United States Senate election in Louisiana, 2014
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| ← 2008 |
November 4 and December 6, 2014 |
2020 → |
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Runoff results by Parish
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 United States Senate election in Louisiana was held on November 4, 2014, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Louisiana. As no candidate won a majority of the vote, a runoff was held on December 6, 2014.
Incumbent Democratic Senator Mary Landrieu ran for re-election to a fourth term in office against Republican U.S. Representative Bill Cassidy and several other candidates.
Under Louisiana's jungle primary system, all candidates appear on the same ballot, regardless of party and voters may vote for any candidate, regardless of their party affiliation. Louisiana is the only state that has a jungle primary system (California and Washington have a similar "top two primary" system). Since no candidate received a majority of the vote in the primary election, a runoff election was held on December 6 between the top two candidates, Landrieu and Cassidy.[1]
In the December 6 runoff, Cassidy defeated Landrieu by 56% to 44%, settling the fate of the final Senate seat of the 2014 midterm elections. Cassidy's victory gave the Republicans 54 seats in the 114th Congress.[2] Cassidy became the first Republican to hold this seat since William P. Kellogg did so in 1883.
Background
Elections in Louisiana, with the exception of U.S. presidential elections, follow a variation of the open primary system called the jungle primary. Candidates of any and all parties are listed on one ballot; voters need not limit themselves to the candidates of one party. Unless one candidate takes more than 50% of the vote in the first round, a run-off election is then held between the top two candidates, who may in fact be members of the same party. This scenario occurred in the 7th District congressional race in 1996, when Democrats Chris John and Hunter Lundy made the runoff for the open seat, and in 1999, when Republicans Suzanne Haik Terrell and Woody Jenkins made the runoff for Commissioner of Elections.
Candidates
Democratic Party
Declared
Withdrew
- Raymond Brown, minister, civil rights activist and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 1998 and 2002 (endorsed Landrieu)[7][8]
Declined
Republican Party
Declared
Withdrew
Declined
- Scott Angelle, member of the Louisiana Public Service Commission and former Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana[15]
- Charles Boustany, U.S. Representative[16]
- Jay Dardenne, Lieutenant Governor of Louisiana[17]
- John Fleming, U.S. Representative[18]
- Elbert Guillory, State Senator[19]
- Bobby Jindal, Governor of Louisiana[20]
- Jeff Landry, former U.S. Representative[21]
- Tony Perkins, President of the Family Research Council, former State Representative and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2002[22]
- Phil Robertson, reality television star[23]
- Buddy Roemer, former Governor of Louisiana, former U.S. Representative and candidate for President of the United States in 2012[24]
- Chas Roemer, President of the Louisiana Board of Elementary and Secondary Education and son of former Governor Buddy Roemer[25]
- Steve Scalise, U.S. Representative[16]
- Alan Seabaugh, State Representative[26]
Libertarian Party
Declared
- Brannon McMorris, electrical engineer[27]
Jungle primary
Endorsements
| Mary Landrieu |
- Individuals
- Organizations
|
| Bill Cassidy |
