United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016
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Incumbent U.S. senator; Rob Portman; Republican	; ;

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2016 United States Senate election in Ohio will take place on November 8, 2016, to elect a member of the United States Senate to represent the State of Ohio, concurrently with the 2016 U.S. presidential election, as well as other elections to the United States Senate in other states and elections to the United States House of Representatives and various state and local elections. The close of registration for electors in the primary election was December 16, 2015, and the primary election took place on March 15, 2016.^[1] Portman will face former Ohio Governor Ted Strickland. The race is a pure tossup and will help determine control of the Senate.

Republican primary

Republican Senator Rob Portman is running for re-election to a second term in office.^[2] He considered running for president in 2016,^[3]^[4]^[5] but ruled out running for two offices at the same time, even though Ohio law does allow it.^[3]^[6] He ultimately declined to run for president, though he is a potential candidate for vice president.^[2]^[7] The National Organization for Marriage and other socially conservative groups, unhappy with Portman's public backing for same-sex marriage, have pledged to back a primary challenger. Tea Party groups, who heavily backed Portman in 2010, have said that they are unlikely to do the same if he runs for re-election.^[8]^[9]

Candidates

Declared

Rob Portman, incumbent Senator.^[2]
Don Elijah Eckhart, Independent candidate for OH-15 in 2008^[10]

Disqualified

Melissa Strzala, Tea Party activist (failed to gather enough valid signatures)^[11]^[12]

Declined

Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer and nominee for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[3]^[13]
Steve Stivers, U.S. Representative^[3]^[13]

Endorsements

Don Elijah Eckhart

Organizations

Citizens for Community Values^[14]
Greene County Republican Party^[14]

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Don Elijah Eckhart	Rob Portman	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 4–6, 2016	638	± 3.9%	7%	60%	33%

Results

Republican primary results^[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Republican	Rob Portman	1,314,152	82.20
	Republican	Don Elijah Eckhart	284,544	17.80
Total votes			1,598,696	100.00

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Kelli Prather, occupational therapist and community organizer^[11]
P.G. Sittenfeld, Cincinnati City Councilman^[16]^[17]^[18]
Ted Strickland, former Governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative^[19]

Withdrawn

Bob Hagan, former member of the Ohio State Board of Education and former State Representative^[3]^[20]^[21]

Declined

Joyce Beatty, U.S. Representative^[16]^[22]
John Boccieri, former U.S. Representative^[16]^[23]
Jennifer Brunner, Judge on the Ohio Tenth District Court of Appeals, former Ohio Secretary of State and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2010^[16]^[20]^[24]
Michael B. Coleman, Mayor of Columbus^[16]^[25]^[26]
Richard Cordray, Director of the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau, former Ohio Attorney General and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2000^[16]
Connie Pillich, former State Representative and nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014^[3]^[27]
Tim Ryan, U.S. Representative^[28]
Betty Sutton, Administrator of the Saint Lawrence Seaway Development Corporation and former U.S. Representative^[16]^[20]
Nina Turner, former State Senator and nominee for Ohio Secretary of State in 2014^[3]^[29]
Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton^[16]^[30]

Endorsements

Ted Strickland

Individuals

Bill Clinton, former President of the United States^[31]
Joyce Beatty, U.S. Representative^[32]^[33]
Sherrod Brown, U.S. Senator^[34]
John Patrick Carney, former State Representative and nominee for Ohio State Auditor in 2014^[35]
Michael B. Coleman, former Mayor of Columbus^[26]
Marcia Fudge, U.S. Representative^[33]
Andrew Ginther, Mayor of Columbus^[26]
Connie Pillich, former State Representative and nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014^[27]
Tim Ryan, U.S. Representative^[33]
Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton^[30]
Mary Jo Hudson, Columbus School Board Member and LGBT activist ^[36]
Lee Fisher, Former Lieutenant Governor of Ohio^[37]

Organizations

P.G. Sittenfeld

U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials

Heather Zichal, former Deputy Assistant to the President for Energy and Climate Change (2009–2013)^[40]

U.S. Governors

Dick Celeste, Ohio (former)^[41]

U.S. Representatives (former)

David S. Mann (former Mayor of Cincinnati and current Cincinnati City Councilman)^[42]
Thomas C. Sawyer (current State Senator)^[43]

Ohio State Representatives (current)

Emilia Sykes^[43]

Ohio State Representatives (former)

Tracy Maxwell Heard (former House Majority Leader)^[44]

