Western Australian state election, 2017
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All 59 seats in the Western Australian Legislative Assembly and all 36 members in the Western Australian Legislative Council |
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The 2017 Western Australian state election will be held on Saturday 11 March 2017 to elect 59 members to the Legislative Assembly and 36 members to the Legislative Council.
Contents
Date of election
On 3 November 2011, the Government of Western Australia introduced fixed four-year terms.[1][2]
Seats held
Lower house
At the 2013 election, Labor won 21 seats, the Liberals won 31 seats and the Nationals won 7 seats. No seats were won by independents.
Upper house
At the 2013 election, the Liberals won 17 seats, Labor won 11 seats, the Nationals won five seats, the Greens won two seats and the Shooters and Fishers won one seat.
Retiring MPs
Members who have announced they will not re-nominate at the 2017 election:
Liberal
- Kim Hames MLA (Dawesville) – announced 2 August 2014[3]
National
- Terry Waldron MLA (Wagin) – announced 25 November 2014[4]
- Wendy Duncan MLA (Kalgoorlie) – announced 4 December 2015[5]
2013 pendulum
The following Mackerras Pendulum works by lining up all of the seats according to the percentage point margin post-election on a two-candidate-preferred basis.[6]
Labor seats | |||
Midland | Michelle Roberts | ALP | 0.1% |
Collie-Preston | Mick Murray | ALP | 0.1% |
Butler | John Quigley | ALP | 1.8% |
West Swan | Rita Saffioti | ALP | 1.9% |
Albany | Peter Watson | ALP | 2.0% |
Cannington | Bill Johnston | ALP | 2.1% |
Girrawheen | Margaret Quirk | ALP | 2.4% |
Kwinana | Roger Cook | ALP | 2.6% v IND |
Gosnells | Chris Tallentire | ALP | 2.9% |
Maylands | Lisa Baker | ALP | 3.1% |
Victoria Park | Ben Wyatt | ALP | 4.1% |
Cockburn | Fran Logan | ALP | 4.1% |
Mirrabooka | Janine Freeman | ALP | 4.6% |
Kimberley | Josie Farrer | ALP | 5.1% |
Bassendean | Dave Kelly | ALP | 5.1% |
Mandurah | David Templeman | ALP | 7.7% |
Fremantle | Simone McGurk | ALP | 7.9% |
Warnbro | Paul Papalia | ALP | 8.8% |
Armadale | Tony Buti | ALP | 9.6% |
Willagee | Peter Tinley | ALP | 10.6% |
Rockingham | Mark McGowan | ALP | 13.2% |
Polling
Date | Firm | Primary vote | TPP vote | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lib | Nat | ALP | Grn | Oth | Lib/Nat | ALP | ||
Mar–May 2016 | Newspoll[7] | 40% | 42% | 11% | 7% | 46% | 54% | |
17 Mar 2016 | ReachTEL[8] | 37% | 5% | 39% | 13% | 5% | 44% | 56% |
Oct–Dec 2015 | Newspoll[9] | 37% | 5% | 42% | 10% | 6% | 47% | 53% |
9–15 Oct 2015 | Morgan[10] | 37.5% | 4.5% | 32% | 13% | 13% | 51.5% | 48.5% |
28–31 Aug 2015 | Morgan | 35% | 7% | 34% | 15% | 9% | 50% | 50% |
Apr–Jun 2015 | Newspoll | 33% | 7% | 33% | 14% | 13% | 48% | 52% |
Jan–Mar 2015 | Newspoll | 34% | 6% | 35% | 14% | 11% | 48% | 52% |
Oct–Dec 2014 | Newspoll | 34% | 8% | 33% | 15% | 10% | 50% | 50% |
Jul–Sep 2014 | Newspoll | 35% | 6% | 31% | 15% | 13% | 50% | 50% |
Apr–Jun 2014 | Newspoll | 34% | 6% | 27% | 17% | 16% | 50% | 50% |
Oct–Dec 2013 | Newspoll | 36% | 8% | 33% | 13% | 10% | 51% | 49% |
2013 election | 47.1% | 6.1% | 33.1% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 57.3% | 42.7% | |
4–7 Mar 2013 | Newspoll | 48% | 6% | 32% | 8% | 6% | 59.5% | 40.5% |
Liberal Barnett |
Labor McGowan |
|
---|---|---|
Mar–May 2016[7] | 32% | 46% |
17 Mar 2016 - ReachTEL[8] | 39% | 61% |
Oct–Dec 2015[9] | 36% | 41% |
Apr–Jun 2015 | 37% | 43% |
Jan–Mar 2015 | 38% | 44% |
Oct–Dec 2014 | 39% | 40% |
Jul–Sep 2014 | 38% | 41% |
Apr–Jun 2014 | 36% | 43% |
Oct–Dec 2013 | 37% | 43% |
2013 election | – | – |
4–7 Mar 2013 | 52% | 31% |
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^ Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. |
Barnett | McGowan | |||
---|---|---|---|---|
Satisfied | Dissatisfied | Satisfied | Dissatisfied | |
Mar–May 2016[7] | 31% | 58% | 51% | 28% |
Oct–Dec 2015[9] | 33% | 54% | 47% | 32% |
Apr–Jun 2015 | 36% | 57% | 49% | 33% |
Jan–Mar 2015 | 38% | 53% | 53% | 28% |
Oct–Dec 2014 | 37% | 49% | 48% | 27% |
Jul–Sep 2014 | 32% | 56% | 47% | 29% |
Apr–Jun 2014 | 34% | 56% | 49% | 31% |
Oct–Dec 2013 | 34% | 54% | 51% | 22% |
2013 election | – | – | – | – |
4–7 Mar 2013 | 51% | 36% | 49% | 29% |
Polling conducted by Newspoll and published in The Australian. ^Remainder were "uncommitted" to either leader. |
References
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- ↑ 7.0 7.1 7.2 Newspoll: 54-46 to Labor in Western Australia – The Poll Bludger 12 May 2016
- ↑ 8.0 8.1 Barnett and Liberals take big hit in poll with McGowan now preferred leader: The West Australian 19 March 2016 - using undedided excluded at ReachTEL: 56-44 to Labor in WA - The Poll Bludger 19 March 2016
- ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 Newspoll: 53-47 to Labor in Western Australia – The Poll Bludger 4 January 2016
- ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.