United States Senate election in Nevada, 2010
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Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2010 United States Senate election in Nevada took place on November 2, 2010. Incumbent Democratic U.S. Senator and Majority Leader Harry Reid won re-election to a fifth term.[1]
Democratic primary
The Democratic primary took place on June 8, 2010. Reid won by a large margin over a field of political unknowns.
Candidates
- Harry Reid
- Alex Miller
- Eduardo Hamilton
- Carlo Poliak[2]
Polling
Poll source | Dates administered | Harry Reid | Barbara Buckley |
---|---|---|---|
Mellman Group | June 17–29, 2008 | 51% | 20% |
Results
Democratic primary results[3] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Democratic | Harry Reid (Incumbent) | 87,401 | 75.3 | |
Democratic | None of these | 12,341 | 10.6 | |
Democratic | Alex Miller | 9,717 | 8.4 | |
Democratic | Eduardo Hamilton | 4,645 | 4.0 | |
Democratic | Carlo Poliak | 1,938 | 1.7 | |
Total votes | 116,042 | 100 |
Republican primary
The Republican primary also took place on Tuesday, June 8, 2010.
Candidates
- Sharron Angle, former State Assemblywoman[4]
- John Chachas, businessman[5]
- Chad Christensen, State Assemblyman[6]
- Greg Dagani, former member of the Nevada Board of Education[7]
- Chuck Flume, businessman[5]
- Sue Lowden, former State Senator[5]
- Mark Noonan, Navy veteran[8]
- Bill Parson, Marine veteran and businessman[9]
- Danny Tarkanian, real estate owner[5]
Endorsements
Lowden
Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Sue Lowden |
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Tarkanian
Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Danny Tarkanian |
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Angle
Notable individuals and organizations endorsing Sharron Angle |
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Polling
Includes current candidates who have polled at least 2% in at least one poll.
Dates administered | Poll source | Tarkanian | Lowden | Angle |
---|---|---|---|---|
June 1–3, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 24% | 23% | 32% |
June 2, 2010 | Suffolk University | 26% | 24% | 33% |
May 31 – June 2, 2010 | Research 2000 | 24% | 25% | 34% |
May 28, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 23% | 30% | 29% |
May 13, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 22% | 30% | 25% |
April 26–28, 2010 | Research 2000 | 28% | 38% | 13% |
April 11, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 27% | 45% | 5% |
February 24, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 29% | 47% | 8% |
January 7, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 28% | 26% | 13% |
December, 2009 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 24% | 25% | 13% |
October 8, 2009 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 21% | 23% | 9% |
August 21, 2009 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 33% | 14% | 5% |
Results
Republican primary results[3] | ||||
---|---|---|---|---|
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | |
Republican | Sharron Angle | 70,452 | 40.1 | |
Republican | Sue Lowden | 45,890 | 26.1 | |
Republican | Danny Tarkanian | 40,936 | 23.3 | |
Republican | John Chachas | 6,926 | 3.9 | |
Republican | Chad Christensen | 4,806 | 2.7 | |
Republican | None of these | 3,091 | 1.8 | |
Republican | Bill Parson | 1,484 | 0.8 | |
Republican | Gary Bernstein | 698 | 0.4 | |
Republican | Garn Mabey | 462 | 0.3 | |
Republican | Cecilia Stern | 355 | 0.2 | |
Republican | Brian Nadell | 235 | 0.1 | |
Republican | Terry Suominen | 224 | 0.1 | |
Republican | Gary Marinch | 179 | 0.1 | |
Total votes | 175,738 | 100 |
General election
Candidates
- Harry Reid (D), incumbent U.S. Senator and Senate Majority Leader
- Sharron Angle (R), former member of the Nevada Assembly
- Scott Ashjian (Tea Party)[40] (campaign site, PVS)
- Tim Fasano (Independent American)[41] (campaign site, PVS)
- Michael Haines (Independent)[42] (campaign site, PVS)
- Jesse Holland (Independent)[42] (campaign site, PVS)
- Jeffrey Reeves (Independent)[43] (campaign site, PVS)
- Wil Stand (Independent)[42] (PVS)
Campaign
In January 2009, the GOP began running an advertisement attacking Reid for his support of the legislation and President Barack Obama's proposed stimulus plan.[44] Since becoming Minority Leader (in 2004), his approval ratings have dropped below 50%.[citation needed] A November 2007 poll showed Reid's approval rating at 39%, with 49% of voters disapproving.[45]
After the primaries, the first poll showed Angle leading by a double-digit margin. CQ Politics changed their analysis of the race from leaning Republican to a toss-up because of Angle's sharply conservative views and tendency to commit verbal gaffes; however, CQ added that if the voters treat the election as a referendum on Reid, then Angle will likely win.[46]
