2014 Texas gubernatorial election

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For related races, see 2014 United States gubernatorial elections.
2014 Texas gubernatorial election
← 2010 November 4, 2014 2018 →
Turnout 33.7% (of registered voters)
25.0% (of voting age population)[1]
  x150px x150px
Nominee Greg Abbott Wendy Davis
Party Republican Democratic
Popular vote 2,796,547 1,835,596
Percentage 59.3% 38.9%
310px
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Abbott:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Davis:      40–50%      50–60%      60–70%      70–80%      80–90%      >90%
Tie:      40–50%      50%
     No data
Governor before election

Rick Perry
Republican

 Elected Governor

Greg Abbott
Republican

Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found. The 2014 Texas gubernatorial election was held on November 4, 2014, to elect the governor of Texas. Incumbent Republican Governor Rick Perry, who had served since the resignation of then-Governor George W. Bush on December 21, 2000, declined to run for an unprecedented fourth full term, making this the first open election for governor of the state since 1990.

The election took place between nominees who were selected on March 4, 2014: Republican State Attorney General Greg Abbott and Democratic State Senator Wendy Davis. Also on the ballot were Libertarian Party candidate Kathie Glass[2] and Green Party candidate Brandon Parmer.[3] Abbott was projected to carry the election, and ultimately won handily with a 20.4 percentage point advantage.[4] As of 2022, this is the most recent gubernatorial election in which Bexar, Harris and Hays counties voted Republican and in which Frio, Jim Wells, and Val Verde counties voted Democratic. Exit polls showed Abbott winning Whites (72% to 25%), while Davis received majorities among African Americans (92% to 7%) and Hispanics (55% to 44%). Abbott won roughly half of Hispanic men, 54% of all women, and 62% of married women.[5]

Abbott took office on January 20, 2015, as the 48th Governor of Texas.

Republican primary

Candidates

Declared

Withdrew

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Greg
Abbott		 Lisa
Fritsch		 Larry
Kilgore		 Miriam
Martinez		 Tom
Pauken		 Other Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune February 7–17, 2014 461 ± 4.56% 90% 4% 1% 5% — — —
UoT/Texas Tribune October 18–27, 2013 519 ± 5.02% 50% 3% 1% 2% 2% — 42%
Texas Lyceum September 6–20, 2013 279 ± 5.87% 22% — 2% 1% 0% — 74%

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Hypothetical polling
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rick
Perry		 Greg
Abbott		 Someone else Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 318 ± ?% 46% 34% — 20%
44% — 39% 17%
UoT/Texas Tribune May 31–June 9, 2013 492 ± 5.27% 45% 19% 11% 25%
UoT/Texas Tribune February 15–24, 2013 549 ± 4.18% 49% 17% — 31%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 47% — 41% 13%
41% 38% — 20%
Burnt Orange Report May 15–16, 2012 462 ± 4.6% 42% 35% 7% 16%

Results

Republican primary results[19]
Party Candidate Votes %
Republican Greg Abbott 1,224,014 91.48
Republican Lisa Fritsch 59,221 4.42
Republican Miriam Martinez 35,585 2.65
Republican Larry Kilgore 19,055 1.42
Total votes 1,337,875 100

Democratic primary

Candidates

Declared

Declined

Endorsements

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Wendy
Davis		 Ray
Madrigal		 Other Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune February 7–17, 2014 263 ± 6.04% 87% 13% — —

Results

File:Texas gubernatorial Democratic primary, 2014.svg
Results by county:
  Davis—>90%
  Davis—80–90%
  Davis—70–80%
  Davis—60–70%
  Davis—50–60%
  Tie
  Madrigal—50–60%
  Madrigal—60–70%
  No vote
Democratic primary results[33]
Party Candidate Votes %
Democratic Wendy Davis 432,595 78.08
Democratic Ray Madrigal 121,419 21.91
Total votes 554,014 100

Libertarian nomination

Candidates

Declared

  • Robert Bell, pharmaceutical executive and chemist[34]
  • Robert Garrett, veteran, helicopter mechanic and prison officer[35]
  • Kathie Glass, attorney[36]
  • Robert "Star" Locke, rancher, building contractor, veteran and perennial candidate[37]

Withdrew

Results

Kathie Glass was nominated at the 2014 party convention.[2]

Green nomination

Candidates

Declared

Independents

Candidates

Declared

Declined

General election

Debates

The first of two confirmed gubernatorial debates between Wendy Davis and Greg Abbott took place at the Edinburg Conference Center at Renaissance at 18:00 on Friday, September 19, co-hosted by KGBT-TV, The Monitor and KTLM-TV.[45] KGBT-TV posted the complete video online and can be viewed here.[46] The debate took place in Edinburg, Texas, and it gave both candidates an opportunity to appeal to the Hispanic community, a grouping seen by Reuters as an "increasingly important voting bloc in Texas."[47] The second debate took place on September 30 and was also posted online.

