1995 Murcian regional election

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1995 Murcian regional election
← 1991 28 May 1995 1999 →
All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly of Murcia
23 seats needed for a majority
Opinion polls
Registered 847,967 Green Arrow Up Darker.svg9.0%
Turnout 638,297 (75.3%)
Green Arrow Up Darker.svg8.1 pp
  First party Second party Third party
  170x170px 170x170px 170x170px
Leader Ramón Luis Valcárcel María Antonia Martínez Antonio Joaquín Dólera
Party People's Party of the Region of Murcia Socialist Party of the Region of Murcia IU–LV–RM
Leader since 5 October 1991 28 April 1993 1995
Leader's seat Three Three Three
Last election 17 seats, 33.5% 24 seats, 45.3% 4 seats, 11.3%[lower-alpha 1]
Seats won 26 15 4
Seat change Green Arrow Up Darker.svg9 Red Arrow Down.svg9 Arrow Blue Right 001.svg0
Popular vote 330,514 201,659 78,875
Percentage 52.2% 31.9% 12.5%
Swing Green Arrow Up Darker.svg18.7 pp Red Arrow Down.svg13.4 pp Green Arrow Up Darker.svg1.2 pp
350px
Constituency results map for the Regional Assembly of Murcia
President before election

María Antonia Martínez
Socialist Party of the Region of Murcia

 Elected President

Ramón Luis Valcárcel
People's Party of the Region of Murcia

The 1995 Murcian regional election was held on Sunday, 28 May 1995, to elect the 4th Regional Assembly of the autonomous community of the Region of Murcia. All 45 seats in the Regional Assembly were up for election. The election was held simultaneously with regional elections in twelve other autonomous communities and local elections all throughout Spain.

Former president Carlos Collado had been forced to resign in April 1993 by his own party, the Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE), as a result of the ongoing struggle between the two main party factions (the guerristas and the renovadores) and a political scandal over the purchase of the Casa Grande estate.[1][2] He was replaced by María Antonia Martínez, the first woman presiding over a Spanish autonomous community as well as the only one to date holding the office in the Region of Murcia.[3] The crisis resulting in Collado's resignation was among the factors said to contribute to the opposition People's Party (PP) spectacular gains in that year's June general election, overcoming the PSOE as the most voted party in the region for the first time in democracy;[4] a feat which was confirmed in the 1994 European Parliament election.[5][6]

The regional election resulted in the PP consolidating its gains, winning by a landslide as the vote for the ruling PSOE plummeted.[7] PP leader Ramón Luis Valcárcel would become the new President of the Region of Murcia,[8] with the PP remaining in government ever since. The PP would also remain the prime party of Murcian politics until 2019.

Overview

Electoral system

The Regional Assembly of Murcia was the devolved, unicameral legislature of the autonomous community of Murcia, having legislative power in regional matters as defined by the Spanish Constitution and the Murcian Statute of Autonomy, as well as the ability to vote confidence in or withdraw it from a regional president.[9]

Voting for the Regional Assembly was on the basis of universal suffrage, which comprised all nationals over 18 years of age, registered in the Region of Murcia and in full enjoyment of their political rights. The 45 members of the Regional Assembly of Murcia were elected using the D'Hondt method and a closed list proportional representation, with an electoral threshold of five percent of valid votes—which included blank ballots—being applied regionally. Seats were allocated to constituencies, which were established by law as follows:

Each constituency was entitled to an initial minimum of one seat, with the remaining 40 allocated among the constituencies in proportion to their populations.[10]

Election date

The term of the Regional Assembly of Murcia expired four years after the date of its previous election. Elections to the Regional Assembly were fixed for the fourth Sunday of May every four years. The previous election was held on 26 May 1991, setting the election date for the Regional Assembly on Sunday, 28 May 1995.[9][10][11]

The Regional Assembly of Murcia could not be dissolved before the date of expiry of parliament except in the event of an investiture process failing to elect a regional president within a two-month period from the first ballot. In such a case, the Regional Assembly was to be automatically dissolved and a snap election called, with elected deputies merely serving out what remained of their four-year terms.[9]

Parties and candidates

The electoral law allowed for parties and federations registered in the interior ministry, coalitions and groupings of electors to present lists of candidates. Parties and federations intending to form a coalition ahead of an election were required to inform the relevant Electoral Commission within ten days of the election call, whereas groupings of electors needed to secure the signature of at least one percent of the electorate in the Region of Murcia, disallowing electors from signing for more than one list of candidates.[10][11]

Below is a list of the main parties and electoral alliances which contested the election:

Candidacy Parties and
alliances		 Leading candidate Ideology Previous result Gov. Ref.
Votes (%) Seats
PSOE
List
 50px María Antonia Martínez Social democracy 45.27% 24 YesY
PP
List
 50px Ramón Luis Valcárcel Conservatism
Christian democracy		 33.51% 17 N
IU–LV–RM
List
 50px Antonio Joaquín Dólera Socialism
Communism		 11.32%[lower-alpha 1] 4 N

Opinion polls

The table below lists voting intention estimates in reverse chronological order, showing the most recent first and using the dates when the survey fieldwork was done, as opposed to the date of publication. Where the fieldwork dates are unknown, the date of publication is given instead. The highest percentage figure in each polling survey is displayed with its background shaded in the leading party's colour. If a tie ensues, this is applied to the figures with the highest percentages. The "Lead" column on the right shows the percentage-point difference between the parties with the highest percentages in a poll. When available, seat projections determined by the polling organisations are displayed below (or in place of) the percentages in a smaller font; 23 seats were required for an absolute majority in the Regional Assembly of Murcia.

Color key:

      Exit poll

Results

Overall

← Summary of the 28 May 1995 Regional Assembly of Murcia election results →
325px
Parties and alliances Popular vote Seats
Votes  % ±pp Total +/−
People's Party (PP) 330,514 52.23 +18.72 26 +9
Spanish Socialist Workers' Party (PSOE) 201,659 31.87 –13.40 15 –9
United Left–The Greens of the Region of Murcia (IU–LV–RM)1 78,875 12.46 +1.14 4 ±0
Centrist Union–Democratic and Social Centre (UC–CDS) 4,359 0.69 –4.32 0 ±0
Cantonal Party (PCAN) 3,544 0.56 –2.47 0 ±0
Regional Murcianist Party (PMR) 2,456 0.39 New 0 ±0
Democratic Bloc (BD) 1,601 0.25 New 0 ±0
Spanish Confederation of Independents (CEDI) 1,454 0.23 New 0 ±0
New Region (NR) 1,336 0.21 New 0 ±0
Blank ballots 7,033 1.11 +0.17
Total 632,831 45 ±0
Valid votes 632,831 99.14 +0.10
Invalid votes 5,466 0.86 –0.10
Votes cast / turnout 638,297 75.27 +8.09
Abstentions 209,670 24.73 –8.09
Registered voters 847,967
Sources[12][13][14]
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Footnotes:
Popular vote
PP
  
 52.23%
PSOE
  
 31.87%
IU–LV–RM
  
 12.46%
Others
  
 2.33%
Blank ballots
  
 1.11%
Seats
PP
  
 57.78%
PSOE
  
 33.33%
IU–LV–RM
  
 8.89%

Distribution by constituency

Constituency PP PSOE IU–LV
 % S  % S  % S
One 44.9 3 39.3 3 12.8 1
Two 51.9 6 30.7 3 11.5 1
Three 56.3 13 28.2 6 12.6 2
Four 43.2 2 44.4 2 10.5 −
Five 48.0 2 32.1 1 18.0 −
Total 52.2 26 31.9 15 12.5 4
Sources[12][13][14]

Aftermath

Investiture
Ramón Luis Valcárcel (PP)
Ballot → 30 June 1995
Required majority → 23 out of 45 YesY
Yes
  • • PP (26)
26 / 45
No
19 / 45
Abstentions
0 / 45
Absentees
0 / 45
Sources[8][14]

Notes

  1. ↑ 1.0 1.1 Results for IU (10.21%, 4 seats) and LV (1.11%, 0 seats) in the 1991 election.

References

Opinion poll sources
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Other
  1. ↑ Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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  8. ↑ 8.0 8.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  9. ↑ 9.0 9.1 9.2 Ley Orgánica 4/1982, de 9 de junio, de Estatuto de Autonomía para la Región de Murcia, Organic Law No. 4 of 9 June 1982 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  10. ↑ 10.0 10.1 10.2 Ley 2/1987, de 24 de febrero, Electoral de la Región de Murcia, Law No. 2 of 24 February 1987 Boletín Oficial del Estado (in Español)
  11. ↑ 11.0 11.1 Ley Orgánica 5/1985, de 19 de junio, del Régimen Electoral General, 19 June 1985 (in Español)
  12. ↑ 12.0 12.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  13. ↑ 13.0 13.1 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
  14. ↑ 14.0 14.1 14.2 Lua error in package.lua at line 80: module 'strict' not found.
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