In 2009, Reid had been endorsed by some prominent Nevada Republicans.[47] Immediately after the primary, the Republican mayor of Reno, Bob Cashell, who had backed Lowden in the Republican primary, endorsed Reid for the general election, calling Angle an "ultra-right winger."[48][49] Other Republicans expressed doubt about supporting Angle, citing her reputation for ideological rigidity from her years in the state legislature.[50]
One of the first general election ads attacked Angle for her stance on Social Security and Medicare.[51] In response, Angle explained that "the government must continue to keep its contract with seniors, who entered into the system on good faith and now are depending on that contract." In response to accusations that she was not mainstream enough for Nevada voters, Angle explained on a KXNT radio show that she was "more mainstream than the fellow that said tourists stink, this war is lost, and light-skinned no-Negro dialect", in reference to comments that had been made by Senator Reid.[52]
In September, Tibi Ellis, the chairwoman of the Nevada Republican Hispanic Caucus, who had been a spokesperson for Angle, criticized an Angle ad related to immigration. Ellis said, "I condemned this type of propaganda, no matter who is running them, where they blame Mexicans as the only problem and where they attack them as the only source of illegal immigration."[53]
Angle was endorsed by Nevada's largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Review-Journal.[54] Reid had the endorsement from Nevada's second largest newspaper, the Las Vegas Sun.[55] and the largest newspaper outside of Las Vegas, the Reno Gazette-Journal.[56]
On October 7, 2010, Republican State Senator and Minority Leader William Raggio endorsed Reid.[57][58] Dema Guinn, the widow of the late Republican Nevada Governor Kenny Guinn, endorsed Reid on October 8.[59]
Debate
Angle and Reid only agreed to one debate, in which no other candidate would participate. It was held on October 14.[60] Junior Senator John Ensign played Reid during one day of debate preparation at the Trump Plaza in Las Vegas for Angle.[61]
Predictions
History
Reid was initially considered vulnerable, with the non-partisan Cook Political Report rating the election as a tossup[62] and the Rothenberg Political Report rating the state as tossup.[63] A June 9, 2010, Rasmussen Reports post-primary poll showed Angle leading incumbent Senator Harry Reid by a margin of 50% to 39%.[64] However, a July 2010 poll showed Senator Reid leading Angle by 7 points, following nationwide attention to some of Angle's positions,[65] as well as the endorsement of Reid by prominent Republicans. The change of margin, 18% in less than a month, is the largest in Senate elections history.[65] On July 28, 2010, Rasmussen Reports moved the race from tossup to leans Democratic.[66] Later, it moved back to tossup.
Table
Source | Ranking | As of |
---|---|---|
Cook Political Report | Toss up[67] | October 19, 2010 |
Rothenberg | Toss up[68] | October 15, 2010 |
RealClearPolitics | Toss up[69] | October 19, 2010 |
Sabato's Crystal Ball | Leans R[70] | October 28, 2010 |
CQ Politics | Toss up[71] | October 19, 2010 |
Rasmussen Reports | Toss up[72] | October 16, 2010 |
Polling
Dates administered | Poll source | Sharron Angle (R) | Harry Reid (D) |
---|---|---|---|
October 31, 2010 | Public Policy Polling | 47% | 46% |
October 30, 2010 | Fox News/Pulse Opinion Research | 48% | 45% |
October 25–27, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 49% | 45% |
October 20–26, 2010 | CNN/Time/Opinion Research | 49% | 45% |
October 25, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 45% |
October 17, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 47% |
October 14, 2010 | Las Vegas Review-Journal/Mason-Dixon | 47% | 45% |
October 11, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 49% | 48% |
October 9, 2010 | Fox News/POR-Rasmussen | 49% | 47% |
October 7–9, 2010 | Public Policy Polling | 45% | 47% |
October 5, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 46% |
October 4, 2010 | Magellan Strategies | 48% | 43% |
October 2, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research | 49% | 46% |
September 28, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 48% |
September 21–23, 2010 | Public Opinion Strategies | 40% | 45% |
September 20–22, 2010 | LVRJ/Mason-Dixon | 43% | 43% |
September 18, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research | 46% | 45% |
September 10–14, 2010 | CNN/Time Magazine | 42% | 41% |
September 13, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 48% |