- Politicians
- Newt Gingrich, former Speaker of the United States House of Representatives and candidate for President in 2012[30]
- Mike Huckabee, former Governor of Arkansas and candidate for President in 2008[30]
- Rick Perry, Governor of Texas and candidate for President in 2012[30]
- John Cornyn, U.S. Senator (R-TX)[30]
- Joseph Cao, former U.S. Representative (R-LA)[30]
- Henson Moore, former U.S. Representative (R-LA)[30]
- Danny Martiny, State Senate Majority Leader[30]
- Elbert Guillory, State Senator[30]
- Jack Donahue, State Senator[30]
- Robert Kostelka, State Senator[30]
- Mike Walsworth, State Senator[30]
- Conrad Appel, State Senator[30]
- State House Speaker Chuck Kleckley[30]
- State House Majority Leader Lance Harris[30]
- State House Assistant Majority Leader Alan Seabaugh[30]
- Erich Ponti, State Representative[30]
- Franklin Foil, State Representative[30]
- J. Rogers Pope, State Representative[30]
- Chris Broadwater, State Representative[30]
- Hunter Greene, State Representative[30]
- Scott Simon, State Representative[30]
- Joseph Lopinto, State Representative[30]
- Joe Harrison, State Representative[30]
- Clay Schexnayder, State Representative[30]
- Frank A. Hoffmann, State Representative[30]
- Valarie Hodges, State Representative[30]
- Sherman Q. Mack, State Representative[30]
- Cameron Henry, State Representative[30]
- John Schroder, State Representative[30]
- Paul Hollis, State Representative[30]
- Mert Smiley, Ascension Parish Assessor and former State Representative[30]
- Individuals
|
| Rob Maness |
- Politicians
- Individuals
- Organizations
|
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Bill
Cassidy (R) |
Paul
Hollis (R) |
Rob
Maness (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
October 30–November 1, 2014 |
1,003 |
± 3.1% |
43% |
35% |
— |
15% |
1% |
6% |
| NBC News/Marist |
October 26–30, 2014 |
630 LV |
± 3.9% |
44% |
36% |
— |
15% |
1% |
4% |
| 961 RV |
± 3.2% |
42% |
35% |
— |
15% |
1% |
6% |
| Suffolk University |
October 23–26, 2014 |
500 |
± 4% |
36.4% |
34.8% |
— |
11.2% |
2.6%[42] |
15% |
| University of New Orleans |
October 11–24, 2014 |
590 |
± 4.1% |
38% |
33% |
— |
7% |
1% |
21% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
October 16–23, 2014 |
1,316 |
± 5% |
37% |
32% |
— |
5% |
5%[43] |
19% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
October 22–23, 2014 |
988 |
± 3% |
43% |
36% |
— |
13% |
3% |
6% |
| Multi-Quest International |
October 14–19, 2014 |
605 |
± 4% |
36% |
32% |
— |
6% |
3% |
23% |
| Vox Populi Polling |
October 13–14, 2014 |
546 |
± 4.2% |
38% |
38% |
— |
10% |
6%[44] |
8% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
October 13–14, 2014 |
965 |
± 3% |
41% |
38% |
— |
14% |
2% |
5% |
| 0ptimus |
September 30–October 2, 2014 |
5,711 |
± 1.3% |
37.8% |
35.9% |
— |
17.7% |
— |
8.6% |
| Hickman Analytics |
September 26–October 2, 2014 |
502 |
± 4.4% |
39% |
30% |
— |
6% |
5%[45] |
19% |
| Public Policy Polling |
September 25–28, 2014 |
1,141 |
± 2.9% |
42% |
34% |
— |
12% |
2% |
10% |
| CNN/ORC |
September 22–25, 2014 |
610 LV |
± 4% |
43% |
40% |
— |
9% |
4% |
4% |
| 866 RV |
± 3.5% |
45% |
35% |
— |
8% |
6% |
5% |
| Fox News |
September 14–16, 2014 |
617 |
± 4% |
31% |
35% |
— |
7% |
— |
16% |
| Gravis Marketing |
September 5–9, 2014 |
426 |
± 5% |
45% |
30% |
— |
14% |
— |
12% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
August 28–September 2, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
47% |
32% |
— |
13% |
— |
8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
