2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota

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2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota

← 2016 November 3, 2020 2024 →
Turnout %
  Donald Trump official portrait (cropped).jpg 160x160px 160x160px
Nominee Donald Trump Joe Biden Jo Jorgensen
Party Republican Democratic Libertarian
Home state Florida Delaware South Carolina
Running mate Mike Pence Kamala Harris Spike Cohen

Incumbent President

Donald Trump
Republican



The 2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota is scheduled to take place on Tuesday, November 3, 2020, as part of the 2020 United States elections in which all 50 states plus the District of Columbia will participate.[1] North Dakota voters will choose electors to represent them in the Electoral College via a popular vote. The state of North Dakota has 3 electoral votes in the Electoral College.[2]

Caucuses

Democratic caucuses

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The North Dakota Democratic–NPL Party held a firehouse caucus on March 10, 2020.

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Republican caucuses

The North Dakota Republican Party held a non-binding firehouse caucus on March 10, 2020, with incumbent President Donald Trump running unopposed.[3][4]

The party will then formally select their 29 Republican National Convention delegates, unpledged to any particular candidate at the state party convention. The state party convention was originally scheduled for March 27–29, but due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic it was ultimately cancelled.[5][6]

Libertarian nominee

  • Jo Jorgensen, Psychology Senior Lecturer at Clemson University

General election

Predictions

Source Ranking As of
The Cook Political Report[7] Safe R September 10, 2020
Inside Elections[8] Safe R September 4, 2020
Sabato's Crystal Ball[9] Safe R July 14, 2020
Politico[10] Safe R September 8, 2020
RCP[11] Safe R August 3, 2020
Niskanen[12] Safe R July 26, 2020
CNN[13] Safe R August 3, 2020
The Economist[14] Safe R September 2, 2020
CBS News[15] Likely R August 16, 2020
270towin[16] Safe R August 2, 2020
ABC News[17] Safe R July 31, 2020
NPR[18] Likely R August 3, 2020
NBC News[19] Safe R August 6, 2020
538[20] Safe R September 9, 2020

Polling

with Donald Trump and Joe Biden

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Joe
Biden (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Mar 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 55% 38% 2% 5%
DFM Research Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 34% 2% 5%
1892 Polling/Doug Burgum[lower-alpha 2] Jul 15–17, 2019 500 (LV) ± 4.4% 60% 34%
DFM Research May 14–18, 2019 400 (A) ± 4.9% 54% 39% 2% 5%
Former candidates

with Donald Trump and Michael Bloomberg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Michael
Bloomberg (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 32% 1% 7%

with Donald Trump and Pete Buttigieg

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Pete
Buttigieg (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 31% 2% 8%

with Donald Trump and Amy Klobuchar

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Amy
Klobuchar (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 59% 33% 1% 7%

with Donald Trump and Bernie Sanders

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Bernie
Sanders (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Mar 3–5, 2020 400 (LV) ± 4.9% 58% 33% 4% 4%
DFM Research Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 61% 32% 1% 5%

with Donald Trump and Elizabeth Warren

Poll source Date(s)
administered
Sample
size[lower-alpha 1]
Margin
of error
Donald
Trump (R)
Elizabeth
Warren (D)
Other Undecided
DFM Research Jan 28 – Feb 1, 2020 600 (A) ± 4.0% 62% 31% 2% 6%
Zogby Analytics Aug 17–23, 2017 403 (LV) ± 4.9% 47% 36% 17%

Results

2020 United States presidential election in North Dakota[21]
Party Candidate Votes % ±%
Republican Donald Trump and Mike Pence
Democratic Joe Biden and Kamala Harris
Libertarian Jo Jorgensen and Spike Cohen
Total votes

See also

Notes

  1. 1.0 1.1 1.2 1.3 1.4 1.5 Key:
    A – all adults
    RV – registered voters
    LV – likely voters
    V – unclear
  2. Poll sponsored by Burgum's campaign

References

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  12. 2020 Bitecofer Model Electoral College Predictions, Niskanen Center, March 24, 2020, retrieved: April 19, 2020
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