2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election

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2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election
← 2020 June 14, 2022 November 2022 →
Texas's 34th congressional district
Turnout 7.36%[1]
  File:Mayra Flores (cropped).jpg File:3x4.svg
Candidate Mayra Flores Dan Sanchez
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 14,799 12,606
Percentage 50.9% 43.4%
x300px
Results by county
Flores:      40–50%      50–60%      70–80%      80–90%
Sanchez:      50–60%
U.S. Representative before election

Filemon Vela Jr.
Democratic

 Elected U.S. Representative

Mayra Flores
Republican

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The 2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election was held on June 14, 2022.[2] The seat, which went to Democratic president Joe Biden by only 4 points in the 2020 United States presidential election after being solidly blue in the past, became vacant after Democratic incumbent representative Filemon Vela Jr. resigned on March 31, 2022, to work at the law firm Akin Gump Strauss Hauer & Feld.[3]

Republican candidate Mayra Flores won outright with 51% of the vote. Although Democrat Dan Sanchez was able to hold on to the Hidalgo County portion of the district by 9 points as well as flip Kenedy County after it went to Donald Trump in 2020, it was not enough to overcome Flores's gains in Cameron and Willacy Counties, resulting in them narrowly flipping red in this race after going to Biden by double digits in the 2020 contest. Flores was also able to shore up support in the district's northern rural counties which typically vote Republican in the past. Flores became the first Republican to represent parts of the Rio Grande Valley since Blake Farenthold flipped the C in 2010.

Candidates

Democratic Party

Declared

  • Dan Sanchez, attorney and former Cameron County commissioner[4]
  • Rene Coronado, civil service director[5]

Declined

Republican Party

Declared

Endorsements

Special election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[12] Tossup April 8, 2022
Inside Elections[13] Tossup June 3, 2022
Sabato's Crystal Ball[14] Lean R (flip) March 30, 2022

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]		 Margin
of error		 Juana
Cantu-Cabrera
(R)		 Rene
Coronado
(D)		 Mayra
Flores
(R)		 Dan
Sanchez
(D)		 Undecided
RRH Elections (R) June 8–11, 2022 484 (LV) ± 5.0% 3% 7% 43% 34% 13%
Ragnar Research Partners (R)[upper-alpha 1] April 19–21, 2022 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 7% 9% 24% 19% 41%

Fundraising

Campaign finance reports as of May 25, 2022
Candidate Amount raised Amount spent Cash on hand
Mayra Flores (R) $1,078,243 $977,803 $100,439
Daniel Sanchez (D) $146,087 $42,071 $104,017
Source: OpenSecrets[15]


Results

2022 Texas's 34th congressional district special election results[1]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Mayra Flores 14,799 50.91
Democratic Dan Sanchez 12,606 43.37
Democratic Rene Coronado 1,210 4.16
Republican Juana Cantu-Cabrera 454 1.56
Total votes 29,069 100.00
Registered electors 395,025
Republican gain from Democratic
By county
County Mayra Flores
Republican		 Dan Sanchez
Democratic		 Rene Coronado
Democratic		 Juana Cantu-Cabrera
Republican		 Margin Total votes Turnout
# % # % # % # % # %
Bee 992 74.6 282 21.2 33 2.5 23 1.7 710 53.4 1,330 8.47%
Cameron 9,072 47.5 8,875 46.5 891 4.7 267 1.4 197 1.0 19,105 8.48%
DeWitt 713 82.0 98 11.3 10 1.1 49 5.6 615 70.7 870 7.18%
Goliad 395 79.6 76 15.3 14 2.8 11 2.2 319 64.3 496 8.63%
Gonzales (part) 158 82.3 20 10.4 5 2.6 9 4.7 138 71.9 192 4.26%
Hidalgo (part) 1,203 42.8 1,464 52.1 111 3.9 34 1.2 261 9.3 2,812 4.80%
Jim Wells 651 51.3 571 45.0 34 2.7 14 1.1 80 6.3 1,270 4.80%
Kenedy 13 43.3 15 50.0 0 0.0 2 6.7 2 6.7 30 9.71%
Kleberg 864 57.0 567 37.4 65 4.3 20 1.3 297 19.6 1,516 8.21%
San Patricio (part) 385 52.5 297 40.5 31 4.2 20 2.7 88 12.0 733 4.62%
Willacy 353 49.4 341 47.7 16 2.2 5 0.7 12 1.7 715 6.05%
Totals 14,799 50.9 12,606 43.4 1,210 4.2 454 1.6 2,193 7.5 29,069 7.36%

See also

Notes

  1. ↑ Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
Partisan clients
  1. ↑ Poll sponsored jointly by the National Republican Congressional Committee and Flores's campaign committee

References

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External links

Official campaign websites
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