August 18–September 2, 2014 |
870 |
± 5% |
36% |
38% |
— |
10% |
3%[46] |
11% |
| Senate Conservatives Fund |
August 16–18, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
43% |
32% |
— |
16% |
1% |
8% |
| Public Policy Polling |
June 26–29, 2014 |
664 |
± 3.8% |
44% |
27% |
5% |
8% |
— |
17% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
May 5–8, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
48% |
29% |
8% |
7% |
— |
8% |
| Southern Media & Opinion Research |
April 28–30, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
36% |
35.4% |
3.9% |
7.1% |
— |
17.7% |
| New York Times/Kaiser Family |
April 8–15, 2014 |
946 |
± ? |
42% |
18% |
5% |
4% |
3% |
27% |
| Harper Polling |
April 7–9, 2014 |
538 |
± 4.22% |
40% |
35% |
3% |
4% |
— |
18% |
| Magellan Strategies |
March 24–26, 2014 |
600 |
± 4.1% |
39.3% |
26.3% |
3.4% |
2.6% |
— |
28.4% |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 6–9, 2014 |
635 |
± 3.9% |
43% |
25% |
5% |
3% |
— |
25% |
| Harper Polling |
January 19–20, 2014 |
992 |
± 3.11% |
42% |
29% |
4% |
4% |
— |
20% |
| Southern Media & Opinion Research |
November 6–12, 2013 |
600 |
± 4% |
41% |
33.8% |
— |
9.8% |
— |
15.5% |
| Public Policy Polling |
August 16–19, 2013 |
721 |
± 3.6% |
48% |
24% |
— |
5% |
— |
23% |
|
Hypothetical polling
|
- Jungle primary
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Bill
Cassidy (R) |
Paul
Hollis (R) |
Rob
Maness (R) |
Phil
Robertson (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 6–9, 2014 |
635 |
± 3.9% |
40% |
21% |
5% |
4% |
13% |
18% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Bill
Cassidy (R) |
John
Fleming (R) |
Elbert
Guillory (R) |
Chas
Roemer (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
August 16–19, 2013 |
721 |
± 3.6% |
47% |
20% |
— |
6% |
2% |
25% |
| Public Opinion Strategies^ |
March 3–5, 2013 |
500 |
± 4.38% |
47% |
14% |
15% |
— |
6% |
18% |
- ^ Internal poll for John Fleming Campaign
- Republican primary
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Bill
Cassidy (R) |
Chas
Roemer (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 6–7, 2013 |
541 |
± 4.21% |
38% |
14% |
48% |
|
Results
Jungle primary results by parish
| United States Senate election jungle primary in Louisiana, 2014[47] |
| Party |
Candidate |
Votes |
% |
|
Democratic |
Mary Landrieu (Incumbent) |
619,402 |
42.08 |
|
Republican |
Bill Cassidy |
603,048 |
40.97 |
|
Republican |
Rob Maness |
202,556 |
13.76 |
|
Republican |
Thomas Clements |
14,173 |
0.96 |
|
Libertarian |
Brannon McMorris |
13,034 |
0.89 |
|
Democratic |
Wayne Ables |
11,323 |
0.77 |
|
Democratic |
William Waymire |
4,673 |
0.32 |
|
Democratic |
Vallian Senegal |
3,835 |
0.26 |
| Total votes |
1,473,826 |
100 |
Runoff
Polling
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Bill
Cassidy (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
| Rasmussen Reports |
December 2–4, 2014 |
1,000 |
± 3% |
40% |
56% |
— |
4% |
| WPA Opinion Research |
November 24–25, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.4% |
33% |
57% |
— |
10% |
| GEB International |
November 20, 2014 |
850 |
± 3.36% |
33.9% |
59.8% |
— |
6.4% |
| JJMC Analytics |
November 20, 2014 |
754 |
± 3.6% |
40% |
55% |
— |
5% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
November 16–19, 2014 |
1,000 |
± 3% |
41% |
56% |
— |
3% |
| Vox Populi Polling |
November 16–17, 2014 |
761 |
± 3.55% |
42% |
53% |
— |
5% |
| Gravis Marketing |
November 12–14, 2014 |
643 |
± 4% |
38% |
59% |
— |
3% |
| Public Policy Polling |
October 30–November 1, 2014 |
1,003 |
± 3.1% |
47% |
