt Grove Research* May 12–14, 2014 502 ± 4.4% 52% 39% 9%
DFM Research April 22–27, 2014 400 ± 4.9% 48% 39% 13%
Garin-Hart-Yang Research April 15–16, 2014 400 ± 5% 52% 40% 8%
Tarrance Group^ March 3–5, 2014 405 ± 4.9% 40% 54% 6%
Harper Polling^ October 7–8, 2013 649 ± 3.84% 46% 42% 12%
  • ^ Internal poll for Evan Jenkins campaign
  • * Internal poll for Nick Rahall campaign

Results

West Virginia's 3rd Congressional District, 2014[6]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Evan Jenkins 77,713 55.35
Democratic Nick Rahall, II (Incumbent) 62,688 44.65
Total votes 140,401 100
Republican gain from Democratic

See also

References

  1. http://history.house.gov/Institution/Election-Statistics/Election-Statistics/
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External links