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[48] Likely R November 3, 2014
Sabato's Crystal Ball[49] Safe R November 3, 2014
Rothenberg Political Report[50] Safe R November 3, 2014
Real Clear Politics[51] Likely R November 3, 2014

Polling

Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Wendy
Davis (D)		 Other Undecided
CBS News/NYT/YouGov October 16–23, 2014 3,987 ± 3% 57% 37% 0% 6%
UoT/Texas Tribune October 10–19, 2014 866 ± 3.6% 54% 38% 8%[52] —
Survey Research Center September 22–October 16, 2014 781 ± 3.5% 47% 32% 2%[53] 17%
Crosswind Communications October 9–12, 2014 500 ± 4.33% 52% 31% 0% 16%
Rasmussen Reports October 1–2, 2014 840 ± 3.5% 51% 40% 3% 7%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov September 20–October 1, 2014 4,177 ± 2% 54% 40% 0% 5%
Texas Lyceum[permanent dead link] September 11–25, 2014 666 ± 3.8% 49% 40% 4%[54] 8%
Benenson* September 2–4, 2014 800 ± 3.5% 46% 38% — 16%
WPA Opinion Research^ September 3, 2014  ? ± ? 53% 35% — 12%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov August 18–September 2, 2014 4,189 ± 2% 56% 38% 2% 5%
Rasmussen Reports August 4–5, 2014 850 ± 3.5% 48% 40% 3% 9%
CBS News/NYT/YouGov July 5–24, 2014 4,320 ± 3.7% 54% 37% 1% 9%
UoT/Texas Tribune May 30–June 8, 2014 1,200 ± 2.83% 44% 32% 7%[55] 17%
Texas Tech University April 14–17, 2014 454 ± 4.6% 54% 25% 6% 15%
Public Policy Polling April 10–13, 2014 559 ± 4.1% 51% 37% — 13%
Emerson College Archived March 18, 2014, at the Wayback Machine March 7–12, 2014 494 ± ? 49% 42% — 9%
Rasmussen Reports March 3–4, 2014 500 ± 4.5% 53% 41% 1% 4%
UoT/Texas Tribune February 7–17, 2014 1,200 ± 2.83% 47% 36% — 17%
Public Policy Polling November 1–4, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 50% 35% — 15%
47% 37% 9% 8%
UoT/Texas Tribune October 18–27, 2013 1,200 ± 3.3% 40% 34% — 25%
40% 35% 5%[56] 20%
Texas Lyceum September 6–20, 2013 798 ± 3.47% 29% 21% — 50%
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 48% 40% — 12%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 46% 34% — 20%

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Hypothetical polling
With Castro
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Julian
Castro (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 48% 34% — 18%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 46% 36% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rick
Perry (R)		 Julian
Castro (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 50% 43% — 8%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 47% 42% — 11%
With Davis
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Tom
Pauken (R)		 Wendy
Davis (D)		 Other Undecided
UoT/Texas Tribune October 18–27, 2013 1,200 ± 3.3% 34% 38% — 28%
33% 36% 6% 25%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rick
Perry (R)		 Wendy
Davis (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 53% 39% — 8%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 47% 41% — 13%
With Parker
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Annise
Parker (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 50% 31% — 20%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 47% 35% — 18%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rick
Perry (R)		 Annise
Parker (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 52% 35% — 13%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 47% 40% — 13%
With White
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Greg
Abbott (R)		 Bill
White (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 48% 36% — 16%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 46% 39% — 15%
Poll source Date(s)
administered		 Sample
size		 Margin of
error		 Rick
Perry (R)		 Bill
White (D)		 Other Undecided
Public Policy Polling June 28–July 1, 2013 500 ± 4.4% 50% 40% — 10%
Public Policy Polling January 24–27, 2013 400 ± 4.9% 44% 47% — 9%
  • * Poll for the Wendy Davis campaign
  • ^ Poll for the Greg Abbott campaign

Results

2014 Texas gubernatorial election[57]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Greg Abbott 2,796,547 59.27% +4.30%
Democratic Wendy Davis 1,835,596 38.90% -3.40%
Libertarian Kathie Glass 66,543 1.41% -0.78%
Green Brandon Parmer 18,520 0.39% 0.00%
Independent Sarah M. Pavitt (write-in) 1,062 0.02% N/A
Total votes 4,718,268 100.0% N/A
Republican hold

Counties that flipped from Democratic to Republican

See also

References

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  19. ↑ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist169_state.htm 2014 Republican Party Primary Election
  20. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  31. ↑ 31.0 31.1 31.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  32. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  33. ↑ http://elections.sos.state.tx.us/elchist170_state.htm 2014 Democratic Party Primary Election
  34. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  39. ↑ "Chapman Withdraws from Texas Gubernatorial Race" – Very Good Citizenship Today, personal blog of Gene Chapman. Published 8 January 2014. Retrieved 12 January 2014.
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  44. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.(registration required)
  45. ↑ Abbott, Davis to debate in the Rio Grande Valley, staff, Action 4 News, September 19, 2014
  46. ↑ Texas Governor Debate, KGBT-TV, September 19, 2014
  47. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  52. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 6%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  53. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 1%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%
  54. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 2%, Brandon Parmer (G) 2%
  55. ↑ Kathie Glass (L) 3%, Brandon Parmer (G) 1%, Other 3%
  56. ↑ Kathie Glass (L)
  57. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.

External links

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