United States Senate election in Iowa, 2016
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The 2016 United States Senate election in Iowa will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Iowa, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections.
Incumbent Republican Senator Chuck Grassley has said that he plans to seek re-election to a seventh term in office.
Republican and Democratic candidates for the election will be chosen at the Iowa state primary election to be held on June 7, 2016.[1]
Contents
Background
Republican Chuck Grassley was first elected to the Senate in 1980, defeating Democratic incumbent John Culver by 53% to 46%. Since then, Grassley has been re-elected five times, most recently in 2010, on each occasion taking at least 64% of the vote.
Despite speculation that Grassley, who will be 83 years old in 2016, might retire,[2] he announced in September 2013 that he was "making plans to run for re-election", but added that "it's not taking much of my time. I’m concentrating on doing my job for Iowans."[3]
Republican primary
Candidates
Declared
- Chuck Grassley, incumbent Senator[3][4]
Withdrawn
Declined
- Pat Grassley, State Representative and grandson of Chuck Grassley[8]
- Steve King, U.S. Representative[9]
- Tom Latham, former U.S. Representative[9]
Democratic primary
Candidates
Declared
- Tom Fiegen, former State Senator and candidate for U.S. Senate in 2010[4]
- Rob Hogg, State Senator[10]
- Patty Judge, former Lieutenant Governor and former Iowa Secretary of Agriculture[11][12][13]
- Bob Krause, former State Representative, nominee for State Treasurer in 1978, candidate for Mayor of Waterloo in 1982 and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010[14]
Withdrawn
- Ray Zirkelbach, former State Representative[15][16]
Declined
- Christie Vilsack, former First Lady of Iowa and nominee for Iowa's 4th congressional district in 2012[8]
- Tom Vilsack, United States Secretary of Agriculture and former Governor of Iowa[9]
- Chet Culver, former Governor of Iowa[8][17]
- Michael Gronstal, Majority Leader of the Iowa Senate and Chairman of the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee[8][18]
- Dave Loebsack, U.S. Representative (running for re-election)[9][19]
- Andy McGuire, Chairwoman of the Iowa Democratic Party and candidate for Lieutenant Governor in 2006[4]
- Tyler Olson, former State Representative, former Chairman of the Iowa Democratic Party, and candidate for Governor in 2014[20][21]
General election
Predictions
| Source | Ranking | As of |
|---|---|---|
| The Cook Political Report[22] | Likely R | March 25, 2016 |
| Daily Kos[23] | Likely R | April 4, 2016 |
| Roll Call[24] | Safe R | April 4, 2016 |
| Sabato's Crystal Ball[25] | Likely R | April 7, 2016 |
Polling
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Tom Fiegen (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–November 1, 2015 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 54% | 30% | 16% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% | 53% | 30% | 17% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Rob Hogg (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–November 1, 2015 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 53% | 29% | 18% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% | 52% | 28% | 20% |
| Poll source | Date(s) administered |
Sample size |
Margin of error |
Chuck Grassley (R) |
Bob Krause (D) |
Undecided |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Public Policy Polling | October 30–November 1, 2015 | 1,668 | ± 2.4% | 52% | 28% | 21% |
| Public Policy Polling | August 7–9, 2015 | 1,500 | ± 2.5% | 51% | 29% | 20% |
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Hypothetical polling |
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References
- ↑ Iowa Secretary of State, Primary Election.
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External Links
- Official campaign websites