Mayors

Dan Horrigan, mayor of Akron^[43]
Mark Mallory, former Mayor of Cincinnati^[45]

City Council members

Chris Seelbach, Cincinnati City Councilman^[42]
Yvette Simpson, Cincinnati City Councilwoman^[42]
Wendell Young, Cincinnati City Councilman^[42]

County officials

Russ Pry, Summit County Executive^[43]
Eileen Shapiro, Summit County Council President^[43]

Notable individuals

Jonathan Banks, actor^[46]
Mark Hamill, actor^[47]
Jim Ruvolo, former Chair of the Ohio Democratic Party^[48]

Organizations

Friends of the Earth^[49]

Newspapers

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Kelli Prather	P.G. Sittenfeld	Ted Strickland	Undecided
Public Policy Polling	March 4–6, 2016	508	± 4.4%	6%	16%	50%	28%
Public Policy Polling	January 12–14, 2016	1,138	± ?	10%	10%	61%	18%
Public Policy Polling	June 4–7, 2015	360	± 5.2%	—	13%	65%	22%

Results

Democratic primary results^[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Democratic	Ted Strickland	720,333	65.00
	Democratic	P.G. Sittenfeld	248,830	22.45
	Democratic	Kelli Prather	139,122	12.55
Total votes			1,108,285	100.00

Green primary

Candidates

Declared

Joe DeMare, factory worker and environmentalist^[52]

Results

Green primary results^[15]
Party		Candidate	Votes	%
	Green	Joe DeMare	3,056	100.00
Total votes			3,056	100.00

General election

Candidates

Rob Portman (R), incumbent Senator
Ted Strickland (D), former Governor of Ohio and former U.S. Representative
Joe DeMare (G), factory worker and environmentalist
Scott Rupert (I), truck driver and candidate for the U.S. Senate in 2012^[53]

Endorsements

Rob Portman

U.S. Governors

John Kasich, Ohio^[54]^[55]

Statewide officials

Mike DeWine, Ohio Attorney General (former Senator from Ohio)^[55]
Jon A. Husted, Ohio Secretary of State^[55]
Josh Mandel, Ohio State Treasurer^[55]
Mary Taylor, Lieutenant Governor of Ohio^[55]
Dave Yost, Ohio State Auditor^[55]

U.S. Senators (former)

George Voinovich, Ohio^[55]

U.S. Representatives (current)

U.S. Representatives (former)

Steve Austria, Ohio^[55]
John Boehner, Ohio (former Speaker of the House)^[54]^[55]
Bill Gradison, Ohio^[55]
Dave Hobson, Ohio^[55]
Deborah Pryce, Ohio^[55]
Ralph Regula, Ohio^[55]
Jean Schmidt, Ohio^[55]

Diplomats

John R. Bolton, former United States Ambassador to the United Nations^[56]

Organizations

Ted Strickland

Presidents

Bill Clinton, 42nd President of the United States^[60]
Barack Obama, 44th President of the United States^[61]

Vice Presidents

Joe Biden, 47th Vice President of the United States^[61]

U.S. Cabinet members and Cabinet-level officials

Hillary Clinton, 67th Secretary of State^[62]

U.S. Senators

Sherrod Brown, Ohio^[63]
Al Franken, Minnesota^[64]
Elizabeth Warren, Massachusetts^[65]

U.S. Representatives

Joyce Beatty, Ohio^[66]^[33]
Marcia Fudge, Ohio^[33]
Gabrielle Giffords, Arizona (former)^[47]
Tim Ryan, Ohio^[33]

Ohio State Senators

Edna Brown^[67]
Joe Schiavoni (Senate Minority Leader)^[43]

Ohio State Representatives (current)

Kathleen Clyde^[43]
David J. Leland (former Chair of the Ohio Democratic Party)^[44]
Martin Sweeney^[43]

Ohio State Representatives (former)

John Patrick Carney (nominee for Ohio State Auditor in 2014)^[68]
Connie Pillich (nominee for Ohio State Treasurer in 2014)^[27]

Mayors

Michael B. Coleman, former Mayor of Columbus^[26]
Andrew Ginther, Mayor of Columbus^[69]
Paula Hicks-Hudson, Mayor of Toledo^[67]
Nan Whaley, Mayor of Dayton^[30]

City Council members

P.G. Sittenfeld, Cincinnati City Councilman^[70]