48% |
— |
5% |
| NBC News/Marist |
October 26–30, 2014 |
630 LV |
± 3.9% |
45% |
50% |
1% |
5% |
| 961 RV |
± 3.2% |
44% |
49% |
2% |
6% |
| Suffolk University |
October 23–26, 2014 |
500 |
± 4% |
40.6% |
48% |
— |
11.4% |
| University of New Orleans |
October 11–24, 2014 |
590 |
± 4.1% |
43% |
51% |
— |
6% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
October 16–23, 2014 |
1,316 |
± 5% |
42% |
46% |
0% |
12% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
October 22–23, 2014 |
988 |
± 3% |
46% |
50% |
— |
4% |
| Multi-Quest International |
October 14–19, 2014 |
605 |
± 4% |
40% |
43% |
— |
17% |
| Vox Populi Polling |
October 13–14, 2014 |
546 |
± 4.2% |
44% |
48% |
— |
8% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
October 13–14, 2014 |
965 |
± 3% |
43% |
52% |
— |
5% |
| Hickman Analytics |
September 26–October 2, 2014 |
502 |
± 4.4% |
45% |
46% |
— |
9% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
September 20–October 1, 2014 |
2,187 |
± 2% |
41% |
47% |
0% |
13% |
| Public Policy Polling |
September 25–28, 2014 |
1,141 |
± 2.9% |
45% |
48% |
— |
7% |
| CNN/ORC |
September 22–25, 2014 |
610 LV |
± 4% |
47% |
50% |
— |
3% |
| 866 RV |
± 3.5% |
51% |
45% |
— |
4% |
| Fox News |
September 14–16, 2014 |
617 |
± 4% |
38% |
51% |
— |
9% |
| Gravis Marketing |
September 5–9, 2014 |
426 |
± 5% |
45% |
45% |
— |
10% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
September 2–3, 2014 |
800 |
± 3.5% |
41% |
44% |
9% |
6% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
August 28–September 2, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
48% |
46% |
— |
6% |
| Senate Conservatives Fund |
August 16–18, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
49% |
43% |
— |
8% |
| CBS News/NYT/YouGov |
July 5–24, 2014 |
1,456 |
± 3.5% |
46% |
47% |
6% |
2% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
July 8–9, 2014 |
750 |
± 4% |
46% |
43% |
5% |
6% |
| Public Policy Polling |
June 26–29, 2014 |
664 |
± 3.8% |
47% |
47% |
— |
6% |
| Magellan Strategies |
June 5–8, 2014 |
719 |
± 3.65% |
44% |
50% |
5% |
1% |
| Greenberg Quinlan Rosner |
May 5–8, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
49% |
49% |
— |
2% |
| Magellan Strategies |
April 14–15, 2014 |
775 |
± 3.52% |
42% |
44% |
10% |
4% |
| Harper Polling |
April 7–9, 2014 |
538 |
± 4.22% |
43% |
47% |
— |
10% |
| Voter/Consumer Research |
February 20–25, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
45% |
44% |
1% |
9% |
| Hickman Analytics |
February 17–24, 2014 |
404 |
± 4.9% |
42% |
46% |
— |
11% |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 6–9, 2014 |
635 |
± 3.9% |
45% |
44% |
— |
10% |
| Rasmussen Reports |
January 28–29, 2014 |
500 |
± 4.5% |
40% |
44% |
5% |
11% |
| Harper Polling |
January 19–20, 2014 |
992 |
± 3.11% |
44% |
45% |
— |
11% |
| Public Policy Polling |
October 14–15, 2013 |
632 |
± 3.9% |
48% |
41% |
— |
11% |
| Harper Polling |
September 22–23, 2013 |
561 |
± 4.14% |
46% |
44% |
— |
10% |
| Public Policy Polling |
August 16–19, 2013 |
721 |
± 3.6% |
50% |
40% |
— |
10% |
| Harper Polling |
August 14–15, 2013 |
596 |
± 4.01% |
45% |
47% |
— |
8% |
| On Message Inc. |
August 13–15, 2013 |
600 |
± 4.0% |
45% |
43% |
— |
12% |
| Harper Polling |
April 6–7, 2013 |
541 |
± 4.21% |
46% |
41% |
— |
13% |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 8–12, 2013 |
603 |
± 4% |
50% |
40% |
— |
10% |
|
Hypothetical polling
|
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Charles
Boustany (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 8–12, 2013 |
