United States Senate election in Illinois, 2016

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United States Senate election in Illinois, 2016
← 2010 November 8, 2016 2022 →
  Senator Mark Kirk official portrait crop.jpg Tammy Duckworth, official portrait, 113th Congress.jpg
Nominee Mark Kirk Tammy Duckworth
Party Republican Democratic
Blank Illinois map.svg
Incumbent U.S. senator

Mark Kirk
Republican


Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in Illinois will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Illinois, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The primaries were held on March 15.

Incumbent Republican Senator Mark Kirk is running for re-election to a second term in office.[1]

Background

Republican Mark Kirk was elected to the Senate in 2010, defeating Democratic nominee Alexi Giannoulias by 59,220 votes out of more than 3.7 million votes cast.

Kirk suffered a stroke in January 2012 that kept him away from the Senate until January 2013.[2] In June 2013 he confirmed that he was "planning" to run for re-election,[3][4] but there was speculation that he might retire,[5] particularly in the wake of the departure of several of his senior staff.[6][7] One scenario that had been mooted was Kirk resigning, which would have allowed Republican Governor Bruce Rauner to appoint a replacement.[8] Potential replacements if he retired or resigned included U.S. Representatives Robert Dold, Adam Kinzinger, Aaron Schock, and Peter Roskam, State Senators Jason Barickman and Christine Radogno, hedge fund manager and founder and CEO of Citadel LLC Kenneth C. Griffin, and businesswoman Beth Christie.[5][7] In November 2014, Kirk reiterated that he was going to run for re-election.[1]

Kirk has been identified by The Washington Post, The New York Times, Politico, The Huffington Post, Slate and Roll Call as one of the most vulnerable Republican Senators up for re-election in 2016.[9][10][11][12][13][14]

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Removed from ballot

Withdrawn

  • Ron Wallace, investment advisor, conservative activist and economics professor[18][19]

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Mark
Kirk		 James
Marter		 Other Undecided
Chicago Tribune March 2–6, 2016 600 ± 4.1% 65% 22% – 12%
SIU Simon Institute February 15–20, 2016 306 ± 5.6% 53% 14% – 33%

Results

Republican primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mark Kirk 931,619 70.57
Republican James Marter 388,571 29.43
Total votes 1,320,190 100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrawn

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Tammy
Duckworth		 Andrea
Zopp		 Napoleon
Harris		 Other Undecided
SIU Simon Institute February 15–20, 2016 422 ± 4.7% 52% 6% 4% — 37%
Public Policy Polling July 20–21, 2015 409 ± 4.9% 59% 10% — — 31%

Results

Democratic primary results[34]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Tammy Duckworth 1,220,128 64.38
Democratic Andrea Zopp 455,729 24.05
Democratic Napoleon Harris 219,286 11.57
Total votes 1,859,257 100.0

Libertarian Primary

Declared

  • Chris Aguayo, political activist[66][67]

Declined

  • William J. Kelly, television producer, nominee for IL-01 in 1994, candidate for Illinois Comptroller in 2010 and candidate for Mayor of Chicago in 2015[68][69]

General election

Candidates

Endorsements

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[82] Tossup March 25, 2016
Daily Kos[83] Tossup March 31, 2016
Roll Call[84] Tilt D March 31, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball[85] Lean D March 21, 2016

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Mark
Kirk (R)		 Tammy
Duckworth (D)		 Other Undecided
GS Strategy Group (R-Mark Kirk) March 30–31, 2016 600 ± 4% 40% 43% — 17%
End Citizens United September 10–14, 2015 948 ± 3.2% 41% 45% — 14%
Public Policy Polling July 20–21, 2015 931 ± 3.2% 36% 42% — 22%
Ogden & Fry June 23, 2015 598 ± 4.09% 27% 44% — 29%
We Ask America December 18, 2014 1,003 ± 3% 45% 46% — 9%

References

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 1.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  26. ↑ Riopell, Mike (February 16, 2015) - "Joe Walsh Eyes Challenge to U.S. Sen. Mark Kirk". Daily Herald. Retrieved February 17, 2015.
  27. ↑ Sweet, Lynn (February 17, 2015) - "Former Rep. Joe Walsh 'Looking At' Bid to Oust Sen. Mark Kirk". Chicago Sun-Times. Retrieved February 21, 2015.
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  36. ↑ 36.0 36.1 Skiba, Katherine (February 12, 2015) - "4 U.S. House Democrats From Illinois Consider a Challenge to Sen. Mark Kirk". Chicago Tribune. Retrieved February 23, 2015.
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  73. ↑ http://www.slate.com/blogs/outward/2016/03/22/hrc_endorses_mark_kirk_over_tammy_duckworth.html<
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External links

Official campaign websites
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