Notable individuals

Mary Jo Hudson, Columbus School Board Member and LGBT activist ^[71]
James Obergefell, plaintiff in the Obergefell v. Hodges United States Supreme Court case^[72]

Labor unions

AFL–CIO^[73]
OEA – Ohio Education Association^[64]
TWU – Transport Workers Union of America^[74]
UAW – United Automobile Workers^[75]

Organizations

Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee^[76]
League of Conservation Voters^[77]
Ohio Democratic County Chairs Association^[78]
Ohio Democratic Party^[79]
People for the American Way^[80]
Planned Parenthood^[81]

Predictions

Source	Ranking	As of
The Cook Political Report^[82]	Tossup	March 25, 2016
Daily Kos^[83]	Lean R	March 30, 2016
Roll Call^[84]	Tilt R	March 30, 2016
The Rothenberg & Gonzales Political Report^[85]	Tossup/Tilt R	March 4, 2016
Sabato's Crystal Ball^[86]	Tossup	April 7, 2016

Polling

Poll source	Date(s) administered	Sample size	Margin of error	Rob Portman (R)	Ted Strickland (D)	Other	Undecided
Quinnipiac University	April 27–May 8, 2016	1,042	± 3.0%	42%	43%	1%	14%
Public Policy Polling	April 26–27, 2016	799	± 3.2%	38%	38%	1%	23%
Hart Research	April 5–7, 2016	500	± ?%	47%	45%	—	8%
Public Policy Polling	March 4–6, 2016	1,248	± 2.8%	40%	41%	—	19%
Quinnipiac University	February 16–20, 2016	1,539	± 2.5%	42%	44%	—	14%
Baldwin Wallace University	February 11–20, 2016	825	± 3.4%	44%	40%	—	16%
Quinnipiac University	September 25 – October 5, 2015	1,180	± 2.9%	43%	46%	1%	8%
Harstad Strategic Research	September 10–16, 2015	813	± 3.4%	43%	46%	—	11%
Quinnipiac University	August 7–18, 2015	1,096	± 3%	41%	44%	1%	10%
Quinnipiac University	June 4–15, 2015	1,191	± 2.8%	40%	46%	1%	13%
Vox Populi Polling	June 6–7, 2015	474	± 4.5%	47%	37%	—	16%
Public Policy Polling	June 4–7, 2015	859	± 3.3%	43%	41%	—	15%
Quinnipiac University	March 17–28, 2015	1,077	± 3%	39%	48%	—	13%
Public Policy Polling↑	March 2–3, 2015	946	± ?	45%	45%	—	10%

# Poll conducted for Senate Majority PAC, a Democratic-aligned Super PAC.
↑ Poll conducted for the Ohio Democratic Party

References

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↑ Bernstein, Jonathan (August 26, 2014) "Everybody's Running (Rob Portman Edition)", Bloomberg View. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
↑ Torry, Jack (August 26, 2014) "2016 preview?: Ohio Sen. Portman visits New Hampshire", Dayton Daily News. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
↑ Conroy, Scott (August 26, 2014) "Portman Won't Run for Two Offices Simultaneously in 2016", RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 26, 2014.
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External links

Official campaign websites

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[4] Bernstein, Jonathan (August 26, 2014) "Everybody's Running (Rob Portman Edition)", Bloomberg View. Retrieved August 26, 2014.

[5] Torry, Jack (August 26, 2014) "2016 preview?: Ohio Sen. Portman visits New Hampshire", Dayton Daily News. Retrieved August 26, 2014.

[6] Conroy, Scott (August 26, 2014) "Portman Won't Run for Two Offices Simultaneously in 2016", RealClearPolitics. Retrieved August 26, 2014.

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v t e (2015 ←) 2016 United States elections (→ 2017)
U.S. President	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming American Samoa Guam Northern Mariana Islands Puerto Rico U.S. Virgin Islands
U.S. Senate	Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maryland Missouri Nevada New Hampshire New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania South Carolina South Dakota Utah Vermont Washington Wisconsin
U.S. House	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Northern Mariana Islands Ohio 8th (special) Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming
Governors	American Samoa Delaware Indiana Missouri Montana New Hampshire North Carolina North Dakota Oregon (special) Puerto Rico Utah Vermont Washington West Virginia
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States	Alabama Alaska American Samoa Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware Florida Georgia Guam Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Puerto Rico Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota Tennessee Texas Utah Vermont Virginia U.S. Virgin Islands Washington West Virginia Wisconsin Wyoming

United States Senate election in Ohio, 2016

Contents

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