603 |
± 4% |
48% |
42% |
10% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Jay
Dardenne (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 8–12, 2013 |
603 |
± 4% |
46% |
43% |
11% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
John
Fleming (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 8–12, 2013 |
603 |
± 4% |
50% |
38% |
12% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Elbert
Guillory (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
August 16–19, 2013 |
721 |
± 3.6% |
50% |
36% |
14% |
| Harper Polling |
August 14–15, 2013 |
596 |
± 4.01% |
44% |
44% |
11% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Paul
Hollis (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 6–9, 2014 |
635 |
± 3.9% |
48% |
42% |
10% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Bobby
Jindal (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 8–12, 2013 |
603 |
± 4% |
49% |
41% |
10% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Jeff
Landry (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 8–12, 2013 |
603 |
± 4% |
48% |
39% |
13% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Rob
Maness (R) |
Other |
Undecided |
| NBC News/Marist |
October 26–30, 2014 |
630 LV |
± 3.9% |
46% |
50% |
1% |
4% |
| 961 RV |
± 3.2% |
46% |
47% |
1% |
5% |
| CNN/ORC |
September 22–25, 2014 |
610 LV |
± 4% |
48% |
48% |
— |
4% |
| 866 RV |
± 3.5% |
53% |
42% |
— |
5% |
| Senate Conservatives Fund |
August 16–18, 2014 |
600 |
± 4% |
48% |
44% |
— |
8% |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 6–9, 2014 |
635 |
± 3.9% |
47% |
42% |
— |
10% |
| Public Policy Polling |
August 16–19, 2013 |
721 |
± 3.6% |
50% |
37% |
— |
13% |
| Harper Polling |
August 14–15, 2013 |
596 |
± 4.01% |
47% |
41% |
— |
12% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Phil
Robertson (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 6–9, 2014 |
635 |
± 3.9% |
42% |
46% |
12% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Chas
Roemer (R) |
Undecided |
| Harper Polling |
April 6–7, 2013 |
541 |
± 4.21% |
46% |
33% |
21% |
| Poll source |
Date(s)
administered |
Sample
size |
Margin of
error |
Mary
Landrieu (D) |
Steve
Scalise (R) |
Undecided |
| Public Policy Polling |
February 8–12, 2013 |
603 |
± 4% |
48% |
38% |
14% |
|
Results
See also
References
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- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 16.0 16.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 28.0 28.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 30.00 30.01 30.02 30.03 30.04 30.05 30.06 30.07 30.08 30.09 30.10 30.11 30.12 30.13 30.14 30.15 30.16 30.17 30.18 30.19 30.20 30.21 30.22 30.23 30.24 30.25 30.26 30.27 30.28 30.29 30.30 30.31 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ 33.00 33.01 33.02 33.03 33.04 33.05 33.06 33.07 33.08 33.09 33.10 33.11 33.12 33.13 33.14 33.15 33.16 33.17 33.18 33.19 33.20 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Wayne Ables (D) 0.8%, Thomas Clements (R) 0.8%, Brannon McMorris (L) 0.6%, Vallian Senegal (D) 0.2%, William Waymire (D) 0.2%
- ↑ Wayne Ables (D) 0%, Raymond Brown (D) 1%, Thomas Clements (R) 1%, Brannon McMorris (L) 3%, Vallian Senegal (D) 0%, William Waymire (D) 0%, Other 0%
- ↑ Brannon McMorris (L) 2%, Other 4%
- ↑ Wayne Ables (D) 0%, Thomas Clements (R) 1%, Brannon McMorris (L) 3%, Vallian Senegal (D) 0%, William Waymire (D) 1%
- ↑ Thomas Clements 2%, Brannon McMorris 1%, Other 0%
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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