September 11, 2010 | FOX News/Pulse Opinion Research | 45% | 44% |
September 7–9, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 44% | 46% |
September 1, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 45% | 45% |
August 23–25, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 44% | 45% |
August 16, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 47% |
August 9–11, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 44% | 46% |
August 3, 2010 | Reuters/Iposos | 44% | 48% |
July 28–30, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 42% | 43% |
July 27, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 43% | 45% |
July 16–18, 2010 | Public Policy Polling | 46% | 48% |
July 12–14, 2010 | Mason-Dixon | 37% | 44% |
July 12, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 46% | 43% |
June 22, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 41% |
June 9, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 50% | 39% |
June 1–3, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 44% | 41% |
May 31 – June 2, 2010 | Research 2000 | 37% | 42% |
May 28, 2010 | Mason Dixon/LVJR | 39% | 42% |
April 26–28, 2010 | Research 2000 | 44% | 41% |
April 27, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 48% | 40% |
March 31, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 51% | 40% |
March 3, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 43% |
February 3, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 40% |
January 11, 2010 | Rasmussen Reports | 44% | 40% |
January 7, 2010 | Mason Dixon | 45% | 40% |
December 9, 2009 | Rasmussen Reports | 47% | 43% |
Fundraising
Candidate (party) | Receipts | Disbursements | Cash on hand | Debt |
---|---|---|---|---|
Sharron Angle (R) | $27,797,915 | $27,505,917 | $291,999 | $635,737 |
Harry Reid (D) | $19,185,317 | $22,325,360 | $176,309 | $419,093 |
Source: Federal Election Commission[73] |
Results
Despite Angle leading by three points in the polls the days leading up to the election, Reid defeated Angle by 5.74%, even defeating Angle in her own county, Washoe County. Reid also secured huge numbers out of the Democratic stronghold of Clark County, which covers the Las Vegas Metropolitan Area.
Party | Candidate | Votes | % | ±% | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Democratic | Harry Reid (Incumbent) | 362,785 | 50.29% | -10.84% | |
Republican | Sharron Angle | 321,361 | 44.55% | +9.45% | |
None of These Candidates | – | 16,174 | 2.25% | +0.65% | |
Tea Party | Scott Ashjian | 5,811 | 0.81% | N/A | |
Independent | Michael L. Haines | 4,261 | 0.59% | N/A | |
Independent American | Timothy Fasano | 3,185 | 0.44% | N/A | |
Independent | Jesse Holland | 3,175 | 0.44% | N/A | |
Independent | Jeffery C. Reeves | 2,510 | 0.35% | N/A | |
Independent | Wil Stand | 2,119 | 0.29% | N/A | |
Majority | 41,424 | 5.74% | |||
Total votes | 721,381 | 100 | -11.14% | ||
Democratic hold | Swing |
References
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- ↑ Palin, Angle, planning campaign event, CNN Political Ticker, Mark Preston, August 18, 2010. Retrieved 25 March 2016.
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- ↑ [1] Archived July 16, 2011 at the Wayback Machine
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- ↑ Independent www.reeves4congress.com
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- ↑ Top Nevada GOP lawmaker endorses Harry Reid, AP, Boston Herald, October 8, 2010
- ↑ Top Nevada Republican Endorses Harry Reid, Slams Sharron Angle, Elyse Siegel, The Huffington Post, October 7, 2010
- ↑ Reid gets top GOP endorsements, Molly Ball, Politico, October 8, 2010
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External links
- Election Center at the Nevada Secretary of State
- U.S. Congress candidates for Nevada at Project Vote Smart
- Nevada U.S. Senate 2010 from OurCampaigns.com
- Campaign contributions from Open Secrets
- 2010 Nevada Senate General Election: All Head-to-Head Matchups graph of multiple polls from Pollster.com
- Election 2010: Nevada Senate from Rasmussen Reports
- 2010 Nevada Senate Race from Real Clear Politics
- 2010 Nevada Senate Race from CQ Politics
- Race profile from The New York Times
- Election 2010 from Vegas PBS
- Debates
- Nevada Primary Senate Candidates Debate, C-SPAN, May 18, 2010
- Official campaign sites
- Sharron Angle for U.S. Senate
- Scott Ashjian for U.S. Senate
- John Chachas for U.S. Senate
- Chad Christensen for U.S. Senate
- Jim Duensing for U.S. Senate
- Tim Fasano for U.S. Senate
- Chuck Flume for U.S. Senate
- Michael Haines for U.S. Senate
- Jesse Holland for U.S. Senate
- Sue Lowden for U.S. Senate
- Alex Miller for U.S. Senate
- Jeffrey C. Reeves for U.S. Senate
- Harry Reid for U.S. Senate incumbent
- Danny Tarkanian for U.S. Senate